Helena, Montana
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +6.3% |
| 2008 | +25.3% |
| 2012 | +20.2% |
| 2016 | +20.1% |
| 2020 | +25.1% |
| 2024 | +23.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 59.9%Harris10,861 | 36.6%Trump6,638 | 3.5% | D+23.3 | R+1.8 | D+24.8 | 18,141 | |
| D | 61.2%Biden11,654 | 36.1%Trump6,880 | 2.7% | D+25.1 | D+5.0 | D+20.6 | 19,050 | |
| D | 55.7%Clinton8,931 | 35.6%Trump5,710 | 8.7% | D+20.1 | R+0.1 | D+18.0 | 16,035 | |
| D | 58.8%Obama9,192 | 38.6%Romney6,039 | 2.6% | D+20.2 | R+5.2 | D+16.3 | 15,645 | |
| D | 61.5%Obama9,819 | 36.1%McCain5,774 | 2.4% | D+25.3 | D+19.1 | D+18.0 | 15,975 | |
| D | 52.0%Kerry7,260 | 45.8%Bush6,388 | 2.2% | D+6.3 | — | D+8.7 | 13,951 |
Helena's mix of state-government workers, university employees, and a historically Democratic downtown core makes it one of Montana's more competitive urban precincts, even as the surrounding county trends Republican in federal races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.3 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.3 points.
A population of 33,639, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,036 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Missoula and Coralville.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Helena, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3035600/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.