akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 15·Montana

Montana 15th State Senate District has voted Republican in seven straight presidential cycles.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MT
Latest
R+45
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
22,734
2024 ACS

Montana 15th State Senate District, Montana: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+45%. Democratic peak: D+53 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+45MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
22,7342024 5-year
Median household income
$65,7292024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
69.5%2024 5-year
Black
0.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+53 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+45 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
5 counties · 0 D · 5 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−45.0%
2,7047,42410,495
R
−42.4%
3,0747,79511,135
R
−42.3%
2,5096,6919,883
R
−26.0%
3,5176,0899,874
R
−10.1%
4,4765,51410,303
R
−20.2%
3,9626,01310,172
R
−22.1%
3,5825,7309,725
D
+6.2%
4,8294,15410,964
D
+4.7%
4,3363,79211,606
R
−6.8%
5,2976,08711,577
R
−28.2%
4,4588,02312,627
R
−30.2%
3,8297,59512,487
D
+3.6%
5,8535,44411,496
R
−21.4%
4,3576,83811,604
R
−8.5%
4,7475,68911,019
D
+21.9%
7,1094,54511,692
D
+5.0%
6,2145,62211,877
D
+4.4%
6,3955,85312,248
R
−16.8%
4,4606,28110,811
D
+21.6%
5,5023,4479,495
D
+21.0%
5,7063,7029,530
D
+26.1%
7,3384,26511,783
D
+53.2%
9,5072,75812,685
D
+28.1%
6,1753,09810,946
R
−16.6%
3,9055,5099,635
O
−28.1%
9433,1667,900
R
−37.0%
2,0545,1088,251
D
+26.8%
5,1262,8418,523
O
+1.1%
174167646
R
−23.8%
126211357
R
−37.2%
84186274
R
−21.3%
5991150
D
+7.4%
514495
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
20.0%
American
8.8%
Irish
8.2%
English
5.9%
Italian
2.1%
Scottish
1.5%
Polish
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
0.9%
2.3%
75–84
3.0%
5.7%
65–74
5.4%
6.6%
55–64
6.2%
5.2%
45–54
5.0%
6.3%
35–44
6.1%
6.2%
25–34
5.9%
4.2%
18–24
3.9%
10.2%
5–17
9.7%
3.7%
<5
2.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$65,729
State Senate District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 15$65,729
Montana$72,509
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.3%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.7%
Working age (18–64)15.1%
Seniors (65+)15.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.6%
speak English only
Other Indo-European0.7%
Spanish0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
16.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.0%
Other Christian
8.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.5%
Baptist
0.7%
Methodist
0.5%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Montana 15th State Senate District sits in the Northern Rockies. Its political identity has been Republican for as long as anyone now living can remember. 2 consecutive presidential elections in modern records have gone for the Republican candidate, often by margins that would be considered landslide territory anywhere else.

The Republican margin in Montana 15th State Senate District reached its widest at forty-five points in 2024. The margin in 2024 was forty-five points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $65,729, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 22,734 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 15, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 15, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 15, Montana voted Republican by 45.0 points (R+45), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,495 votes cast, 2,704 went Democratic and 7,424 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 15, Montana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 15, Montana as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 18 times, and other 2 times.
When did State Senate District 15, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 15, Montana voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in State Senate District 15, Montana?
State Senate District 15, Montana has a population of 22,734 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 15, Montana?
Median household income in State Senate District 15, Montana is $65,729 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of State Senate District 15, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 15, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.