Loading…

Akashic

state house district

Montana 16th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1920–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1920 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

Blackfeet52.8%1.0%—

Navajo0.4%——

German10.6%22.9%12.5%

Irish5.7%13.5%9.4%

English4.2%13.1%9.5%

Norwegian2.2%7.5%—

American1.9%5.4%5.3%

French1.4%—1.6%

Scottish1.0%2.6%1.3%

Italian0.8%3.2%4.8%

Mexican1.8%2.9%11.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MT HD 16	Montana	United States
Median age	34.4	40.8	39.1
Age 18–24	9.4%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	13.2%	20.0%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MT HD 16	Montana	United States
Median household income	$51,802	$72,509	$84,427
Poverty rate	30.4%	11.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	16.5%	35.3%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MT HD 16	Montana	United States
Owner-occupied homes	67.1%	69.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	32.9%	30.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$168,600	$375,800	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$685	$1,081	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	36.1%	44.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	21.8%	13.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MT HD 16	Montana	United States
Mean commute	14.7 min	19.1 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	1.1%	4.8%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	62.7%	71.1%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.7%	0.6%	3.2%
Works from home	12.9%	12.5%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MT HD 16	Montana	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	8.1%	4.2%	22.3%
German or other West Germanic	2.7%	0.8%	0.5%
Other languages	4.0%	0.7%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	MT HD 16	Montana	United States
Catholic	—	10.3%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	13.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	65.3%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MT HD 16	Montana	United States
Foreign-born residents	0.9%	2.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.2%	1.2%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.7%	1.1%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.4%	9.0%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.487	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic53.8%2,275TrumpRepublican42.4%1,793OtherAll other candidates3.8%159

D+11.4

Lead: 482
Total: 4,227
vs nation: D+12.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic58.7%2,706TrumpRepublican38.5%1,775OtherAll other candidates2.8%129

D+20.2

Lead: 931
Total: 4,610
vs nation: D+15.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic55.3%2,268TrumpRepublican37.7%1,545OtherAll other candidates7.0%289

D+17.6

Lead: 723
Total: 4,102
vs nation: D+15.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic59.9%2,135RomneyRepublican37.7%1,342OtherAll other candidates2.4%87

D+22.3

Lead: 793
Total: 3,564
vs nation: D+18.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic63.1%2,475McCainRepublican35.1%1,378OtherAll other candidates1.8%69

D+28.0

Lead: 1,097
Total: 3,922
vs nation: D+20.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic51.5%1,932BushRepublican46.7%1,750OtherAll other candidates1.8%69

D+4.9

Lead: 182
Total: 3,751
vs nation: D+7.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic47.2%1,607BushRepublican48.0%1,633OtherAll other candidates4.8%164

R+0.8

Lead: 26
Total: 3,404
vs nation: R+1.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic50.3%1,669DoleRepublican36.1%1,199OtherAll other candidates13.5%449

D+14.2

Lead: 470
Total: 3,317
vs nation: D+5.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+11.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 10,9262024 5-year
Population density: 4.2 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 2,631 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $51,8022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 30.9%2024 5-year
Black: 0.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+41.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+50.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 9, ND · twin score 88.3

presidential history

Party record book

Montana 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1920–2024 · 27 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

70.1%

1,786 votes · D+41.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 64.6%

Republican

Warren G. Harding1920

73.9%

1,226 votes · R+50.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 62.4%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

2,706votes

58.7% of the vote · D+20.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 2,475 votes

Republican

Ronald Reagan1980

2,184votes

61.8% of the vote · R+33.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 2,135 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

+20.7pts D vs U.S.

Place D+28.0 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +18.4 pts

Republican

Warren G. Harding1920

+24.6pts R vs U.S.

Place R+50.8 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · +23.6 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DTyson Running WolfState House · 16

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

Anchored in Missoula, this compact urban district delivered a 11.4-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, making it a reliable anchor for the left flank of Montana's otherwise competitive legislative map.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 50.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.4 points.

A population of 10,926, a 31% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,802 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 9 and State House District 41.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 9

% Catholicelasticity% unaffiliated≠ Norwegian ancestry

State House District 41

elasticity2008 margin% White≠ % Catholic

State House District 41

% Catholic% unaffiliated% White≠ % Latino

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Montana 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Montana 16th State House District

counties it covers1

Frequently asked questions

How did Montana 16th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Montana 16th State House District voted Democratic by 11.4 points (D+11.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 4,227 votes cast, 2,275 went Democratic and 1,793 went Republican.

When did Montana 16th State House District last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Montana 16th State House District voted Republican was 2000.

How many people live in Montana 16th State House District?

Montana 16th State House District has a population of 10,926 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Montana 16th State House District?

Median household income in Montana 16th State House District is $51,802 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.

What is the political history of Montana 16th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 16th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.