- Lead
- 4,493
- Total
- 10,134
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- 60.6%
Stutsman County, ND
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.6% of 16,927 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,318
- Total
- 9,959
- vs nation
- R+47.8
- Turnout
- 61.4%
- Lead
- 4,220
- Total
- 10,155
- vs nation
- R+43.6
- Turnout
- 62.6%
- Lead
- 2,100
- Total
- 9,558
- vs nation
- R+25.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,443
- Total
- 9,784
- vs nation
- R+22.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,079
- Total
- 10,122
- vs nation
- R+28.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,421
- Total
- 9,118
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 195
- Total
- 8,593
- vs nation
- R+10.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,5492024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,8562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wilkin County, MN · twin score 90.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.6%10,262 participants ÷ 16,927 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 39.2%–48.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,345 | 16,531 | 62.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 9,820 | 16,528 | 59.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 10,077 | 16,424 | 61.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,802 | 17,027 | 39.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 10,262 | 16,927 | 60.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
21 precincts · 10,134 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -2020 | 343 | 1,394 | 32 | 1,769 | 19.4% | 78.8% | R+59.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -6060 | 482 | 956 | 34 | 1,472 | 32.7% | 64.9% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -8080 | 409 | 950 | 41 | 1,400 | 29.2% | 67.9% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -5050 | 382 | 731 | 36 | 1,149 | 33.2% | 63.6% | R+30.4 |
| Precinct -7070 | 336 | 764 | 38 | 1,138 | 29.5% | 67.1% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -4040 | 224 | 646 | 21 | 891 | 25.1% | 72.5% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -9090 | 246 | 603 | 31 | 880 | 28.0% | 68.5% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -3030 | 199 | 550 | 13 | 762 | 26.1% | 72.2% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct -1010 | 71 | 591 | 11 | 673 | 10.5% | 87.8% | R+77.3 |
| Stutsman 29-01 Voting District01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stutsman 29-02 Voting District02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stutsman 29-03 Voting District03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stutsman 29-04 Voting District04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stutsman 29-05 Voting District05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stutsman 29-06 Voting District06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stutsman 29-07 Voting District07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stutsman 29-08 Voting District08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stutsman 29-09 Voting District09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stutsman 29-10 Voting District10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stutsman 29-11 Voting District11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stutsman 29-12 Voting District12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −53.9% |
| 1896 | −9.8% |
| 1900 | −20.1% |
| 1904 | −59.1% |
| 1908 | −13.6% |
| 1912 | +12.8% |
| 1916 | +5.0% |
| 1920 | −57.9% |
| 1924 | −50.0% |
| 1928 | −10.5% |
| 1932 | +40.6% |
| 1936 | +30.3% |
| 1940 | −18.2% |
| 1944 | −13.0% |
| 1948 | −10.0% |
| 1952 | −35.9% |
| 1956 | −19.8% |
| 1960 | −13.7% |
| 1964 | +15.5% |
| 1968 | −17.7% |
| 1972 | −26.7% |
| 1976 | −7.1% |
| 1980 | −38.8% |
| 1984 | −30.3% |
| 1988 | −12.0% |
| 1992 | −7.3% |
| 1996 | −2.3% |
| 2000 | −26.6% |
| 2004 | −30.4% |
| 2008 | −14.7% |
| 2012 | −22.0% |
| 2016 | −41.6% |
| 2020 | −43.4% |
| 2024 | −44.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−20 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −613 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,214 in average income, against $86,808 for residents who stayed — 43% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+24.1 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Stutsman County, ND itself (R+44.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cass County, ND50R+8.3
- Barnes County, ND33R+35.0
- Burleigh County, ND23R+42.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cass County, ND70
- Burleigh County, ND43
- Barnes County, ND29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −86 |
| 2012 | −21 |
| 2013 | +111 |
| 2014 | +9 |
| 2015 | −90 |
| 2016 | +13 |
| 2017 | +59 |
| 2018 | −268 |
| 2019 | −189 |
| 2021 | +84 |
| 2022 | −83 |
| 2023 | −61 |
| 2024 | −71 |
| 2025 | −20 |
Stutsman County's presidential margins have exceeded R+40 in recent elections, reflecting the rural, agriculture-dependent economy that defines much of central North Dakota. Jamestown, the county seat, is home to roughly half the county's population.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 59.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.3 points.
A population of 21,549, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,856 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wilkin County and Codington County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Stutsman County, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/38093/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.