HarrisDemocratic32.2%2,333TrumpRepublican64.9%4,699OtherAll other candidates2.9%211
R+32.7- Lead
- 2,366
- Total
- 7,243
- vs nation
- R+31.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Montana 84th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic31.6%2,147TrumpRepublican65.1%4,420OtherAll other candidates3.3%225
R+33.5- Lead
- 2,273
- Total
- 6,792
- vs nation
- R+37.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic27.6%1,454TrumpRepublican61.7%3,248OtherAll other candidates10.7%563
R+34.1- Lead
- 1,794
- Total
- 5,265
- vs nation
- R+36.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic31.6%1,559RomneyRepublican65.3%3,223OtherAll other candidates3.1%151
R+33.7- Lead
- 1,664
- Total
- 4,933
- vs nation
- R+37.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic36.1%1,716McCainRepublican60.5%2,875OtherAll other candidates3.4%162
R+24.4- Lead
- 1,159
- Total
- 4,753
- vs nation
- R+31.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic28.5%1,286BushRepublican69.7%3,148OtherAll other candidates1.8%83
R+41.2- Lead
- 1,862
- Total
- 4,517
- vs nation
- R+38.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic23.9%998BushRepublican69.2%2,893OtherAll other candidates6.9%288
R+45.3- Lead
- 1,895
- Total
- 4,179
- vs nation
- R+45.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic29.9%1,162DoleRepublican58.2%2,261OtherAll other candidates11.9%463
R+28.3- Lead
- 1,099
- Total
- 3,886
- vs nation
- R+36.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,7232024 5-year
- Population density
- 31 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 343 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $99,3752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.2 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 17, MT · twin score 94.8
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 84th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
65.1%
418 votes · D+30.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 49.0%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
77.6%
1,537 votes · R+55.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 76.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
2,333votes
32.2% of the vote · R+32.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,147 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,699votes
64.9% of the vote · R+32.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,420 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+36.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+30.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · −9.7 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+45.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.3 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · +45.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJulie DarlingState House · 84
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of just 1.7 points, HD-84 sits well inside statewide swing territory, making it a reliable bellwether for shifts in Montana's competitive suburban and rural precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.2 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 55.2 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.8 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.7 points.
A population of 10,723, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $99,375 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 17 and State House District 56.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 17
Montana
94.8twin score
2012–2020 trajectorypopulation scale
State House District 56
Montana
89.2twin score
population scale2012–2020 trajectory≠ college share
State House District 50
Montana
86.4twin score
2012–2024 trajectorypopulation scale≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 84th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30084/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Montana 84th State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Montana 84th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 84th State House District voted Republican by 32.7 points (R+32.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,243 votes cast, 2,333 went Democratic and 4,699 went Republican.
When did Montana 84th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 84th State House District voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Montana 84th State House District?
Montana 84th State House District has a population of 10,723 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 84th State House District?
Median household income in Montana 84th State House District is $99,375 — above the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 84th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 84th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.