HarrisDemocratic44.4%40,304TrumpRepublican52.7%47,873OliverLibertarian1.8%1,665
R+8.3- Lead
- 7,569
- Total
- 90,851
- vs nation
- R+6.9
- Turnout
- 64.0%
Akashiccounty
Cass County, ND
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.0% of 143,080 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic46.8%40,311TrumpRepublican49.5%42,619JorgensenLibertarian2.9%2,509
R+2.7- Lead
- 2,308
- Total
- 86,053
- vs nation
- R+7.1
- Turnout
- 65.8%
ClintonDemocratic38.8%31,361TrumpRepublican49.3%39,816JohnsonLibertarian7.5%6,085
R+10.5- Lead
- 8,455
- Total
- 80,821
- vs nation
- R+12.6
- Turnout
- 65.7%
ObamaDemocratic47.0%34,712RomneyRepublican49.9%36,855OtherAll other candidates3.1%2,288
R+2.9- Lead
- 2,143
- Total
- 73,855
- vs nation
- R+6.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic52.7%37,622McCainRepublican45.6%32,566OtherAll other candidates1.7%1,231
D+7.1- Lead
- 5,056
- Total
- 71,419
- vs nation
- R+0.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic39.0%26,010BushRepublican59.4%39,619OtherAll other candidates1.6%1,082
R+20.4- Lead
- 13,609
- Total
- 66,711
- vs nation
- R+17.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic36.4%21,451BushRepublican56.8%33,536NaderGreen4.3%2,560
R+20.5- Lead
- 12,085
- Total
- 58,995
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic43.0%21,693DoleRepublican48.0%24,238PerotReform8.2%4,116
R+5.0- Lead
- 2,545
- Total
- 50,471
- vs nation
- R+13.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+8.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 193,4002024 5-year
- Population density
- 110 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,765 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,5552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.5 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Grand Forks County, ND · twin score 94.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.0%91,565 participants ÷ 143,080 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +26.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +3.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 37.7%–48.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 81,791 | 124,502 | 65.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 78,196 | 128,614 | 60.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 86,878 | 131,948 | 65.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 54,272 | 137,177 | 39.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 91,565 | 143,080 | 64.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Cass County, ND · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
57.2%
12,400 votes · D+22.0
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 54.7%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
80.4%
3,788 votes · R+67.5
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 77.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
40,311votes
46.8% of the vote · R+2.7
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 40,304 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
47,873votes
52.7% of the vote · R+8.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 42,619 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+2.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+21.2 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 0.0 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+55.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.0 · U.S. D+1.7
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +47.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+345 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +19,063 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,795 in average income, against $110,418 for residents who stayed — 50% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+17.3 on average — 9.0 points more Republican-leaning than Cass County, ND itself (R+8.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Clay County, MN873D+0.5
- Grand Forks County, ND308R+18.0
- Burleigh County, ND214R+42.8
- Otter Tail County, MN191R+34.1
- Hennepin County, MN162D+42.4
- Becker County, MN140R+33.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Clay County, MN890
- Hennepin County, MN321
- Grand Forks County, ND202
- Burleigh County, ND141
- Maricopa County, AZ138
- Otter Tail County, MN133
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,010 |
| 2012 | +2,060 |
| 2013 | +3,284 |
| 2014 | +1,824 |
| 2015 | +1,795 |
| 2016 | +1,328 |
| 2017 | +835 |
| 2018 | +804 |
| 2019 | −174 |
| 2021 | +3,224 |
| 2022 | +1,691 |
| 2023 | +1,602 |
| 2024 | −565 |
| 2025 | +345 |
Cass County anchors North Dakota's most urban corridor and is home to Fargo, the state's largest city. Despite its population density relative to the state, it still delivered an R+8.3 margin in 2024, underscoring how even college-town metros can lean right in plains states.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 67.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.3 points.
A population of 193,400, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,555 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grand Forks County and Clay County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Grand Forks County
North Dakota
94.2twin score
elasticityNorwegian ancestrymedian age
Clay County
Minnesota
93.3twin score
elasticityNorwegian ancestrymedian age
Brookings County
South Dakota
88.8twin score
elasticitycollege share2008 margin≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cass County, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/38017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Cass County
North Dakota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Cass County, North Dakota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cass County, North Dakota voted Republican by 8.3 points (R+8.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 90,851 votes cast, 40,304 went Democratic and 47,873 went Republican.
When did Cass County, North Dakota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cass County, North Dakota voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Cass County, North Dakota?
Cass County, North Dakota has a population of 193,400 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cass County, North Dakota?
Median household income in Cass County, North Dakota is $75,555 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Dakota state median is $76,657.
What is the political history of Cass County, North Dakota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cass County, North Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.