Akashic

county

Barnes County, ND

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German38.5%34.5%12.5%

Norwegian29.6%20.3%—

Irish6.7%7.3%9.4%

English4.1%5.1%9.5%

Polish3.0%1.6%2.2%

Swedish2.9%3.2%—

American2.2%2.9%5.3%

Dutch2.1%——

Mexican1.6%2.8%11.3%

Chilean0.2%——

Filipino1.4%0.3%0.9%

Burmese0.3%——

Sri Lankan0.3%——

Chamorro0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Barnes County	North Dakota	United States
Median age	43.5	36.4	39.1
Age 18–24	10.4%	11.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	23.3%	16.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Barnes County	North Dakota	United States
Median household income	$68,038	$76,657	$84,427
Poverty rate	12.1%	10.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	30.7%	32.9%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Barnes County	North Dakota	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.6%	6.7%	22.3%
Spanish	1.0%	2.3%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Barnes County	North Dakota	United States
Catholic	15.0%	21.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	13.5%	10.8%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	33.1%	45.0%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	38.4%	21.0%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 64.2% of 8,428 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic31.1%1,661TrumpRepublican66.1%3,531OliverLibertarian1.9%102

R+35.0

Lead: 1,870
Total: 5,339
vs nation: R+33.6
Turnout: 64.2%

BidenDemocratic32.7%1,820TrumpRepublican64.1%3,568JorgensenLibertarian2.9%161

R+31.4

Lead: 1,748
Total: 5,565
vs nation: R+35.9
Turnout: 66.9%

ClintonDemocratic29.9%1,597TrumpRepublican59.1%3,160JohnsonLibertarian7.6%407

R+29.2

Lead: 1,563
Total: 5,344
vs nation: R+31.3
Turnout: 62.6%

ObamaDemocratic43.4%2,394RomneyRepublican53.7%2,964OtherAll other candidates3.0%164

R+10.3

Lead: 570
Total: 5,522
vs nation: R+14.2
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic48.1%2,741McCainRepublican49.6%2,826OtherAll other candidates2.2%127

R+1.5

Lead: 85
Total: 5,694
vs nation: R+8.8
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic37.6%2,186BushRepublican60.9%3,541OtherAll other candidates1.5%86

R+23.3

Lead: 1,355
Total: 5,813
vs nation: R+20.9
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic33.6%1,933BushRepublican60.1%3,452NaderGreen2.8%160

R+26.4

Lead: 1,519
Total: 5,748
vs nation: R+26.9
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic42.4%2,317DoleRepublican44.8%2,449PerotReform12.2%666

R+2.4

Lead: 132
Total: 5,468
vs nation: R+10.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+35.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 10,7732024 5-year
Median household income: $68,0382024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 89.4%2024 5-year
Black: 0.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+30.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+63.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Wilkin County, MN · twin score 92.9

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 64.2%5,413 participants ÷ 8,428 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +20.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -2.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 44.2%–52.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	5,451	8,706	62.6%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	5,117	8,603	59.5%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	5,604	8,381	66.9%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	3,943	8,420	46.8%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	5,413	8,428	64.2%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

30 precincts · 5,339 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Barnes County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -0505	296	537	29	862	34.3%	62.3%	R+28.0
Precinct -0202	280	406	24	710	39.4%	57.2%	R+17.7
Precinct -1111	174	463	13	650	26.8%	71.2%	R+44.5
Precinct -0404	222	388	8	618	35.9%	62.8%	R+26.9
Precinct -0101	157	206	17	380	41.3%	54.2%	R+12.9
Precinct -0606	88	265	8	361	24.4%	73.4%	R+49.0
Precinct -0303	127	218	12	357	35.6%	61.1%	R+25.5
Precinct -1313	77	190	14	281	27.4%	67.6%	R+40.2
Precinct -1212	49	183	3	235	20.9%	77.9%	R+57.0
Precinct -0909	46	173	5	224	20.5%	77.2%	R+56.7
Precinct -1515	34	162	2	198	17.2%	81.8%	R+64.6
Precinct -0808	25	121	5	151	16.6%	80.1%	R+63.6
Precinct -0707	38	100	4	142	26.8%	70.4%	R+43.7
Precinct -1414	22	65	0	87	25.3%	74.7%	R+49.4
Precinct -1010	26	54	3	83	31.3%	65.1%	R+33.7
Barnes 20-06 Voting District06	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 20-10 Voting District10	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 20-12 Voting District12	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 20-13 Voting District13	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 24-01 Voting District01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 24-02 Voting District02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 24-03 Voting District03	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 24-04 Voting District04	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 24-05 Voting District05	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 24-07 Voting District07	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 24-08 Voting District08	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 24-09 Voting District09	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 24-11 Voting District11	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 24-14 Voting District14	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Barnes 24-15 Voting District15	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−41.0%
1896	−0.5%
1900	−10.0%
1904	−59.3%
1908	−27.4%
1912	+16.0%
1916	+6.5%
1920	−63.1%
1924	−45.9%
1928	−6.5%
1932	+30.1%
1936	+27.9%
1940	−15.7%
1944	−11.6%
1948	−7.5%
1952	−44.3%
1956	−24.2%
1960	−15.5%
1964	+14.6%
1968	−17.8%
1972	−23.2%
1976	−9.2%
1980	−30.8%
1984	−26.6%
1988	−11.8%
1992	−9.4%
1996	−2.4%
2000	−26.4%
2004	−23.3%
2008	−1.5%
2012	−10.3%
2016	−29.2%
2020	−31.4%
2024	−35.0%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	31.1%Harris1,661	66.1%Trump3,531	1.9%Oliver102 +1	R+35.0	R+3.6	R+33.6	5,339
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican66.1%3,531 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic31.1%1,661 Chase OliverLibertarian1.9%102 OtherAll other candidates0.8%45
2020	R	32.7%Biden1,820	64.1%Trump3,568	2.9%Jorgensen161	R+31.4	R+2.2	R+35.9	5,565
2016	R	29.9%Clinton1,597	59.1%Trump3,160	7.6%Johnson407	R+29.2	R+18.9	R+31.3	5,344
2012	R	43.4%Obama2,394	53.7%Romney2,964	3.0%	R+10.3	R+8.8	R+14.2	5,522
2008	R	48.1%Obama2,741	49.6%McCain2,826	2.2%	R+1.5	D+21.8	R+8.8	5,694
2004	R	37.6%Kerry2,186	60.9%Bush3,541	1.5%	R+23.3	D+3.1	R+20.9	5,813
2000	R	33.6%Gore1,933	60.1%Bush3,452	2.8%Nader160	R+26.4	R+24.0	R+26.9	5,748
1996	R	42.4%Clinton2,317	44.8%Dole2,449	12.2%Perot666	R+2.4	D+7.0	R+10.9	5,468
1992	R	32.9%Clinton2,124	42.3%Bush2,728	24.3%Perot1,568	R+9.4	D+2.4	R+14.9	6,449
1988	R	43.7%Dukakis2,858	55.5%Bush3,631	0.9%	R+11.8	D+14.8	R+4.1	6,546
1984	R	36.2%Mondale2,507	62.8%Reagan4,348	1.0%	R+26.6	D+4.2	R+8.4	6,925
1980	R	29.0%Carter2,128	59.8%Reagan4,392	11.2%	R+30.8	R+21.6	R+21.1	7,346
1976	R	44.5%Carter3,321	53.8%Ford4,011	1.7%	R+9.2	D+13.9	R+11.3	7,462
1972	R	37.9%McGovern2,804	61.1%Nixon4,518	0.9%	R+23.2	R+5.4	±0.0	7,389
1968	R	38.5%Humphrey2,623	56.3%Nixon3,831	5.2%	R+17.8	R+32.3	R+17.1	6,805
1964	D	57.2%Johnson4,007	42.6%Goldwater2,987	0.2%	D+14.6	D+30.0	R+8.0	7,008
1960	R	42.2%Kennedy3,223	57.7%Nixon4,403	0.0%	R+15.5	D+8.7	R+15.6	7,629
1956	R	37.8%Stevenson2,730	62.0%Eisenhower4,475	0.2%	R+24.2	D+20.1	R+8.8	7,219
1952	R	27.5%Stevenson2,120	71.8%Eisenhower5,534	0.6%	R+44.3	R+36.8	R+33.6	7,703
1948	R	43.9%Truman2,892	51.3%Dewey3,385	4.8%	R+7.5	D+4.2	R+12.0	6,594
1944	R	43.9%Roosevelt2,922	55.6%Dewey3,696	0.5%	R+11.6	D+4.1	R+19.1	6,653
1940	R	42.0%Roosevelt3,384	57.7%Willkie4,649	0.4%	R+15.7	R+43.6	R+25.6	8,062
1936	D	57.9%Roosevelt4,484	30.0%Landon2,324	12.1%	D+27.9	R+2.2	D+3.6	7,746
1932	D	63.0%Roosevelt4,833	33.0%Hoover2,527	4.0%	D+30.1	D+36.6	D+12.3	7,667
1928	R	46.5%Smith3,293	53.0%Hoover3,755	0.5%	R+6.5	D+39.4	D+10.9	7,083
1924	R	5.6%Davis346	51.5%Coolidge3,205	43.0%La Follette2,675	R+45.9	D+17.2	R+20.7	6,228
1920	R	17.2%Cox1,101	80.3%Harding5,150	2.6%	R+63.1	R+69.6	R+36.9	6,416
1916	D	51.6%Wilson1,678	45.1%Hughes1,467	3.3%	D+6.5	R+9.6	D+3.3	3,254
1912	D	40.8%Wilson940	24.7%Taft570	34.5%	D+16.0	D+43.5	R+3.5	2,306
1908	R	34.6%Bryan996	62.1%Taft1,786	3.3%	R+27.4	D+31.9	R+17.9	2,878
1904	R	16.8%Parker451	76.1%Roosevelt2,041	7.0%	R+59.3	R+49.3	R+39.6	2,681
1900	R	43.7%Bryan1,077	53.8%McKinley1,324	2.5%	R+10.0	R+9.6	R+2.5	2,462
1896	R	49.2%Bryan977	49.6%McKinley986	1.2%	R+0.5	D+40.6	D+5.6	1,987
1892	O	0.0%Cleveland0	41.0%Harrison665	59.0%	Weaver +18.0	—	R+42.7	1,621
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	31.0%1,614	69.0%3,600	5,214
2020	R	29.5%1,562	70.5%3,737	5,299
2018	R	41.7%1,992	58.3%2,785	4,777

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	35.8%1,901	64.2%3,403	5,304
2022	R	25.2%978	59.6%2,314	3,884
2018Class I	D	49.9%Heidi Heitkamp2,517	49.7%Kevin Cramer2,507	5,043
2016Class III	R	15.6%Eliot Glassheim835	80.6%John Hoeven4,302	5,338
2012Class I	D	57.5%Heidi Heitkamp3,181	42.1%Rick Berg2,329	5,531
2010Class III	R	23.9%Tracy Potter1,140	74.2%John Hoeven3,538	4,765
2006Class I	D	63.2%Kent Conrad2,930	35.8%Dwight Grotbert1,658	4,633
2004Class III	D	70.4%Byron L. Dorgan4,086	29.6%Mike Liffrig1,716	5,802
2000Class I	D	64.3%Kent Conrad3,694	35.7%Duane Sand2,047	5,741
1998Class III	D	67.4%Byron L. Dorgan3,350	29.7%Donna Nalewaja1,473	4,967
1994Class I	D	61.1%Kent Conrad2,976	38.9%Ben Clayburth1,898	4,874
1992Class III	D	60.7%Byron L. Dorgan3,957	37.6%Steve Sydness2,452	6,518
1988Class I	D	61.8%Quentin Burdick3,660	36.8%Earl Strinden2,182	5,926
1986Class III	D	51.5%Kent Conrad3,301	47.6%Mark Andrews3,048	6,406
1982Class I	D	64.1%Quentin Burdick4,251	33.6%Gene Knorr2,230	6,628
1980Class III	R	28.6%Kent Johanneson2,131	70.6%Mark Andrews5,261	7,456
1976Class I	D	61.4%Quentin Burdick4,450	37.8%Richard Stroup2,742	7,245
1974Class III	D	50.8%William L. Guy3,400	46.3%Milton R. Young3,100	6,691
1970Class I	D	62.1%Quentin Burdick3,735	37.2%Thomas S. Kleppe2,239	6,011
1968Class III	R	33.6%Herschel Lashkowitz2,266	65.3%Milton R. Young4,397	6,735
1964Class I	D	55.3%Quentin Burdick3,956	44.7%Thomas S. Kleppe3,204	7,160
1962Class III	R	38.0%William Lanier2,349	62.0%Milton R. Young3,837	6,186
1958Class I	R	44.6%Raymond Vendsel2,471	53.9%William Langer2,983	5,537
1956Class III	R	36.2%Quentin Burdick2,583	63.5%Milton R. Young4,528	7,127
1952Class I	R	20.0%Harold A. Morrison1,383	62.3%William Langer4,313	6,927
1950Class III	R	31.3%Harry O'Brien1,873	68.7%Milton R. Young4,112	5,985
1946Class I	R	26.8%Abner B. Larson1,319	47.7%William Langer2,351	4,930
1944Class III	D	43.4%John Moses2,819	38.4%Gerald P. Nye2,492	6,494
1940Class I	R	29.2%Charles V. Vogel2,249	29.7%William Langer2,288	7,708
1938Class III	R	3.2%J.J. Nygaard252	65.3%Gerald P. Nye5,163	7,912
1934Class I	R	47.7%Henry Holt3,616	49.1%Lynn J. Frazier3,719	7,573
1932Class III	R	21.2%P.W. Lanier1,552	78.6%Gerald P. Nye5,749	7,314
1928Class I	R	16.7%F.F. Burchard995	82.5%Lynn J. Frazier4,924	5,968
1926Class III	D	8.1%F.F Burchard381	5.6%Gerald P. Nye262	4,708
1922Class I	D	50.9%J.F.T. O'Connor3,109	49.1%Lynn J. Frazier3,000	6,109
1920Class III	R	35.0%H.H. Perry2,443	65.0%Edwin F. Ladd4,533	6,976
1916Class I	R	42.9%John Burke1,220	55.4%Porter J. McCumber1,576	2,847
1914Class III	R	33.7%W.E. Purcell715	62.6%Asle J. Gronna1,327	2,121

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1992Special · Class I	D	64.2%Kent Conrad2,402	32.2%Jack Dalrymple1,206	3,742
1960Special · Class I	R	49.5%Quentin Burdick2,933	49.6%John E. Davis2,938	5,920
1946Special · Class III	R	35.5%William Lanier1,741	51.0%Milton R. Young2,502	4,909

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	26.9%Merrill Piepkorn And Patrick Hart1,417	69.3%Kelly Armstrong And Michelle Strinden3,655	5,277
2020	R	25.7%Shelley Lenz And Ben Vig1,366	71.0%Doug Burgum And Brent Sanford3,775	5,314
2016	R	17.2%Marvin Nelson917	79.2%Doug Burgum4,217	5,327
2012	R	40.7%Ryan Taylor2,240	57.2%Jack Dalrymple3,143	5,499
2008	R	24.3%Tim Mathern1,384	73.4%John Hoeven4,187	5,704
2004	R	27.6%Joe Satrom1,597	71.2%John Hoeven4,121	5,784
2000	R	46.9%Heidi Heitkamp2,702	53.1%John Hoeven3,060	5,762
1996	R	35.3%Lee Kaldor1,902	64.7%Ed Schafer3,491	5,393
1992	R	43.4%Nicholas Spaeth2,795	53.6%Ed Schafer3,453	6,442
1988	D	63.9%George A. Sinner4,291	36.1%Leon Mallberg2,426	6,717
1984	D	57.8%George A. Sinner4,142	42.2%Allen I. Olson3,028	7,170
1980	R	48.6%Arthur A. Link3,601	51.4%Allen I. Olson3,811	7,412
1976	D	51.7%Arthur A. Link3,896	47.3%Richard Elkin3,562	7,529

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−51 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −561 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $61,098 in average income, against $85,687 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+20.6 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Barnes County, ND itself (R+35.0).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Cass County, ND56R+8.3
Stutsman County, ND29R+44.3

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Cass County, ND89
Stutsman County, ND33

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Barnes County, ND in Barnes County, ND: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+32
2012	−97
2013	+134
2014	−45
2015	−20
2016	−90
2017	−199
2018	−106
2019	−69
2021	−65
2022	+43
2023	−7
2024	−21
2025	−51

Barnes County's population has shed roughly a third of its peak mid-century total as farm consolidation reshaped the economy, leaving a predominantly rural electorate that has voted Republican by growing margins in recent presidential contests.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 63.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.0 points.

A population of 10,773, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,038 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wilkin County and Richland County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Wilkin County

Minnesota

92.9twin score

elasticityNorwegian ancestry% White

Richland County

North Dakota

91.3twin score

elasticityNorwegian ancestry12-yr trend≠ % Catholic

Codington County

South Dakota

91.3twin score

elasticity% unaffiliated12-yr trend≠ Norwegian ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

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Cities & towns in Barnes County

Valley City

R+23

6.5K residents

North Dakota at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Barnes County, North Dakota vote in 2024?

In 2024, Barnes County, North Dakota voted Republican by 35.0 points (R+35.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,339 votes cast, 1,661 went Democratic and 3,531 went Republican.

When did Barnes County, North Dakota last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Barnes County, North Dakota voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Barnes County, North Dakota?

Barnes County, North Dakota has a population of 10,773 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Barnes County, North Dakota?

Median household income in Barnes County, North Dakota is $68,038 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Dakota state median is $76,657.

What is the political history of Barnes County, North Dakota?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Barnes County, North Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.

Measure

Barnes County

North Dakota

United States

Median age

43.5

36.4

39.1

Age 18–24

10.4%

11.1%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

23.3%

16.5%

17.2%

Measure

Barnes County

North Dakota

United States

Median household income

$68,038

$76,657

$84,427

Poverty rate

12.1%

10.8%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

30.7%

32.9%

35.6%

Measure

Barnes County

North Dakota

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

3.6%

6.7%

22.3%

Spanish

1.0%

2.3%

13.6%

Measure

Barnes County

North Dakota

United States

Catholic

15.0%

21.1%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

13.5%

10.8%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

33.1%

45.0%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

38.4%

21.0%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+35.0MIT Election Lab

Population

10,7732024 5-year

Median household income

$68,0382024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

89.4%2024 5-year

Black

0.2%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

2.1%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+30.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+63.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Wilkin County, MN · twin score 92.9

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

5,451

8,706

62.6%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

5,117

8,603

59.5%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

5,604

8,381

66.9%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

3,943

8,420

46.8%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

5,413

8,428

64.2%

A/A

Barnes County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -0505

296

537

862

34.3%

62.3%

R+28.0

Precinct -0202

280

406

710

39.4%

57.2%

R+17.7

Precinct -1111

174

463

650

26.8%

71.2%

R+44.5

Precinct -0404

222

388

618

35.9%

62.8%

R+26.9

Precinct -0101

157

206

380

41.3%

54.2%

R+12.9

Precinct -0606

265

361

24.4%

73.4%

R+49.0

Precinct -0303

127

218

357

35.6%

61.1%

R+25.5

Precinct -1313

190

281

27.4%

67.6%

R+40.2

Precinct -1212

183

235

20.9%

77.9%

R+57.0

Precinct -0909

173

224

20.5%

77.2%

R+56.7

Precinct -1515

162

198

17.2%

81.8%

R+64.6

Precinct -0808

121

151

16.6%

80.1%

R+63.6

Precinct -0707

100

142

26.8%

70.4%

R+43.7

Precinct -1414

25.3%

74.7%

R+49.4

Precinct -1010

31.3%

65.1%

R+33.7

Barnes 20-06 Voting District06

—

No votes

Barnes 20-10 Voting District10

—

No votes

Barnes 20-12 Voting District12

—

No votes

Barnes 20-13 Voting District13

—

No votes

Barnes 24-01 Voting District01

—

No votes

Barnes 24-02 Voting District02

—

No votes

Barnes 24-03 Voting District03

—

No votes

Barnes 24-04 Voting District04

—

No votes

Barnes 24-05 Voting District05

—

No votes

Barnes 24-07 Voting District07

—

No votes

Barnes 24-08 Voting District08

—

No votes

Barnes 24-09 Voting District09

—

No votes

Barnes 24-11 Voting District11

—

No votes

Barnes 24-14 Voting District14

—

No votes

Barnes 24-15 Voting District15

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−41.0%
1896	−0.5%
1900	−10.0%
1904	−59.3%
1908	−27.4%
1912	+16.0%
1916	+6.5%
1920	−63.1%
1924	−45.9%
1928	−6.5%
1932	+30.1%
1936	+27.9%
1940	−15.7%
1944	−11.6%
1948	−7.5%
1952	−44.3%
1956	−24.2%
1960	−15.5%
1964	+14.6%
1968	−17.8%
1972	−23.2%
1976	−9.2%
1980	−30.8%
1984	−26.6%
1988	−11.8%
1992	−9.4%
1996	−2.4%
2000	−26.4%
2004	−23.3%
2008	−1.5%
2012	−10.3%
2016	−29.2%
2020	−31.4%
2024	−35.0%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

31.1%Harris1,661

66.1%Trump3,531

1.9%Oliver102 +1

R+35.0

R+3.6

R+33.6

5,339

All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican66.1%3,531
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic31.1%1,661
Chase OliverLibertarian1.9%102
OtherAll other candidates0.8%45

2020

32.7%Biden1,820

64.1%Trump3,568

2.9%Jorgensen161

R+31.4

R+2.2

R+35.9

5,565

2016

29.9%Clinton1,597

59.1%Trump3,160

7.6%Johnson407

R+29.2

R+18.9

R+31.3

5,344

2012

43.4%Obama2,394

53.7%Romney2,964

3.0%

R+10.3

R+8.8

R+14.2

5,522

2008

48.1%Obama2,741

49.6%McCain2,826

2.2%

R+1.5

D+21.8

R+8.8

5,694

2004

37.6%Kerry2,186

60.9%Bush3,541

1.5%

R+23.3

D+3.1

R+20.9

5,813

2000

33.6%Gore1,933

60.1%Bush3,452

2.8%Nader160

R+26.4

R+24.0

R+26.9

5,748

1996

42.4%Clinton2,317

44.8%Dole2,449

12.2%Perot666

R+2.4

D+7.0

R+10.9

5,468

1992

32.9%Clinton2,124

42.3%Bush2,728

24.3%Perot1,568

R+9.4

D+2.4

R+14.9

6,449

1988

43.7%Dukakis2,858

55.5%Bush3,631

0.9%

R+11.8

D+14.8

R+4.1

6,546

1984

36.2%Mondale2,507

62.8%Reagan4,348

1.0%

R+26.6

D+4.2

R+8.4

6,925

1980

29.0%Carter2,128

59.8%Reagan4,392

11.2%

R+30.8

R+21.6

R+21.1

7,346

1976

44.5%Carter3,321

53.8%Ford4,011

1.7%

R+9.2

D+13.9

R+11.3

7,462

1972

37.9%McGovern2,804

61.1%Nixon4,518

0.9%

R+23.2

R+5.4

±0.0

7,389

1968

38.5%Humphrey2,623

56.3%Nixon3,831

5.2%

R+17.8

R+32.3

R+17.1

6,805

1964

57.2%Johnson4,007

42.6%Goldwater2,987

0.2%

D+14.6

D+30.0

R+8.0

7,008

1960

42.2%Kennedy3,223

57.7%Nixon4,403

0.0%

R+15.5

D+8.7

R+15.6

7,629

1956

37.8%Stevenson2,730

62.0%Eisenhower4,475

0.2%

R+24.2

D+20.1

R+8.8

7,219

1952

27.5%Stevenson2,120

71.8%Eisenhower5,534

0.6%

R+44.3

R+36.8

R+33.6

7,703

1948

43.9%Truman2,892

51.3%Dewey3,385

4.8%

R+7.5

D+4.2

R+12.0

6,594

1944

43.9%Roosevelt2,922

55.6%Dewey3,696

0.5%

R+11.6

D+4.1

R+19.1

6,653

1940

42.0%Roosevelt3,384

57.7%Willkie4,649

0.4%

R+15.7

R+43.6

R+25.6

8,062

1936

57.9%Roosevelt4,484

30.0%Landon2,324

12.1%

D+27.9

R+2.2

D+3.6

7,746

1932

63.0%Roosevelt4,833

33.0%Hoover2,527

4.0%

D+30.1

D+36.6

D+12.3

7,667

1928

46.5%Smith3,293

53.0%Hoover3,755

0.5%

R+6.5

D+39.4

D+10.9

7,083

1924

5.6%Davis346

51.5%Coolidge3,205

43.0%La Follette2,675

R+45.9

D+17.2

R+20.7

6,228

1920

17.2%Cox1,101

80.3%Harding5,150

2.6%

R+63.1

R+69.6

R+36.9

6,416

1916

51.6%Wilson1,678

45.1%Hughes1,467

3.3%

D+6.5

R+9.6

D+3.3

3,254

1912

40.8%Wilson940

24.7%Taft570

34.5%

D+16.0

D+43.5

R+3.5

2,306

1908

34.6%Bryan996

62.1%Taft1,786

3.3%

R+27.4

D+31.9

R+17.9

2,878

1904

16.8%Parker451

76.1%Roosevelt2,041

7.0%

R+59.3

R+49.3

R+39.6

2,681

1900

43.7%Bryan1,077

53.8%McKinley1,324

2.5%

R+10.0

R+9.6

R+2.5

2,462

1896

49.2%Bryan977

49.6%McKinley986

1.2%

R+0.5

D+40.6

D+5.6

1,987

1892

0.0%Cleveland0

41.0%Harrison665

59.0%

Weaver +18.0

—

R+42.7

1,621

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

31.0%1,614

69.0%3,600

5,214

2020

29.5%1,562

70.5%3,737

5,299

2018

41.7%1,992

58.3%2,785

4,777

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

35.8%1,901

64.2%3,403

5,304

2022

25.2%978

59.6%2,314

3,884

2018Class I

49.9%Heidi Heitkamp2,517

49.7%Kevin Cramer2,507

5,043

2016Class III

15.6%Eliot Glassheim835

80.6%John Hoeven4,302

5,338

2012Class I

57.5%Heidi Heitkamp3,181

42.1%Rick Berg2,329

5,531

2010Class III

23.9%Tracy Potter1,140

74.2%John Hoeven3,538

4,765

2006Class I

63.2%Kent Conrad2,930

35.8%Dwight Grotbert1,658

4,633

2004Class III

70.4%Byron L. Dorgan4,086

29.6%Mike Liffrig1,716

5,802

2000Class I

64.3%Kent Conrad3,694

35.7%Duane Sand2,047

5,741

1998Class III

67.4%Byron L. Dorgan3,350

29.7%Donna Nalewaja1,473

4,967

1994Class I

61.1%Kent Conrad2,976

38.9%Ben Clayburth1,898

4,874

1992Class III

60.7%Byron L. Dorgan3,957

37.6%Steve Sydness2,452

6,518

1988Class I

61.8%Quentin Burdick3,660

36.8%Earl Strinden2,182

5,926

1986Class III

51.5%Kent Conrad3,301

47.6%Mark Andrews3,048

6,406

1982Class I

64.1%Quentin Burdick4,251

33.6%Gene Knorr2,230

6,628

1980Class III

28.6%Kent Johanneson2,131

70.6%Mark Andrews5,261

7,456

1976Class I

61.4%Quentin Burdick4,450

37.8%Richard Stroup2,742

7,245

1974Class III

50.8%William L. Guy3,400

46.3%Milton R. Young3,100

6,691

1970Class I

62.1%Quentin Burdick3,735

37.2%Thomas S. Kleppe2,239

6,011

1968Class III

33.6%Herschel Lashkowitz2,266

65.3%Milton R. Young4,397

6,735

1964Class I

55.3%Quentin Burdick3,956

44.7%Thomas S. Kleppe3,204

7,160

1962Class III

38.0%William Lanier2,349

62.0%Milton R. Young3,837

6,186

1958Class I

44.6%Raymond Vendsel2,471

53.9%William Langer2,983

5,537

1956Class III

36.2%Quentin Burdick2,583

63.5%Milton R. Young4,528

7,127

1952Class I

20.0%Harold A. Morrison1,383

62.3%William Langer4,313

6,927

1950Class III

31.3%Harry O'Brien1,873

68.7%Milton R. Young4,112

5,985

1946Class I

26.8%Abner B. Larson1,319

47.7%William Langer2,351

4,930

1944Class III

43.4%John Moses2,819

38.4%Gerald P. Nye2,492

6,494

1940Class I

29.2%Charles V. Vogel2,249

29.7%William Langer2,288

7,708

1938Class III

3.2%J.J. Nygaard252

65.3%Gerald P. Nye5,163

7,912

1934Class I

47.7%Henry Holt3,616

49.1%Lynn J. Frazier3,719

7,573

1932Class III

21.2%P.W. Lanier1,552

78.6%Gerald P. Nye5,749

7,314

1928Class I

16.7%F.F. Burchard995

82.5%Lynn J. Frazier4,924

5,968

1926Class III

8.1%F.F Burchard381

5.6%Gerald P. Nye262

4,708

1922Class I

50.9%J.F.T. O'Connor3,109

49.1%Lynn J. Frazier3,000

6,109

1920Class III

35.0%H.H. Perry2,443

65.0%Edwin F. Ladd4,533

6,976

1916Class I

42.9%John Burke1,220

55.4%Porter J. McCumber1,576

2,847

1914Class III

33.7%W.E. Purcell715

62.6%Asle J. Gronna1,327

2,121

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1992Special · Class I

64.2%Kent Conrad2,402

32.2%Jack Dalrymple1,206

3,742

1960Special · Class I

49.5%Quentin Burdick2,933

49.6%John E. Davis2,938

5,920

1946Special · Class III

35.5%William Lanier1,741

51.0%Milton R. Young2,502

4,909

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

26.9%Merrill Piepkorn And Patrick Hart1,417

69.3%Kelly Armstrong And Michelle Strinden3,655

5,277

2020

25.7%Shelley Lenz And Ben Vig1,366

71.0%Doug Burgum And Brent Sanford3,775

5,314

2016

17.2%Marvin Nelson917

79.2%Doug Burgum4,217

5,327

2012

40.7%Ryan Taylor2,240

57.2%Jack Dalrymple3,143

5,499

2008

24.3%Tim Mathern1,384

73.4%John Hoeven4,187

5,704

2004

27.6%Joe Satrom1,597

71.2%John Hoeven4,121

5,784

2000

46.9%Heidi Heitkamp2,702

53.1%John Hoeven3,060

5,762

1996

35.3%Lee Kaldor1,902

64.7%Ed Schafer3,491

5,393

1992

43.4%Nicholas Spaeth2,795

53.6%Ed Schafer3,453

6,442

1988

63.9%George A. Sinner4,291

36.1%Leon Mallberg2,426

6,717

1984

57.8%George A. Sinner4,142

42.2%Allen I. Olson3,028

7,170

1980

48.6%Arthur A. Link3,601

51.4%Allen I. Olson3,811

7,412

1976

51.7%Arthur A. Link3,896

47.3%Richard Elkin3,562

7,529

Frequently asked questions

How did Barnes County, North Dakota vote in 2024?

In 2024, Barnes County, North Dakota voted Republican by 35.0 points (R+35.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,339 votes cast, 1,661 went Democratic and 3,531 went Republican.

When did Barnes County, North Dakota last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Barnes County, North Dakota voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Barnes County, North Dakota?

Barnes County, North Dakota has a population of 10,773 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Barnes County, North Dakota?

Median household income in Barnes County, North Dakota is $68,038 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Dakota state median is $76,657.

What is the political history of Barnes County, North Dakota?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Barnes County, North Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.