- Lead
- 2,222
- Total
- 12,991
- vs nation
- D+18.6
Montana 49th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,307
- Total
- 12,414
- vs nation
- D+14.1
- Lead
- 878
- Total
- 9,861
- vs nation
- D+6.8
- Lead
- 982
- Total
- 9,214
- vs nation
- D+6.8
- Lead
- 1,931
- Total
- 9,541
- vs nation
- D+13.0
- Lead
- 160
- Total
- 8,554
- vs nation
- D+0.6
- Lead
- 1,159
- Total
- 7,786
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Lead
- 498
- Total
- 7,265
- vs nation
- R+1.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+17.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,5852024 5-year
- Population density
- 968 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 22.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,8042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69.1 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+29.2 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 50, MT · twin score 95.1
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 49th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
84.5%
350 votes · D+69.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 66.9%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
64.6%
1,866 votes · R+29.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 62.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
7,364votes
56.7% of the vote · D+17.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 7,092 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,142votes
39.6% of the vote · D+17.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,785 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+75.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+69.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +18.6 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+15.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+14.9 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · +15.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
In 2024 it voted Democratic by D+17.1, against D+20.2 in 2008. About 1,040 residents lived here as of the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.1 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 29.2 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.1 points.
A population of 21,585, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,804 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 50 and State Senate District 48.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Montana 49th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.