HarrisDemocratic54.3%7,020TrumpRepublican42.4%5,480OtherAll other candidates3.4%434
D+11.9- Lead
- 1,540
- Total
- 12,934
- vs nation
- D+13.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Montana 46th State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic57.0%7,227TrumpRepublican40.3%5,116OtherAll other candidates2.7%341
D+16.6- Lead
- 2,111
- Total
- 12,684
- vs nation
- D+12.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic49.6%5,289TrumpRepublican40.8%4,349OtherAll other candidates9.6%1,020
D+8.8- Lead
- 940
- Total
- 10,658
- vs nation
- D+6.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic55.7%5,646RomneyRepublican42.4%4,299OtherAll other candidates1.9%195
D+13.3- Lead
- 1,347
- Total
- 10,140
- vs nation
- D+9.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic59.5%6,350McCainRepublican36.7%3,911OtherAll other candidates3.8%405
D+22.9- Lead
- 2,439
- Total
- 10,666
- vs nation
- D+15.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic50.8%4,778BushRepublican47.5%4,468OtherAll other candidates1.7%163
D+3.3- Lead
- 310
- Total
- 9,409
- vs nation
- D+5.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic38.3%3,165BushRepublican48.1%3,972OtherAll other candidates13.5%1,117
R+9.8- Lead
- 807
- Total
- 8,254
- vs nation
- R+10.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic48.7%3,926DoleRepublican36.8%2,960OtherAll other candidates14.5%1,168
D+12.0- Lead
- 966
- Total
- 8,054
- vs nation
- D+3.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+11.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,8042024 5-year
- Population density
- 9.9 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,198 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,1982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+18.3 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 49, MT · twin score 87.9
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 46th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
89.2%
273 votes · D+78.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 71.4%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
58.9%
1,969 votes · R+18.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 58.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
7,227votes
57.0% of the vote · D+16.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 7,020 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,480votes
42.4% of the vote · D+11.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,116 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+84.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+78.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +26.3 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+10.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+9.8 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · +7.5 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DJacinda MorigeauState Senate · 46
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
In 2024 it voted Democratic by D+11.8, against D+22.9 in 2008. The district had about 71,900 residents, 85.1% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 78.4 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 18.3 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.9 points.
A population of 21,804, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,198 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 49 and State Senate District 50.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 49
Montana
87.9twin score
% unaffiliatedpopulation scale2008–2020 trajectory≠ median age
State Senate District 50
Montana
86.4twin score
% unaffiliatedpopulation scaleelasticity≠ median age
State Senate District 40
Montana
82.7twin score
population scale% unaffiliated% Black≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 46th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30046/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Montana 46th State Senate District
counties it covers3
Frequently asked questions
How did Montana 46th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 46th State Senate District voted Democratic by 11.9 points (D+11.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 12,934 votes cast, 7,020 went Democratic and 5,480 went Republican.
When did Montana 46th State Senate District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 46th State Senate District voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Montana 46th State Senate District?
Montana 46th State Senate District has a population of 21,804 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 46th State Senate District?
Median household income in Montana 46th State Senate District is $71,198 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 46th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 46th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.