- Lead
- 310
- Total
- 442
- vs nation
- R+68.7
- Turnout
- 76.2%
Treasure County, MT
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 76.2% of 592 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 295
- Total
- 460
- vs nation
- R+68.6
- Turnout
- 86.4%
- Lead
- 292
- Total
- 443
- vs nation
- R+68.0
- Turnout
- 67.6%
- Lead
- 205
- Total
- 455
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 158
- Total
- 486
- vs nation
- R+39.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 227
- Total
- 482
- vs nation
- R+44.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 238
- Total
- 479
- vs nation
- R+50.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 66
- Total
- 498
- vs nation
- R+21.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+70.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7322024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,9172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Boise County, ID · twin score 83.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 76.2%451 participants ÷ 592 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +8.3 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -10.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 67.9%–71.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 461 | 682 | 67.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 419 | 624 | 67.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 469 | 543 | 86.4% | A/D |
| 2022 · Midterm | 430 | 551 | 78.0% | A/D |
| 2024 · Presidential | 451 | 592 | 76.2% | A/D |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
1 precincts · 442 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 57 | 367 | 18 | 442 | 12.9% | 83.0% | R+70.1 |
|---|
Presidential margin, 1920–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1920 | −47.4% |
| 1924 | −39.3% |
| 1928 | −31.1% |
| 1932 | +5.7% |
| 1936 | +23.0% |
| 1940 | +5.6% |
| 1944 | −0.9% |
| 1948 | +6.8% |
| 1952 | −31.3% |
| 1956 | −14.4% |
| 1960 | −5.3% |
| 1964 | +6.3% |
| 1968 | −20.9% |
| 1972 | −35.0% |
| 1976 | −13.5% |
| 1980 | −25.3% |
| 1984 | −25.0% |
| 1988 | −11.2% |
| 1992 | −9.0% |
| 1996 | −13.3% |
| 2000 | −49.7% |
| 2004 | −47.1% |
| 2008 | −32.5% |
| 2012 | −45.1% |
| 2016 | −65.9% |
| 2020 | −64.1% |
| 2024 | −70.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1934Special · Class II | R | 46.9%James E. Murray291 | 52.7%Scott Leavitt327 | 620 |
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 560 |
| 2018 | 551 |
| 2020 | 546 |
| 2022 | 526 |
| 2024 | 512 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−3 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −45 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −5 |
| 2012 | +10 |
| 2013 | −31 |
| 2014 | +1 |
| 2015 | −4 |
| 2016 | −2 |
| 2017 | −11 |
| 2018 | −1 |
| 2019 | +18 |
| 2021 | +11 |
| 2022 | −13 |
| 2023 | +18 |
| 2024 | −33 |
| 2025 | −3 |
Treasure County's 861 residents make it one of the smallest electorates in the mountain West, yet its Yellowstone River ranch country has delivered some of Montana's most lopsided presidential margins for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 70.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 70.1 points.
A population of 732, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,917 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Boise County and Slope County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Treasure County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.