akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 9·Montana

Montana 9th State Senate District delivered R+14 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Montana's most reliably Republican legislative districts

18762024·38 elections
MT
Latest
R+14
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
74,323
2024 ACS

Montana 9th State Senate District, Montana: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+14%. Democratic peak: D+50 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
74,3232024 5-year
Median household income
$74,4342024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
89.5%2024 5-year
Black
0.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+50 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+32 in 1980MIT Election Lab
4 counties · 0 D · 4 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−13.7%
17,03522,66941,103
R
−12.0%
17,78622,76241,596
R
−14.8%
13,23518,47535,304
R
−10.0%
14,78518,18433,899
D
+0.7%
16,53516,30333,696
R
−18.4%
12,55418,35131,563
R
−25.1%
10,00217,44229,586
R
−4.1%
12,08513,29029,188
D
+2.8%
11,52710,71529,379
R
−2.6%
12,81013,49526,850
R
−26.5%
9,66316,75526,732
R
−31.6%
7,65115,85425,976
R
−10.5%
10,15512,58323,152
R
−26.1%
7,81713,68422,510
R
−16.5%
7,46710,66019,333
D
+12.7%
10,8298,38119,243
R
−3.1%
9,51910,12419,665
R
−18.7%
7,73811,29519,033
R
−20.5%
7,44311,29418,801
D
+9.5%
8,4156,92215,739
D
+10.5%
7,9856,45614,520
D
+17.0%
9,8436,96316,963
D
+41.8%
10,2934,12914,739
D
+22.3%
8,6225,40014,456
R
−15.5%
5,2457,18412,500
R
−19.9%
2,6514,81010,876
R
−29.2%
3,7176,97611,163
D
+14.2%
6,7674,99912,421
O
+7.1%
1,8321,4495,409
R
−5.3%
1,9842,2254,523
R
−23.5%
1,6362,7834,875
D
+9.3%
2,6352,1844,872
D
+50.3%
3,4261,1264,570
D
+1.5%
1,6501,5884,163
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
24.1%
Irish
15.0%
English
14.5%
American
6.0%
Italian
3.2%
Scottish
2.7%
French
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.2%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.2%
Spanish1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
14.8%
Other Christian
12.9%
Mainline Protestant
6.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.6%
Methodist
1.4%
Baptist
1.2%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 32 points, this sparsely populated district reflects the deep Republican lean common to Montana's rural eastern and central regions, where ranching and extractive industries shape both the economy and the electorate.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fifty points in 1896; the Republican margin reached thirty-two points in 1980. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 74,323, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $74,434 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 9, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 9, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 9, Montana voted Republican by 13.7 points (R+14), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 41,103 votes cast, 17,035 went Democratic and 22,669 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 9, Montana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 9, Montana as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 21 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 9, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 9, Montana voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in State Senate District 9, Montana?
State Senate District 9, Montana has a population of 74,323 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 9, Montana?
Median household income in State Senate District 9, Montana is $74,434 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of State Senate District 9, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 9, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.