- Lead
- 1,820
- Total
- 13,847
- vs nation
- D+14.6
Montana 33rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,175
- Total
- 14,126
- vs nation
- D+10.9
- Lead
- 1,012
- Total
- 11,410
- vs nation
- D+6.8
- Lead
- 347
- Total
- 10,176
- vs nation
- R+0.4
- Lead
- 1,239
- Total
- 10,334
- vs nation
- D+4.7
- Lead
- 551
- Total
- 8,380
- vs nation
- R+4.1
- Lead
- 1,305
- Total
- 6,671
- vs nation
- R+20.1
- Lead
- 294
- Total
- 6,057
- vs nation
- R+13.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+13.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,7582024 5-year
- Population density
- 51 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 428 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,9092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+65.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35.3 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 30, MT · twin score 92.9
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 33rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
82.6%
404 votes · D+65.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 70.0%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
67.5%
1,364 votes · R+35.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 62.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
7,901votes
55.9% of the vote · D+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 7,603 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,783votes
41.8% of the vote · D+13.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,726 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+71.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+65.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +26.0 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
+24.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.3 · U.S. R+10.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Gerald Ford, 1976 · +21.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
The district recorded a Democratic presidential margin of D+13.1 in 2024, compared with D+12.0 in 2008. In the 2024 ACS 5-year, 54.3% of adults held a bachelor's degree or higher.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.2 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 35.3 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.1 points.
A population of 21,758, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,909 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 30 and State Senate District 32.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Montana 33rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.