Akashic

county

Stillwater County, MT

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1916–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1916 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German26.5%22.9%12.5%

Irish14.0%13.5%9.4%

English13.0%13.1%9.5%

Norwegian9.1%7.5%—

American5.0%5.4%5.3%

French2.9%—1.6%

Dutch2.8%——

Italian2.5%3.2%4.8%

Mexican1.9%2.9%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.4%0.2%1.8%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Stillwater County	Montana	United States
Median age	46.7	40.8	39.1
Age 18–24	6.3%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	25.3%	20.0%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Stillwater County	Montana	United States
Median household income	$84,732	$72,509	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.3%	11.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	32.3%	35.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Stillwater County	Montana	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	1.5%	4.2%	22.3%

Religious landscape

Measure	Stillwater County	Montana	United States
Catholic	2.0%	10.3%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	16.7%	13.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	66.7%	65.3%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	6.6%	4.7%	5.2%
Latter-day Saints	5.6%	4.7%	2.0%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 82.8% of 7,237 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic17.9%1,056TrumpRepublican79.6%4,699KennedyIndependent1.6%96

R+61.7

Lead: 3,643
Total: 5,906
vs nation: R+60.2
Turnout: 82.8%

BidenDemocratic20.2%1,156TrumpRepublican78.0%4,462JorgensenLibertarian1.9%106

R+57.8

Lead: 3,306
Total: 5,724
vs nation: R+62.2
Turnout: 77.4%

ClintonDemocratic18.6%908TrumpRepublican75.1%3,661JohnsonLibertarian5.2%251

R+56.5

Lead: 2,753
Total: 4,873
vs nation: R+58.6
Turnout: 68.8%

ObamaDemocratic26.5%1,248RomneyRepublican71.0%3,337GRAYLibertarian2.5%117

R+44.4

Lead: 2,089
Total: 4,702
vs nation: R+48.3
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic32.4%1,512McCainRepublican64.1%2,991OtherAll other candidates3.5%164

R+31.7

Lead: 1,479
Total: 4,667
vs nation: R+39.0
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic24.3%1,025BushRepublican73.3%3,090OtherAll other candidates2.3%98

R+49.0

Lead: 2,065
Total: 4,213
vs nation: R+46.6
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic23.6%925BushRepublican70.6%2,765NaderGreen3.6%141

R+47.0

Lead: 1,840
Total: 3,918
vs nation: R+47.5
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic33.7%1,282DoleRepublican49.2%1,871PerotReform16.3%618

R+15.5

Lead: 589
Total: 3,800
vs nation: R+24.0
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+61.7MIT Election Lab
Population: 9,1822024 5-year
Median household income: $84,7322024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 92.0%2024 5-year
Black: 0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+12.8 in 1916MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+61.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Arthur County, NE · twin score 86.1

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 82.8%5,990 participants ÷ 7,237 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +13.2 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -6.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 69.6%–75.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	5,006	7,271	68.8%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	4,933	7,291	67.7%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	5,785	7,473	77.4%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	4,560	7,097	64.3%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	5,990	7,237	82.8%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

9 precincts · 5,906 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Stillwater County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -COLUMBUS RURAL PRECINCT 1COLUMBUS RURAL PRECINCT 1	224	1,370	34	1,628	13.8%	84.2%	R+70.4
Precinct -PARK CITY PRECINCT 2PARK CITY PRECINCT 2	251	1,161	47	1,459	17.2%	79.6%	R+62.4
Precinct -ABSAROKEE PRECINCT 13ABSAROKEE PRECINCT 13	225	758	29	1,012	22.2%	74.9%	R+52.7
Precinct -COLUMBUS CITY PRECINCT 3COLUMBUS CITY PRECINCT 3	181	748	24	953	19.0%	78.5%	R+59.5
Precinct -REED POINT PRECINCT 4REED POINT PRECINCT 4	39	197	3	239	16.3%	82.4%	R+66.1
Precinct -FISHTAIL PRECINCT 11FISHTAIL PRECINCT 11	55	150	4	209	26.3%	71.8%	R+45.5
Precinct -RAPELJE PRECINCT 9RAPELJE PRECINCT 9	18	156	1	175	10.3%	89.1%	R+78.9
Precinct -NYE PRECINCT 10NYE PRECINCT 10	58	92	9	159	36.5%	57.9%	R+21.4
Precinct -MOLT PRECINCT 7MOLT PRECINCT 7	5	67	0	72	6.9%	93.1%	R+86.1

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1916–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1916	+12.8%
1920	−43.3%
1924	−44.0%
1928	−40.5%
1932	+8.0%
1936	+10.7%
1940	−2.2%
1944	−12.5%
1948	−11.8%
1952	−34.6%
1956	−20.6%
1960	−16.8%
1964	−0.4%
1968	−30.5%
1972	−39.3%
1976	−11.5%
1980	−30.5%
1984	−31.2%
1988	−15.2%
1992	−5.8%
1996	−15.5%
2000	−47.0%
2004	−49.0%
2008	−31.7%
2012	−44.4%
2016	−56.5%
2020	−57.8%
2024	−61.7%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	17.9%Harris1,056	79.6%Trump4,699	1.6%Kennedy96 +2	R+61.7	R+3.9	R+60.2	5,906
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican79.6%4,699 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic17.9%1,056 Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent1.6%96 Chase OliverLibertarian0.7%42 Jill SteinIndependent0.2%13
2020	R	20.2%Biden1,156	78.0%Trump4,462	1.9%Jorgensen106	R+57.8	R+1.3	R+62.2	5,724
2016	R	18.6%Clinton908	75.1%Trump3,661	5.2%Johnson251	R+56.5	R+12.1	R+58.6	4,873
2012	R	26.5%Obama1,248	71.0%Romney3,337	2.5%GRAY117	R+44.4	R+12.7	R+48.3	4,702
2008	R	32.4%Obama1,512	64.1%McCain2,991	3.5%	R+31.7	D+17.3	R+39.0	4,667
2004	R	24.3%Kerry1,025	73.3%Bush3,090	2.3%	R+49.0	R+2.1	R+46.6	4,213
2000	R	23.6%Gore925	70.6%Bush2,765	3.6%Nader141	R+47.0	R+31.5	R+47.5	3,918
1996	R	33.7%Clinton1,282	49.2%Dole1,871	16.3%Perot618	R+15.5	R+9.7	R+24.0	3,800
1992	R	32.4%Clinton1,178	38.2%Bush1,390	29.0%Perot1,056	R+5.8	D+9.4	R+11.4	3,640
1988	R	41.6%Dukakis1,407	56.8%Bush1,920	1.5%	R+15.2	D+16.1	R+7.5	3,379
1984	R	33.8%Mondale1,100	65.0%Reagan2,118	1.2%	R+31.2	R+0.8	R+13.0	3,258
1980	R	30.8%Carter919	61.3%Reagan1,828	7.9%	R+30.5	R+19.0	R+20.7	2,984
1976	R	43.4%Carter1,143	54.9%Ford1,446	1.7%	R+11.5	D+27.8	R+13.6	2,635
1972	R	28.7%McGovern716	67.9%Nixon1,698	3.4%	R+39.3	R+8.8	R+16.1	2,499
1968	R	30.7%Humphrey676	61.2%Nixon1,347	8.1%	R+30.5	R+30.0	R+29.8	2,201
1964	R	49.8%Johnson1,130	50.2%Goldwater1,140	0.0%	R+0.4	D+16.4	R+23.0	2,271
1960	R	41.6%Kennedy1,036	58.4%Nixon1,455	0.0%	R+16.8	D+3.8	R+17.0	2,491
1956	R	39.7%Stevenson1,013	60.3%Eisenhower1,540	0.0%	R+20.6	D+14.0	R+5.2	2,553
1952	R	32.4%Stevenson816	67.0%Eisenhower1,689	0.6%	R+34.6	R+22.8	R+23.9	2,520
1948	R	42.6%Truman890	54.5%Dewey1,137	2.9%	R+11.8	D+0.6	R+16.3	2,087
1944	R	43.6%Roosevelt934	56.1%Dewey1,201	0.3%	R+12.5	R+10.3	R+20.0	2,142
1940	R	48.5%Roosevelt1,201	50.7%Willkie1,255	0.8%	R+2.2	R+12.8	R+12.1	2,475
1936	D	53.3%Roosevelt1,292	42.7%Landon1,034	4.0%	D+10.7	D+2.7	R+13.6	2,422
1932	D	52.2%Roosevelt1,281	44.2%Hoover1,085	3.5%	D+8.0	D+48.5	R+9.8	2,453
1928	R	29.5%Smith711	70.1%Hoover1,687	0.4%	R+40.5	D+3.4	R+23.1	2,408
1924	R	15.9%Davis375	59.9%Coolidge1,412	24.0%La Follette567	R+44.0	R+0.7	R+18.8	2,358
1920	R	27.2%Cox664	70.5%Harding1,721	2.3%	R+43.3	R+56.1	R+17.1	2,441
1916	D	54.8%Wilson1,197	42.0%Hughes918	3.2%	D+12.8	—	D+9.6	2,185
1912	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1908	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1904	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1900	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 1 Senate special · 13 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	17.8%1,042	82.2%4,804	5,846
2020	R	23.5%1,343	76.5%4,366	5,709
2018	R	28.6%1,350	71.4%3,373	4,723

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	22.8%1,352	75.4%4,473	5,932
2020Class II	R	23.9%Steve Bullock1,374	76.1%Steve Daines4,370	5,744
2018Class I	R	30.9%Jon Tester1,501	65.9%Matthew Rosendale3,206	4,864
2014Class II	R	26.4%Amanda Curtis991	71.8%Steve Daines2,692	3,750
2012Class I	R	36.7%Jon Tester1,732	56.8%Denny Rehberg2,684	4,724
2008Class II	D	67.2%Max Baucus3,022	32.8%Bob Kelleher1,474	4,496
2006Class I	R	39.3%Jon Tester1,556	57.1%Conrad Burns2,262	3,961
2002Class II	D	57.8%Max Baucus1,888	37.0%Mike Taylor1,207	3,265
2000Class I	R	37.9%Brian Schweitzer1,487	59.7%Conrad Burns2,342	3,926
1996Class II	R	42.8%Max Baucus1,633	51.5%Denny Rehberg1,961	3,811
1994Class I	R	27.4%Jack Mudd924	72.6%Conrad Burns2,449	3,373
1990Class II	D	72.9%Max Baucus2,215	24.7%Allen C. Kolstad751	3,039
1988Class I	R	47.9%John Melcher1,637	52.1%Conrad Burns1,779	3,416
1984Class II	D	57.7%Max Baucus1,873	40.8%Chuck Cozzens1,324	3,244
1982Class I	D	56.9%John Melcher1,617	40.1%Larry Williams1,139	2,841
1978Class II	D	56.6%Max Baucus1,517	43.4%Larry Williams1,161	2,678
1976Class I	D	64.6%John Melcher1,729	35.4%Stanley C. Burger948	2,677
1972Class II	R	44.7%Lee Metcalf1,137	55.3%Henry S. Hibbard1,409	2,546
1970Class I	D	52.6%Mike Mansfield1,066	47.4%Harold E. Wallace962	2,028
1966Class II	R	44.4%Lee Metcalf957	55.6%Tim Babcock1,200	2,157
1964Class I	D	54.5%Mike Mansfield1,268	45.5%Alex Blewett1,059	2,327
1960Class II	R	41.7%Lee Metcalf1,086	58.3%Orvin B. Fjare1,518	2,604
1958Class I	D	65.3%Mike Mansfield1,554	34.7%Lou W. Welch825	2,379
1954Class II	R	43.4%James E. Murray1,075	56.6%Wesley A. D'Ewart1,403	2,478
1952Class I	R	37.4%Mike Mansfield940	62.1%Zales N. Ecton1,562	2,515
1948Class II	R	46.6%James E. Murray967	53.0%Tom J. Davis1,100	2,077
1946Class I	R	33.6%Leif Erickson641	65.9%Zales N. Ecton1,256	1,907
1942Class II	R	43.7%James E. Murray806	53.9%Wellington Rankin994	1,843
1940Class I	D	66.3%Burton K. Wheeler1,608	33.7%E.K. Cheadle817	2,425
1936Class II	D	44.3%James E. Murray1,019	39.7%T.O. Larson912	2,299
1934Class I	D	60.8%Burton K. Wheeler1,289	38.8%George Bourquin822	2,120
1930Class II	D	49.6%Thomas J. Walsh1,093	49.4%Albert J. Galen1,090	2,205
1928Class I	R	41.5%Burton K. Wheeler1,004	58.5%Joseph M. Dixon1,417	2,421
1924Class II	R	37.8%Thomas J. Walsh887	59.0%Frank B. Linderman1,383	2,344
1922Class I	R	41.4%Burton K. Wheeler777	58.2%Carl Riddick1,091	1,876
1918Class II	R	40.7%Thomas J. Walsh412	49.8%Oscar M. Lanstrum504	1,013
1916Class I	D	50.7%Henry L. Myers1,121	47.1%Charles N. Pray1,042	2,212

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1934Special · Class II	R	49.0%James E. Murray1,010	50.8%Scott Leavitt1,047	2,062

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	18.2%Ryan Busse1,076	79.6%Greg Gianforte4,709	5,917
2020	R	22.1%Mike Cooney And Casey Schreiner1,263	75.0%Greg Gianyes4,292	5,726
2016	R	35.3%Steve Bullock1,748	61.4%Greg Gianforte3,036	4,945
2012	R	34.8%Steve Bullock1,634	61.7%Rick Hill2,894	4,691
2008	D	57.2%Brian Schweitzer2,654	40.8%Roy Brown1,891	4,638
2004	R	42.7%Brian Schweitzer1,774	54.1%Bob Brown2,246	4,151
2000	R	35.8%Mark O'Keefe1,392	62.1%Judy Martz2,417	3,892
1996	R	16.0%Judy Jacobson620	84.0%Marc Racicot3,243	3,863
1992	R	41.7%Dorothy Bradley1,513	58.3%Marc Racicot2,113	3,626
1988	R	44.9%Thomas Lee Judge1,526	53.6%Stan Stephens1,821	3,400
1984	D	72.4%Ted Schwinden2,319	25.3%Pat M. Goodover810	3,203
1980	D	55.3%Ted Schwinden1,644	44.7%Jack Ramirez1,331	2,975
1976	D	59.7%Thomas Lee Judge1,514	40.3%Bob Woodahl1,022	2,536

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Stillwater County, MT
Year	Total registered
2016	6,104
2018	6,155
2020	6,639
2022	6,780
2024	7,299

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+22 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +1,015 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $76,901 in average income, against $93,819 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+21.4 on average — 40 points more Democratic-leaning than Stillwater County, MT itself (R+61.7).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Yellowstone County, MT91R+27.1
Gallatin County, MT21D+3.2

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Yellowstone County, MT111

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Stillwater County, MT in Stillwater County, MT: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+46
2012	+10
2013	+75
2014	−35
2015	+184
2016	−53
2017	+50
2018	+66
2019	+157
2021	+63
2022	+185
2023	+45
2024	+200
2025	+22

Stillwater County, anchored by the small city of Columbus, sits in south-central Montana's Yellowstone River corridor and posted a Republican presidential margin exceeding 60 points in 2024, placing it among the state's most one-sided jurisdictions.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 12.8 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 61.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.7 points.

A population of 9,182, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,732 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Arthur County and Sully County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Arthur County

Nebraska

86.1twin score

% White2024 margin% Catholic≠ 2008 margin

Sully County

South Dakota

84.3twin score

2000–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic

Slope County

North Dakota

83.6twin score

2000–2024 trajectory≠ population scale

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Stillwater County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Stillwater County, Montana vote in 2024?

In 2024, Stillwater County, Montana voted Republican by 61.7 points (R+61.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,906 votes cast, 1,056 went Democratic and 4,699 went Republican.

When did Stillwater County, Montana last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Stillwater County, Montana voted Democratic was 1936.

How many people live in Stillwater County, Montana?

Stillwater County, Montana has a population of 9,182 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Stillwater County, Montana?

Median household income in Stillwater County, Montana is $84,732 — above the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.

What is the political history of Stillwater County, Montana?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Stillwater County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.

Measure

Stillwater County

Montana

United States

Median age

46.7

40.8

39.1

Age 18–24

6.3%

9.1%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

25.3%

20.0%

17.2%

Measure

Stillwater County

Montana

United States

Median household income

$84,732

$72,509

$84,427

Poverty rate

8.3%

11.5%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

32.3%

35.3%

35.6%

Measure

Stillwater County

Montana

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

1.5%

4.2%

22.3%

Measure

Stillwater County

Montana

United States

Catholic

2.0%

10.3%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

16.7%

13.6%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

66.7%

65.3%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

6.6%

4.7%

5.2%

Latter-day Saints

5.6%

4.7%

2.0%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+61.7MIT Election Lab

Population

9,1822024 5-year

Median household income

$84,7322024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

92.0%2024 5-year

Black

0.0%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

3.5%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+12.8 in 1916MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+61.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Arthur County, NE · twin score 86.1

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

5,006

7,271

68.8%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

4,933

7,291

67.7%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

5,785

7,473

77.4%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

4,560

7,097

64.3%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

5,990

7,237

82.8%

A/A

Stillwater County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -COLUMBUS RURAL PRECINCT 1COLUMBUS RURAL PRECINCT 1

224

1,370

1,628

13.8%

84.2%

R+70.4

Precinct -PARK CITY PRECINCT 2PARK CITY PRECINCT 2

251

1,161

1,459

17.2%

79.6%

R+62.4

Precinct -ABSAROKEE PRECINCT 13ABSAROKEE PRECINCT 13

225

758

1,012

22.2%

74.9%

R+52.7

Precinct -COLUMBUS CITY PRECINCT 3COLUMBUS CITY PRECINCT 3

181

748

953

19.0%

78.5%

R+59.5

Precinct -REED POINT PRECINCT 4REED POINT PRECINCT 4

197

239

16.3%

82.4%

R+66.1

Precinct -FISHTAIL PRECINCT 11FISHTAIL PRECINCT 11

150

209

26.3%

71.8%

R+45.5

Precinct -RAPELJE PRECINCT 9RAPELJE PRECINCT 9

156

175

10.3%

89.1%

R+78.9

Precinct -NYE PRECINCT 10NYE PRECINCT 10

159

36.5%

57.9%

R+21.4

Precinct -MOLT PRECINCT 7MOLT PRECINCT 7

6.9%

93.1%

R+86.1

Presidential margin, 1916–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1916	+12.8%
1920	−43.3%
1924	−44.0%
1928	−40.5%
1932	+8.0%
1936	+10.7%
1940	−2.2%
1944	−12.5%
1948	−11.8%
1952	−34.6%
1956	−20.6%
1960	−16.8%
1964	−0.4%
1968	−30.5%
1972	−39.3%
1976	−11.5%
1980	−30.5%
1984	−31.2%
1988	−15.2%
1992	−5.8%
1996	−15.5%
2000	−47.0%
2004	−49.0%
2008	−31.7%
2012	−44.4%
2016	−56.5%
2020	−57.8%
2024	−61.7%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

17.9%Harris1,056

79.6%Trump4,699

1.6%Kennedy96 +2

R+61.7

R+3.9

R+60.2

5,906

All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican79.6%4,699
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic17.9%1,056
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent1.6%96
Chase OliverLibertarian0.7%42
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%13

2020

20.2%Biden1,156

78.0%Trump4,462

1.9%Jorgensen106

R+57.8

R+1.3

R+62.2

5,724

2016

18.6%Clinton908

75.1%Trump3,661

5.2%Johnson251

R+56.5

R+12.1

R+58.6

4,873

2012

26.5%Obama1,248

71.0%Romney3,337

2.5%GRAY117

R+44.4

R+12.7

R+48.3

4,702

2008

32.4%Obama1,512

64.1%McCain2,991

3.5%

R+31.7

D+17.3

R+39.0

4,667

2004

24.3%Kerry1,025

73.3%Bush3,090

2.3%

R+49.0

R+2.1

R+46.6

4,213

2000

23.6%Gore925

70.6%Bush2,765

3.6%Nader141

R+47.0

R+31.5

R+47.5

3,918

1996

33.7%Clinton1,282

49.2%Dole1,871

16.3%Perot618

R+15.5

R+9.7

R+24.0

3,800

1992

32.4%Clinton1,178

38.2%Bush1,390

29.0%Perot1,056

R+5.8

D+9.4

R+11.4

3,640

1988

41.6%Dukakis1,407

56.8%Bush1,920

1.5%

R+15.2

D+16.1

R+7.5

3,379

1984

33.8%Mondale1,100

65.0%Reagan2,118

1.2%

R+31.2

R+0.8

R+13.0

3,258

1980

30.8%Carter919

61.3%Reagan1,828

7.9%

R+30.5

R+19.0

R+20.7

2,984

1976

43.4%Carter1,143

54.9%Ford1,446

1.7%

R+11.5

D+27.8

R+13.6

2,635

1972

28.7%McGovern716

67.9%Nixon1,698

3.4%

R+39.3

R+8.8

R+16.1

2,499

1968

30.7%Humphrey676

61.2%Nixon1,347

8.1%

R+30.5

R+30.0

R+29.8

2,201

1964

49.8%Johnson1,130

50.2%Goldwater1,140

0.0%

R+0.4

D+16.4

R+23.0

2,271

1960

41.6%Kennedy1,036

58.4%Nixon1,455

0.0%

R+16.8

D+3.8

R+17.0

2,491

1956

39.7%Stevenson1,013

60.3%Eisenhower1,540

0.0%

R+20.6

D+14.0

R+5.2

2,553

1952

32.4%Stevenson816

67.0%Eisenhower1,689

0.6%

R+34.6

R+22.8

R+23.9

2,520

1948

42.6%Truman890

54.5%Dewey1,137

2.9%

R+11.8

D+0.6

R+16.3

2,087

1944

43.6%Roosevelt934

56.1%Dewey1,201

0.3%

R+12.5

R+10.3

R+20.0

2,142

1940

48.5%Roosevelt1,201

50.7%Willkie1,255

0.8%

R+2.2

R+12.8

R+12.1

2,475

1936

53.3%Roosevelt1,292

42.7%Landon1,034

4.0%

D+10.7

D+2.7

R+13.6

2,422

1932

52.2%Roosevelt1,281

44.2%Hoover1,085

3.5%

D+8.0

D+48.5

R+9.8

2,453

1928

29.5%Smith711

70.1%Hoover1,687

0.4%

R+40.5

D+3.4

R+23.1

2,408

1924

15.9%Davis375

59.9%Coolidge1,412

24.0%La Follette567

R+44.0

R+0.7

R+18.8

2,358

1920

27.2%Cox664

70.5%Harding1,721

2.3%

R+43.3

R+56.1

R+17.1

2,441

1916

54.8%Wilson1,197

42.0%Hughes918

3.2%

D+12.8

—

D+9.6

2,185

1912

—

No data

—

1908

—

No data

—

1904

—

No data

—

1900

—

No data

—

1896

—

No data

—

1892

—

No data

—

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

17.8%1,042

82.2%4,804

5,846

2020

23.5%1,343

76.5%4,366

5,709

2018

28.6%1,350

71.4%3,373

4,723

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

22.8%1,352

75.4%4,473

5,932

2020Class II

23.9%Steve Bullock1,374

76.1%Steve Daines4,370

5,744

2018Class I

30.9%Jon Tester1,501

65.9%Matthew Rosendale3,206

4,864

2014Class II

26.4%Amanda Curtis991

71.8%Steve Daines2,692

3,750

2012Class I

36.7%Jon Tester1,732

56.8%Denny Rehberg2,684

4,724

2008Class II

67.2%Max Baucus3,022

32.8%Bob Kelleher1,474

4,496

2006Class I

39.3%Jon Tester1,556

57.1%Conrad Burns2,262

3,961

2002Class II

57.8%Max Baucus1,888

37.0%Mike Taylor1,207

3,265

2000Class I

37.9%Brian Schweitzer1,487

59.7%Conrad Burns2,342

3,926

1996Class II

42.8%Max Baucus1,633

51.5%Denny Rehberg1,961

3,811

1994Class I

27.4%Jack Mudd924

72.6%Conrad Burns2,449

3,373

1990Class II

72.9%Max Baucus2,215

24.7%Allen C. Kolstad751

3,039

1988Class I

47.9%John Melcher1,637

52.1%Conrad Burns1,779

3,416

1984Class II

57.7%Max Baucus1,873

40.8%Chuck Cozzens1,324

3,244

1982Class I

56.9%John Melcher1,617

40.1%Larry Williams1,139

2,841

1978Class II

56.6%Max Baucus1,517

43.4%Larry Williams1,161

2,678

1976Class I

64.6%John Melcher1,729

35.4%Stanley C. Burger948

2,677

1972Class II

44.7%Lee Metcalf1,137

55.3%Henry S. Hibbard1,409

2,546

1970Class I

52.6%Mike Mansfield1,066

47.4%Harold E. Wallace962

2,028

1966Class II

44.4%Lee Metcalf957

55.6%Tim Babcock1,200

2,157

1964Class I

54.5%Mike Mansfield1,268

45.5%Alex Blewett1,059

2,327

1960Class II

41.7%Lee Metcalf1,086

58.3%Orvin B. Fjare1,518

2,604

1958Class I

65.3%Mike Mansfield1,554

34.7%Lou W. Welch825

2,379

1954Class II

43.4%James E. Murray1,075

56.6%Wesley A. D'Ewart1,403

2,478

1952Class I

37.4%Mike Mansfield940

62.1%Zales N. Ecton1,562

2,515

1948Class II

46.6%James E. Murray967

53.0%Tom J. Davis1,100

2,077

1946Class I

33.6%Leif Erickson641

65.9%Zales N. Ecton1,256

1,907

1942Class II

43.7%James E. Murray806

53.9%Wellington Rankin994

1,843

1940Class I

66.3%Burton K. Wheeler1,608

33.7%E.K. Cheadle817

2,425

1936Class II

44.3%James E. Murray1,019

39.7%T.O. Larson912

2,299

1934Class I

60.8%Burton K. Wheeler1,289

38.8%George Bourquin822

2,120

1930Class II

49.6%Thomas J. Walsh1,093

49.4%Albert J. Galen1,090

2,205

1928Class I

41.5%Burton K. Wheeler1,004

58.5%Joseph M. Dixon1,417

2,421

1924Class II

37.8%Thomas J. Walsh887

59.0%Frank B. Linderman1,383

2,344

1922Class I

41.4%Burton K. Wheeler777

58.2%Carl Riddick1,091

1,876

1918Class II

40.7%Thomas J. Walsh412

49.8%Oscar M. Lanstrum504

1,013

1916Class I

50.7%Henry L. Myers1,121

47.1%Charles N. Pray1,042

2,212

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1934Special · Class II

49.0%James E. Murray1,010

50.8%Scott Leavitt1,047

2,062

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

18.2%Ryan Busse1,076

79.6%Greg Gianforte4,709

5,917

2020

22.1%Mike Cooney And Casey Schreiner1,263

75.0%Greg Gianyes4,292

5,726

2016

35.3%Steve Bullock1,748

61.4%Greg Gianforte3,036

4,945

2012

34.8%Steve Bullock1,634

61.7%Rick Hill2,894

4,691

2008

57.2%Brian Schweitzer2,654

40.8%Roy Brown1,891

4,638

2004

42.7%Brian Schweitzer1,774

54.1%Bob Brown2,246

4,151

2000

35.8%Mark O'Keefe1,392

62.1%Judy Martz2,417

3,892

1996

16.0%Judy Jacobson620

84.0%Marc Racicot3,243

3,863

1992

41.7%Dorothy Bradley1,513

58.3%Marc Racicot2,113

3,626

1988

44.9%Thomas Lee Judge1,526

53.6%Stan Stephens1,821

3,400

1984

72.4%Ted Schwinden2,319

25.3%Pat M. Goodover810

3,203

1980

55.3%Ted Schwinden1,644

44.7%Jack Ramirez1,331

2,975

1976

59.7%Thomas Lee Judge1,514

40.3%Bob Woodahl1,022

2,536

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Stillwater County, MT
Year	Total registered
2016	6,104
2018	6,155
2020	6,639
2022	6,780
2024	7,299

How did Stillwater County, Montana vote in 2024?

In 2024, Stillwater County, Montana voted Republican by 61.7 points (R+61.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,906 votes cast, 1,056 went Democratic and 4,699 went Republican.

When did Stillwater County, Montana last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Stillwater County, Montana voted Democratic was 1936.

How many people live in Stillwater County, Montana?

Stillwater County, Montana has a population of 9,182 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Stillwater County, Montana?

Median household income in Stillwater County, Montana is $84,732 — above the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.

What is the political history of Stillwater County, Montana?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Stillwater County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.