- Lead
- 16,635
- Total
- 44,816
- vs nation
- R+35.6
Minnesota 1st State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 14,647
- Total
- 45,222
- vs nation
- R+36.8
- Lead
- 13,346
- Total
- 42,204
- vs nation
- R+33.7
- Lead
- 2,942
- Total
- 41,388
- vs nation
- R+11.0
- Lead
- 1,062
- Total
- 43,308
- vs nation
- R+4.8
- Lead
- 6,544
- Total
- 45,334
- vs nation
- R+12.0
- Lead
- 7,168
- Total
- 41,635
- vs nation
- R+17.7
- Lead
- 2,687
- Total
- 40,556
- vs nation
- R+1.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,1512024 5-year
- Population density
- 10.0 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 8,544 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,1772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 16, MN · twin score 92.0
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 1st State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
72.2%
32,719 votes · D+47.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 69.6%
Republican
Rutherford B. Hayes1876
77.0%
274 votes · R+53.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 74.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
32,719votes
72.2% of the vote · D+47.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 32,403 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
30,277votes
67.6% of the vote · R+37.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 29,451 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Harry S. Truman1948
+29.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+34.3 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1956 · +28.5 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+41.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+61.0 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +36.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 29.8%12,943 | 70.2%30,517 | 43,460 |
Anchoring the state's Red River Valley borderlands, this district delivered a 37.1-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, making it one of Minnesota's most reliably right-leaning constituencies in statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 61.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.1 points.
A population of 85,151, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,177 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 16 and State Senate District 23.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota 1st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.