- Lead
- 5,509
- Total
- 13,510
- vs nation
- R+39.3
- Turnout
- 62.6%
Codington County, SD
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.6% of 21,984 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,121
- Total
- 13,161
- vs nation
- R+43.4
- Turnout
- 63.8%
- Lead
- 4,590
- Total
- 11,669
- vs nation
- R+41.4
- Turnout
- 57.3%
- Lead
- 2,108
- Total
- 11,524
- vs nation
- R+22.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 779
- Total
- 12,185
- vs nation
- R+13.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,975
- Total
- 12,751
- vs nation
- R+20.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,526
- Total
- 11,138
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 273
- Total
- 11,055
- vs nation
- R+11.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,7672024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,7272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Richland County, ND · twin score 94.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.6%13,771 participants ÷ 21,984 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 52.6%–54.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 11,990 | 20,917 | 57.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,774 | 21,034 | 51.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 13,332 | 20,886 | 63.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 11,464 | 21,299 | 53.8% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 13,771 | 21,984 | 62.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
58 precincts · 13,510 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct-E1 (LAKE, Precinct-E4)Precinct-E1 (LAKE, Precinct-E4) | 379 | 1,008 | 24 | 1,411 | 26.9% | 71.4% | R+44.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct-C3 (PELICAN, Precinct-C4)Precinct-C3 (PELICAN, Precinct-C4) | 405 | 934 | 35 | 1,374 | 29.5% | 68.0% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct-A1Precinct-A1 | 308 | 870 | 26 | 1,204 | 25.6% | 72.3% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct-E2 (Precinct-E3)Precinct-E2 (Precinct-E3) | 311 | 867 | 17 | 1,195 | 26.0% | 72.6% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct-B3 (Precinct-C1)Precinct-B3 (Precinct-C1) | 291 | 637 | 26 | 954 | 30.5% | 66.8% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct-B2Precinct-B2 | 345 | 549 | 30 | 924 | 37.3% | 59.4% | R+22.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct-B1 (Precinct-B4, Precinct-E5)Precinct-B1 (Precinct-B4, Precinct-E5) | 250 | 642 | 24 | 916 | 27.3% | 70.1% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct-C2 (ELMIRA, Precinct-D4)Precinct-C2 (ELMIRA, Precinct-D4) | 253 | 424 | 19 | 696 | 36.4% | 60.9% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct-A3 (Precinct-A4)Precinct-A3 (Precinct-A4) | 182 | 409 | 12 | 603 | 30.2% | 67.8% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct-D1Precinct-D1 | 197 | 378 | 15 | 590 | 33.4% | 64.1% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct-A2Precinct-A2 | 189 | 351 | 13 | 553 | 34.2% | 63.5% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct-D2Precinct-D2 | 155 | 344 | 10 | 509 | 30.5% | 67.6% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct-D3Precinct-D3 | 163 | 312 | 10 | 485 | 33.6% | 64.3% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -FULLER, FLORENCEFULLER, FLORENCE | 59 | 241 | 7 | 307 | 19.2% | 78.5% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -KRANZBURG, KRANZBURGKRANZBURG, KRANZBURG | 36 | 228 | 8 | 272 | 13.2% | 83.8% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -SHERIDANSHERIDAN | 58 | 197 | 7 | 262 | 22.1% | 75.2% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -KAMPESKA (RICHLAND)KAMPESKA (RICHLAND) | 50 | 205 | 4 | 259 | 19.3% | 79.2% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -GERMANTOWN (RAUVILLE)GERMANTOWN (RAUVILLE) | 55 | 179 | 9 | 243 | 22.6% | 73.7% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct -GRACELAND, HENRY, HENRYGRACELAND, HENRY, HENRY | 43 | 190 | 3 | 236 | 18.2% | 80.5% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -EDEN, PHIPPS, WALLACEEDEN, PHIPPS, WALLACE | 34 | 110 | 6 | 150 | 22.7% | 73.3% | R+50.7 |
| Precinct -LEOLA, SOUTH SHORELEOLA, SOUTH SHORE | 35 | 92 | 9 | 136 | 25.7% | 67.6% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -WAVERLYWAVERLY | 20 | 95 | 2 | 117 | 17.1% | 81.2% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -DEXTERDEXTER | 22 | 87 | 5 | 114 | 19.3% | 76.3% | R+57.0 |
| VTD precinct DexterDX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct Eden and PhillipsEP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct ElmiraEL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct Fuller and FlorenceFF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct GermantownGE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct Graceland and HenryGH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct KampeskaKA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct KranzburgKR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct LakeLA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct Leola and South ShoreLS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct PelicanPE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct RauvilleRA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct RichlandRI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct SheridanSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct WaverlyWA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward A1A1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward A2A2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward A3A3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward A4A4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward B1B1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward B2B2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward B3B3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward B4B4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward C1C1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward C2C2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward C3C3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward C4C4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward D1D1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward D2D2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward D3D3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward D4D4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward E1E1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward E2E2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward E3E3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-Watertown ward E4E4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −28.0% |
| 1896 | −15.5% |
| 1900 | −20.0% |
| 1904 | −48.1% |
| 1908 | −30.8% |
| 1912 | +45.0% |
| 1916 | −6.9% |
| 1920 | −40.7% |
| 1924 | −27.4% |
| 1928 | −6.5% |
| 1932 | +30.7% |
| 1936 | +16.4% |
| 1940 | −7.7% |
| 1944 | −3.5% |
| 1948 | +9.3% |
| 1952 | −31.8% |
| 1956 | −15.4% |
| 1960 | −10.5% |
| 1964 | +19.7% |
| 1968 | +3.6% |
| 1972 | −3.5% |
| 1976 | +1.9% |
| 1980 | −25.5% |
| 1984 | −26.7% |
| 1988 | −4.9% |
| 1992 | −2.2% |
| 1996 | −2.5% |
| 2000 | −22.7% |
| 2004 | −23.3% |
| 2008 | −6.4% |
| 2012 | −18.3% |
| 2016 | −39.3% |
| 2020 | −38.9% |
| 2024 | −40.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 21.9%3,532 | 78.1%12,575 | 16,107 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.3 points.
19,032 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+277 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +532 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,924 in average income, against $89,868 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.5 on average — 6.3 points more Democratic-leaning than Codington County, SD itself (R+40.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Minnehaha County, SD55R+12.7
- Hamlin County, SD46R+60.4
- Brown County, SD36R+26.8
- Grant County, SD30R+45.4
- Brookings County, SD26R+17.4
- Deuel County, SD25R+51.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Minnehaha County, SD81
- Brookings County, SD46
- Lincoln County, SD38
- Hamlin County, SD27
- Brown County, SD25
- Deuel County, SD25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +72 |
| 2012 | +43 |
| 2013 | +82 |
| 2014 | −70 |
| 2015 | −197 |
| 2016 | −4 |
| 2017 | −82 |
| 2018 | −194 |
| 2019 | −108 |
| 2021 | +131 |
| 2022 | +195 |
| 2023 | +127 |
| 2024 | +260 |
| 2025 | +277 |
Codington County anchors South Dakota's northeastern lake district, and its small-city core of Watertown hasn't softened a Republican lean that has held above 40 points in recent presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 48.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.8 points.
A population of 28,767, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,727 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Richland County and Wilkin County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Codington County, South Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/46029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.