- Lead
- 32,224
- Total
- 70,386
- vs nation
- R+44.3
Bismarck, ND
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 29,556
- Total
- 68,438
- vs nation
- R+47.6
- Lead
- 30,618
- Total
- 64,828
- vs nation
- R+49.3
- Lead
- 18,452
- Total
- 58,013
- vs nation
- R+35.7
- Lead
- 12,983
- Total
- 56,076
- vs nation
- R+30.4
- Lead
- 19,688
- Total
- 52,566
- vs nation
- R+35.0
- Lead
- 16,644
- Total
- 46,756
- vs nation
- R+36.1
- Lead
- 5,905
- Total
- 40,982
- vs nation
- R+22.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+45.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 136,2162024 5-year
- Population density
- 32 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,281 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $84,8692024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.3 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Dickinson, ND · twin score 89.7
presidential history
Party record book
Bismarck, ND · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
71.1%
12,321 votes · D+43.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 66.2%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
82.2%
10,023 votes · R+68.3
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 81.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
21,011votes
37.5% of the vote · R+23.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 18,872 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
50,343votes
71.5% of the vote · R+45.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 47,905 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+25.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.3 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +18.4 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+65.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.6 · U.S. D+1.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +49.3 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+358 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +12,223 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,156 |
| 2012 | +2,071 |
| 2013 | +2,768 |
| 2014 | +1,972 |
| 2015 | +2,035 |
| 2016 | +814 |
| 2017 | −136 |
| 2018 | −694 |
| 2019 | −43 |
| 2021 | +705 |
| 2022 | +393 |
| 2023 | +280 |
| 2024 | +544 |
| 2025 | +358 |
Bismarck's metro tilts heavily Republican in statewide contests, reflecting its energy-sector workforce and largely non-Native demographic composition, while the city itself hosts the governmental institutions that draw a modestly more diverse professional class.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 68.3 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.8 points.
A population of 136,216, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,869 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dickinson, ND and Minot, ND.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bismarck, ND, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/13900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.