Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Missoula, MT
presidential margin
2008D+25.52012D+16.32016D+13.52020D+21.42024D+18.8
full record · 1892 → 2024
D+18.8
2024
median income$75,118U.S. $80,734 · MT $72,509
median age37.6U.S. 39.1 · MT 40.8
poverty rate10.2%U.S. 12.5% · MT 11.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)46.6%U.S. 35.6% · MT 35.3%
non-english4.7%U.S. 22.3% · MT 4.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German20.7%
Irish15.2%
English12.9%
Mexican3.0%
Spanish0.4%
Spaniard0.2%
Blackfeet0.5%
Filipino0.5%
Chinese0.3%
Hmong0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline3.0%
Other Christian0.6%
Buddhist0.6%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Missoula, MT, Montana

Akashic
Missoula, MTHarrisD+18.8
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Missoula, MT, MTA map of the constituent counties of Missoula, MT, MT, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Mineral County, MT · R+48.0Missoula County, MT · D+21.4
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic57.7%43,592
Donald TrumpRepublican38.8%29,355
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People3.5%2,659
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (2 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Missoula, MT, MT — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Mineral County, MTRepublicanR+48.0
Missoula County, MTDemocraticD+21.4
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
57.7%Harris43,592
38.8%Trump29,355
3.5%Kennedy2,659
+18.8%
75,606
D
59.5%Biden44,043
38.0%Trump28,175
2.5%Jorgensen1,840
+21.4%
74,058
D
51.1%Clinton32,062
37.6%Trump23,580
11.3%Johnson7,092
+13.5%
62,734
D
56.6%Obama33,524
40.3%Romney23,868
3.1%Johnson1,861
+16.3%
59,253
D
61.2%Obama37,376
35.7%McCain21,796
3.1%Paul1,898
+25.5%
61,070
D
50.7%Kerry27,525
46.5%Bush25,231
2.8%Nader1,535
+4.2%
54,291
R
36.6%Gore17,623
46.8%Bush22,552
16.7%Nader8,040
−10.2%
48,215
D
49.0%Clinton22,532
36.1%Dole16,583
15.0%Perot6,882
+12.9%
45,997
D
46.8%Clinton21,011
29.6%Bush13,301
23.6%Perot10,622
+17.2%
44,934
D
53.8%Dukakis19,967
44.7%Bush16,581
1.5%Paul549
+9.1%
37,097
R
44.7%Mondale17,258
53.6%Reagan20,720
1.7%Bergland663
−9.0%
38,641
R
38.0%Carter13,775
46.8%Reagan16,961
15.2%Anderson5,515
−8.8%
36,251
R
47.7%Carter15,918
51.1%Ford17,029
1.2%Anderson404
−3.3%
33,351
R
45.9%McGovern14,443
51.7%Nixon16,263
2.4%Schmitz762
−5.8%
31,468
R
41.8%Humphrey8,974
47.7%Nixon10,228
10.5%Wallace2,259
−5.8%
21,461
D
61.9%Johnson13,801
37.9%Goldwater8,433
0.2%Hass44
+24.1%
22,278
R
46.5%Kennedy9,562
53.2%Nixon10,945
0.3%Byrd70
−6.7%
20,577
R
39.4%Stevenson7,312
60.6%Eisenhower11,233
0.0%
−21.1%
18,545
R
40.9%Stevenson7,392
58.6%Eisenhower10,606
0.5%Hallinan97
−17.8%
18,095
D
50.8%Truman7,480
45.9%Dewey6,764
3.3%Thurmond489
+4.9%
14,733
D
50.4%Roosevelt5,959
48.7%Dewey5,751
0.9%Thomas110
+1.8%
11,820
D
57.5%Roosevelt8,392
41.4%Willkie6,042
1.2%Thomas171
+16.1%
14,605
D
71.0%Roosevelt8,347
24.8%Landon2,912
4.3%Lemke504
+46.2%
11,763
D
55.1%Roosevelt5,820
38.6%Hoover4,079
6.4%Thomas672
+16.5%
10,571
R
39.4%Smith3,661
59.1%Hoover5,499
1.5%Thomas139
−19.8%
9,299
O
12.4%Davis1,135
28.6%Coolidge2,609
59.0%La Follette5,392
La Follette +30.5
9,136
R
39.7%Cox3,654
51.3%Harding4,721
9.0%Debs828
−11.6%
9,203
D
55.2%Wilson4,850
36.1%Hughes3,177
8.7%Benson762
+19.0%
8,789
O
32.7%Wilson1,523
12.6%Taft589
54.7%Roosevelt2,546
Roosevelt +22.0
4,658
R
44.3%Bryan1,780
46.1%Taft1,856
9.6%Debs386
−1.9%
4,022
R
26.6%Parker996
59.9%Roosevelt2,239
13.5%Debs503
−33.3%
3,738
D
56.9%Bryan1,893
41.9%McKinley1,392
1.2%Woolley41
+15.1%
3,326
D
85.9%Bryan2,259
13.9%McKinley365
0.2%Palmer6
+72.0%
2,630
D
45.6%Cleveland2,340
39.8%Harrison2,045
14.6%Weaver751
+5.7%
5,136
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +18.8% in 2024.flipped D · 2004+18.8%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+5.7%
1896+72.0%
1900+15.1%
1904−33.3%
1908−1.9%
1912+20.1%
1916+19.0%
1920−11.6%
1924−16.1%
1928−19.8%
1932+16.5%
1936+46.2%
1940+16.1%
1944+1.8%
1948+4.9%
1952−17.8%
1956−21.1%
1960−6.7%
1964+24.1%
1968−5.8%
1972−5.8%
1976−3.3%
1980−8.8%
1984−9.0%
1988+9.1%
1992+17.2%
1996+12.9%
2000−10.2%
2004+4.2%
2008+25.5%
2012+16.3%
2016+13.5%
2020+21.4%
2024+18.8%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Missoula, MTTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 99,513 in 2024.24.9K49.8K74.6K99.5K99.5K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Missoula, MT
YearTotal registered
201686,846
201889,032
202093,861
202293,996
202499,513
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Home to the University of Montana, Missoula County has voted Democratic in recent presidential cycles by double-digit margins, making it one of the sharpest blue outliers in a state that leans heavily Republican statewide.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.0 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 33.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.8 points.

A population of 125,631, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,118 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lawrence, KS and Corvallis, OR.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Lawrence, KS
90.8twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Corvallis, OR
90.8twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Bloomington, IN
90.7twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ % Asian

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Missoula, MT, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/33540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Missoula, MT

counties2
Mineral CountyMissoula County

Frequently asked questions

How did Missoula, MT, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Missoula, MT, Montana voted Democratic by 18.8 points (D+18.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 75,606 votes cast, 43,592 went Democratic and 29,355 went Republican.
When did Missoula, MT, Montana last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Missoula, MT, Montana voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Missoula, MT, Montana?
Missoula, MT, Montana has a population of 125,631 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Missoula, MT, Montana?
Median household income in Missoula, MT, Montana is $75,118 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Missoula, MT, Montana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Missoula, MT, Montana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.