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state senate district

Montana 16th State Senate District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

Blackfeet0.7%1.0%—

Turtle Mountain Chippewa0.5%——

German7.4%22.9%12.5%

Norwegian5.0%7.5%—

American3.7%5.4%5.3%

Irish3.3%13.5%9.4%

English3.1%13.1%9.5%

Scottish0.8%2.6%1.3%

Swedish0.8%1.4%—

French0.7%—1.6%

Mexican1.7%2.9%11.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MT SD 16	Montana	United States
Median age	33.3	40.8	39.1
Age 18–24	8.0%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.8%	20.0%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MT SD 16	Montana	United States
Median household income	$56,518	$72,509	$84,427
Poverty rate	28.9%	11.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	24.1%	35.3%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MT SD 16	Montana	United States
Owner-occupied homes	62.9%	69.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	37.1%	30.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$119,000	$375,800	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$541	$1,081	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	25.5%	44.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	23.3%	13.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MT SD 16	Montana	United States
Mean commute	16.6 min	19.1 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	2.3%	4.8%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	66.9%	71.1%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.4%	0.6%	3.2%
Works from home	9.9%	12.5%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MT SD 16	Montana	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.2%	4.2%	22.3%
German or other West Germanic	1.1%	0.8%	0.5%
Other languages	1.8%	0.7%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	MT SD 16	Montana	United States
Catholic	—	10.3%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	13.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	65.3%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MT SD 16	Montana	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.0%	2.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.4%	1.2%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.7%	1.1%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.8%	9.0%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.476	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic49.9%3,775TrumpRepublican45.4%3,436OtherAll other candidates4.7%355

D+4.5

Lead: 339
Total: 7,566
vs nation: D+6.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic56.2%4,290TrumpRepublican41.6%3,174OtherAll other candidates2.3%173

D+14.6

Lead: 1,116
Total: 7,637
vs nation: D+10.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic50.5%3,337TrumpRepublican41.5%2,744OtherAll other candidates8.0%530

D+9.0

Lead: 593
Total: 6,611
vs nation: D+6.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic63.7%4,606RomneyRepublican34.3%2,483OtherAll other candidates1.9%140

D+29.4

Lead: 2,123
Total: 7,229
vs nation: D+25.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic67.4%5,185McCainRepublican30.1%2,312OtherAll other candidates2.5%191

D+37.4

Lead: 2,873
Total: 7,688
vs nation: D+30.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic60.1%4,302BushRepublican38.4%2,748OtherAll other candidates1.5%107

D+21.7

Lead: 1,554
Total: 7,157
vs nation: D+24.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic58.1%4,036BushRepublican38.5%2,672OtherAll other candidates3.4%237

D+19.6

Lead: 1,364
Total: 6,945
vs nation: D+19.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic58.7%4,558DoleRepublican26.9%2,091OtherAll other candidates14.3%1,113

D+31.8

Lead: 2,467
Total: 7,762
vs nation: D+23.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+4.5MIT Election Lab
Population: 20,6312024 5-year
Population density: 2.4 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 8,619 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $56,5182024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 26.8%2024 5-year
Black: 0.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+100.0 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+9.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State Senate District 21, MT · twin score 95.8

presidential history

Party record book

Montana 16th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Grover Cleveland1892

100.0%

95 votes · D+100.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 84.7%

Republican

Warren G. Harding1920

51.7%

2,954 votes · R+9.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 45.4%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

7,946votes

83.1% of the vote · D+68.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 6,513 votes

Republican

Ronald Reagan1984

3,459votes

43.4% of the vote · D+12.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 3,436 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Grover Cleveland1892

+98.3pts D vs U.S.

Place D+100.0 · U.S. D+1.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +75.6 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

−6.0pts R vs U.S.

Place D+4.5 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −6.4 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DJonathan Windy BoyState Senate · 16

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 1 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	41.3%3,530	58.7%5,018	8,548

Centered on Missoula's urban neighborhoods and the University of Montana campus, this district recorded a 4.5-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024 — an outlier in a state that otherwise swung heavily Republican that cycle.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 100.0 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 9.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.5 points.

A population of 20,631, a 27% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,518 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 21 and State Senate District 8.

Political twins — state-senate districts

The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State Senate District 21

elasticity2008 marginpopulation scale

State Senate District 8

elasticity2008 marginpopulation scale

State Senate District 3

2008 margin12-yr trend% White≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Montana 16th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Montana 16th State Senate District

counties it covers5

Blaine County Hill County Phillips County Roosevelt County Valley County

Frequently asked questions

How did Montana 16th State Senate District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Montana 16th State Senate District voted Democratic by 4.5 points (D+4.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 7,566 votes cast, 3,775 went Democratic and 3,436 went Republican.

When did Montana 16th State Senate District last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Montana 16th State Senate District voted Republican was 1920.

How many people live in Montana 16th State Senate District?

Montana 16th State Senate District has a population of 20,631 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Montana 16th State Senate District?

Median household income in Montana 16th State Senate District is $56,518 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.

What is the political history of Montana 16th State Senate District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 16th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 31 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.