HarrisDemocratic26.1%1,173TrumpRepublican70.9%3,186OliverLibertarian2.2%97
R+44.8- Lead
- 2,013
- Total
- 4,496
- vs nation
- R+43.3
- Turnout
- 58.7%
Akashiccounty
Walsh County, ND
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.7% of 7,788 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic27.9%1,333TrumpRepublican69.5%3,324JorgensenLibertarian2.0%95
R+41.6- Lead
- 1,991
- Total
- 4,783
- vs nation
- R+46.1
- Turnout
- 60.7%
ClintonDemocratic25.2%1,167TrumpRepublican64.6%2,995JohnsonLibertarian7.1%330
R+39.4- Lead
- 1,828
- Total
- 4,636
- vs nation
- R+41.5
- Turnout
- 57.7%
ObamaDemocratic41.4%1,985RomneyRepublican55.4%2,656OtherAll other candidates3.1%150
R+14.0- Lead
- 671
- Total
- 4,791
- vs nation
- R+17.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic47.6%2,325McCainRepublican49.5%2,415OtherAll other candidates2.9%142
R+1.8- Lead
- 90
- Total
- 4,882
- vs nation
- R+9.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic36.7%1,905BushRepublican61.6%3,194OtherAll other candidates1.7%87
R+24.9- Lead
- 1,289
- Total
- 5,186
- vs nation
- R+22.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.6%1,743BushRepublican59.8%3,099NaderGreen2.1%107
R+26.2- Lead
- 1,356
- Total
- 5,182
- vs nation
- R+26.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic42.2%2,082DoleRepublican45.0%2,222PerotReform12.1%599
R+2.8- Lead
- 140
- Total
- 4,939
- vs nation
- R+11.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,3962024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,9442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Richland County, ND · twin score 88.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.7%4,575 participants ÷ 7,788 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 42.5%–50.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,776 | 8,282 | 57.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,610 | 8,076 | 57.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,836 | 7,963 | 60.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,530 | 7,937 | 44.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,575 | 7,788 | 58.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 4,496 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -1919 | 1,075 | 2,911 | 126 | 4,112 | 26.1% | 70.8% | R+44.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -2020 | 98 | 275 | 11 | 384 | 25.5% | 71.6% | R+46.1 |
| Walsh 16-01 Voting District01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-02 Voting District02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-03 Voting District03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-04 Voting District04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-05 Voting District05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-06 Voting District06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-07 Voting District07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-08 Voting District08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-09 Voting District09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-10 Voting District10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-11 Voting District11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-12 Voting District12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-13 Voting District13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-14 Voting District14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-15 Voting District15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-16 Voting District16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-17 Voting District17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walsh 16-18 Voting District18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −31.5% |
| 1896 | +11.1% |
| 1900 | −0.1% |
| 1904 | −28.2% |
| 1908 | −3.1% |
| 1912 | +21.5% |
| 1916 | +8.7% |
| 1920 | −37.1% |
| 1924 | −33.3% |
| 1928 | +1.9% |
| 1932 | +51.4% |
| 1936 | +48.2% |
| 1940 | +28.6% |
| 1944 | +31.4% |
| 1948 | +21.7% |
| 1952 | −15.3% |
| 1956 | −9.8% |
| 1960 | −0.3% |
| 1964 | +33.3% |
| 1968 | −6.8% |
| 1972 | −15.3% |
| 1976 | +0.5% |
| 1980 | −38.0% |
| 1984 | −31.1% |
| 1988 | −10.1% |
| 1992 | −10.3% |
| 1996 | −2.8% |
| 2000 | −26.2% |
| 2004 | −24.9% |
| 2008 | −1.8% |
| 2012 | −14.0% |
| 2016 | −39.4% |
| 2020 | −41.6% |
| 2024 | −44.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+13 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −857 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,456 in average income, against $87,337 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.0 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Walsh County, ND itself (R+44.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Grand Forks County, ND28R+18.0
- Pembina County, ND21R+52.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Grand Forks County, ND64
- Cass County, ND50
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −85 |
| 2012 | −8 |
| 2013 | +50 |
| 2014 | −163 |
| 2015 | −81 |
| 2016 | −52 |
| 2017 | −52 |
| 2018 | −171 |
| 2019 | −11 |
| 2021 | −26 |
| 2022 | −21 |
| 2023 | −189 |
| 2024 | −61 |
| 2025 | +13 |
Walsh County anchors the northern Red River Valley with an economy built on sugar beets and small-grain farming. Its electorate has delivered lopsided Republican margins for over two decades, with 2024's R+44.8 result consistent with the broader rural Great Plains shift.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 44.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.8 points.
A population of 10,396, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,944 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Richland County and Pembina County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Richland County
North Dakota
88.1twin score
elasticityNorwegian ancestry% Catholic≠ Polish ancestry
Pembina County
North Dakota
85.3twin score
elasticity12-yr trendNorwegian ancestry≠ % Catholic
Marshall County
Minnesota
85.2twin score
12-yr trendNorwegian ancestryelasticity≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Walsh County, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/38099/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Walsh County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Walsh County, North Dakota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Walsh County, North Dakota voted Republican by 44.8 points (R+44.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,496 votes cast, 1,173 went Democratic and 3,186 went Republican.
When did Walsh County, North Dakota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Walsh County, North Dakota voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Walsh County, North Dakota?
Walsh County, North Dakota has a population of 10,396 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Walsh County, North Dakota?
Median household income in Walsh County, North Dakota is $71,944 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Dakota state median is $76,657.
What is the political history of Walsh County, North Dakota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Walsh County, North Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.