akashic
1876–2024
Toole County, Montana
Toole County·Montana

Toole County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

A Hi-Line oil patch county where margins routinely exceed 50 points

18762024·38 elections
Toole County, Montana · Aualliso · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+57
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
5,061
2024 ACS
Most similar
Washington County
KY · similarity 1.00
5 precincts · 2,046 votes cast
Trump · R+57
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−56.5%
4151,5712,046
2020R
−53.3%
4671,5962,119
2016R
−53.8%
4021,4972,037
2012R
−40.8%
5821,4402,102
2008R
−27.3%
7371,3172,121
2004R
−38.6%
6901,5832,311
2000R
−42.4%
6301,6392,378
1996R
−13.3%
8741,2032,482
1992R
−3.3%
8549432,717
1988R
−16.5%
1,0701,5052,634
1984R
−41.9%
7891,9492,768
1980R
−47.9%
6342,0002,850
1976R
−14.9%
1,0801,4692,603
1972R
−27.8%
8971,6792,815
1968R
−13.3%
1,0481,4072,708
1964D
+14.8%
1,6491,2232,874
1960D
+5.7%
1,7671,5773,348
1956R
−13.8%
1,4601,9273,387
1952R
−13.0%
1,4261,8533,294
1948D
+23.0%
1,7561,0922,888
1944D
+16.2%
1,5451,1132,668
1940D
+23.1%
1,9541,2183,182
1936D
+50.8%
2,1206542,884
1932D
+36.7%
1,9178622,874
1928R
−10.3%
1,0761,3252,422
1924R
−13.9%
4396971,859
1920R
−32.5%
4058611,405
1916D
+19.1%
1,0756981,972
1912
No data
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
0.6%
African American
1.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
21.1%
Other Christian
15.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.9%
Baptist
3.8%
Methodist
2.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Toole County hugs the Canadian border along Montana's Hi-Line, where a sparse, agriculture-and-energy economy has produced some of the state's most lopsided presidential results for decades running.

The Democratic margin in Toole County peaked at fifty-one points in 1936. By 1968 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Toole County's median household income of $57,731 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and Bowman County.