Bismarck, North Dakota
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −37.3% |
| 2008 | −21.9% |
| 2012 | −27.8% |
| 2016 | −39.6% |
| 2020 | −33.1% |
| 2024 | −36.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 30.6%Harris11,609 | 66.5%Trump25,267 | 2.9% | R+36.0 | R+2.9 | R+34.5 | 37,977 | |
| R | 31.7%Biden11,830 | 64.8%Trump24,172 | 3.5% | R+33.1 | D+6.5 | R+37.5 | 37,300 | |
| R | 25.1%Clinton8,983 | 64.7%Trump23,116 | 10.1% | R+39.6 | R+11.7 | R+41.7 | 35,720 | |
| R | 34.4%Obama11,551 | 62.3%Romney20,879 | 3.3% | R+27.8 | R+5.9 | R+31.7 | 33,533 | |
| R | 38.1%Obama12,784 | 60.1%McCain20,134 | 1.8% | R+21.9 | D+15.4 | R+29.2 | 33,514 | |
| R | 30.5%Kerry9,493 | 67.8%Bush21,101 | 1.7% | R+37.3 | — | R+34.8 | 31,130 |
Bismarck combines its role as North Dakota's administrative hub with a predominantly white-collar workforce tied to state government and energy sectors, producing Republican margins that have held steady across recent cycles despite modest population growth.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 39.6 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.0 points.
A population of 75,556, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,387 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Minot and Quincy.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Bismarck, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3807200/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.