HarrisDemocratic25.3%3,653TrumpRepublican71.9%10,368OtherAll other candidates2.8%409
R+46.5- Lead
- 6,715
- Total
- 14,430
- vs nation
- R+45.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Montana 28th State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic27.1%3,827TrumpRepublican70.3%9,916OtherAll other candidates2.5%355
R+43.2- Lead
- 6,089
- Total
- 14,098
- vs nation
- R+47.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic24.4%2,911TrumpRepublican69.2%8,235OtherAll other candidates6.4%760
R+44.7- Lead
- 5,324
- Total
- 11,906
- vs nation
- R+46.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic31.0%3,591RomneyRepublican66.4%7,695OtherAll other candidates2.6%296
R+35.4- Lead
- 4,104
- Total
- 11,582
- vs nation
- R+39.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic36.6%4,192McCainRepublican60.1%6,883OtherAll other candidates3.3%374
R+23.5- Lead
- 2,691
- Total
- 11,449
- vs nation
- R+30.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic29.1%3,062BushRepublican68.6%7,223OtherAll other candidates2.3%241
R+39.5- Lead
- 4,161
- Total
- 10,526
- vs nation
- R+37.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic26.0%2,504BushRepublican67.7%6,533OtherAll other candidates6.3%608
R+41.8- Lead
- 4,029
- Total
- 9,645
- vs nation
- R+42.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic35.4%3,333DoleRepublican48.8%4,592OtherAll other candidates15.7%1,481
R+13.4- Lead
- 1,259
- Total
- 9,406
- vs nation
- R+21.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+46.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,1992024 5-year
- Population density
- 4.1 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 5,217 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $82,3542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 6, MT · twin score 97.1
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 28th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1896–2024 · 33 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
63.2%
885 votes · D+26.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 59.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
71.9%
10,368 votes · R+46.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 70.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
4,747votes
59.3% of the vote · D+22.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 4,489 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
10,368votes
71.9% of the vote · R+46.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9,916 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+32.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+26.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +2.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+47.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +46.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RForrest MandevilleState Senate · 28
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With roughly 21,000 residents spread across Montana's open terrain, District 28 has delivered Republican presidential margins near or above 20 points in recent cycles, reflecting the ranching and small-town demographic profile common to the state's interior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.4 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 46.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.5 points.
A population of 21,199, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,354 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 6 and State Senate District 38.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 6
Montana
97.1twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
State Senate District 38
Montana
96.9twin score
2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity
State Senate District 44
Montana
96.3twin score
2012–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ French ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 28th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30028/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Montana 28th State Senate District
counties it covers3
Frequently asked questions
How did Montana 28th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 28th State Senate District voted Republican by 46.5 points (R+46.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,430 votes cast, 3,653 went Democratic and 10,368 went Republican.
When did Montana 28th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 28th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Montana 28th State Senate District?
Montana 28th State Senate District has a population of 21,199 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 28th State Senate District?
Median household income in Montana 28th State Senate District is $82,354 — above the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 28th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 28th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.