- Lead
- 731
- Total
- 3,293
- vs nation
- R+20.7
- Turnout
- 69.4%
Norman County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 69.4% of 4,788 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 549
- Total
- 3,441
- vs nation
- R+20.4
- Turnout
- 70.9%
- Lead
- 435
- Total
- 3,261
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Turnout
- 65.6%
- Lead
- 346
- Total
- 3,207
- vs nation
- D+6.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 925
- Total
- 3,434
- vs nation
- D+19.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 160
- Total
- 3,810
- vs nation
- D+6.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 233
- Total
- 3,641
- vs nation
- R+6.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 483
- Total
- 3,722
- vs nation
- D+4.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,3672024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,2602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ransom County, ND · twin score 96.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 69.4%3,321 participants ÷ 4,788 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 50.5%–54.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,321 | 5,059 | 65.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,749 | 4,976 | 55.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,458 | 4,877 | 70.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,534 | 4,871 | 52.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,321 | 4,788 | 69.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
66 precincts · 3,294 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ADA P-2ADA P-2 | 236 | 431 | 20 | 687 | 34.4% | 62.7% | R+28.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TWIN VALLEYTWIN VALLEY | 141 | 179 | 12 | 332 | 42.5% | 53.9% | R+11.4 |
| Precinct -HALSTADHALSTAD | 99 | 123 | 7 | 229 | 43.2% | 53.7% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct -ADA P-1ADA P-1 | 58 | 105 | 6 | 169 | 34.3% | 62.1% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -HENDRUMHENDRUM | 54 | 107 | 1 | 162 | 33.3% | 66.0% | R+32.7 |
| Precinct -WILD RICE TWPWILD RICE TWP | 54 | 88 | 5 | 147 | 36.7% | 59.9% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -FLOM TWPFLOM TWP | 50 | 55 | 7 | 112 | 44.6% | 49.1% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -BEAR PARK TWPBEAR PARK TWP | 47 | 55 | 2 | 104 | 45.2% | 52.9% | R+7.7 |
| Precinct -GARYGARY | 36 | 64 | 3 | 103 | 35.0% | 62.1% | R+27.2 |
| Precinct -SHELLYSHELLY | 30 | 65 | 1 | 96 | 31.3% | 67.7% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -MCDONALDSVILLE TWPMCDONALDSVILLE TWP | 30 | 63 | 2 | 95 | 31.6% | 66.3% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -FOSSUM TWPFOSSUM TWP | 32 | 54 | 3 | 89 | 36.0% | 60.7% | R+24.7 |
| Precinct -LAKE IDA TWPLAKE IDA TWP | 19 | 49 | 2 | 70 | 27.1% | 70.0% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT VIEW TWPPLEASANT VIEW TWP | 29 | 40 | 1 | 70 | 41.4% | 57.1% | R+15.7 |
| Precinct -LEE TWPLEE TWP | 41 | 25 | 2 | 68 | 60.3% | 36.8% | D+23.5 |
| Precinct -HOME LAKE TWPHOME LAKE TWP | 16 | 50 | 0 | 66 | 24.2% | 75.8% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -SUNDAL TWPSUNDAL TWP | 25 | 38 | 3 | 66 | 37.9% | 57.6% | R+19.7 |
| Precinct -HALSTAD TWPHALSTAD TWP | 12 | 44 | 0 | 56 | 21.4% | 78.6% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -PERLEYPERLEY | 25 | 27 | 2 | 54 | 46.3% | 50.0% | R+3.7 |
| Precinct -SHELLY TWPSHELLY TWP | 23 | 29 | 0 | 52 | 44.2% | 55.8% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct -WAUKON TWPWAUKON TWP | 21 | 27 | 3 | 51 | 41.2% | 52.9% | R+11.8 |
| Precinct -GREEN MEADOW TWPGREEN MEADOW TWP | 19 | 24 | 5 | 48 | 39.6% | 50.0% | R+10.4 |
| Precinct -HENDRUM TWPHENDRUM TWP | 16 | 31 | 0 | 47 | 34.0% | 66.0% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -STRAND TWPSTRAND TWP | 21 | 25 | 0 | 46 | 45.7% | 54.3% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct -MARY TWPMARY TWP | 24 | 21 | 0 | 45 | 53.3% | 46.7% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct -BORUPBORUP | 16 | 20 | 2 | 38 | 42.1% | 52.6% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct -SPRING CREEK TWPSPRING CREEK TWP | 13 | 23 | 0 | 36 | 36.1% | 63.9% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -ANTHONY TWPANTHONY TWP | 6 | 23 | 3 | 32 | 18.8% | 71.9% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -ROCKWELL TWPROCKWELL TWP | 10 | 18 | 1 | 29 | 34.5% | 62.1% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct -LOCKHART TWPLOCKHART TWP | 5 | 23 | 0 | 28 | 17.9% | 82.1% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -HEGNE TWPHEGNE TWP | 9 | 15 | 1 | 25 | 36.0% | 60.0% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -WINCHESTER TWPWINCHESTER TWP | 11 | 11 | 2 | 24 | 45.8% | 45.8% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -GOOD HOPE TWPGOOD HOPE TWP | 5 | 11 | 2 | 18 | 27.8% | 61.1% | R+33.3 |
| Ada W-127_271070005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ada W-227_271070010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Anthony Twp. Voting District27_271070015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bear Park Twp. Voting District27_271070020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Borup Voting District27_271070025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Flom Twp. Voting District27_271070030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fossum Twp. Voting District27_271070035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gary Voting District27_271070040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Good Hope Twp. Voting District27_271070045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Green Meadow Twp. Voting District27_271070050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Halstad Twp. Voting District27_271070060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Halstad Voting District27_271070055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hegne Twp. Voting District27_271070065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hendrum Twp. Voting District27_271070075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hendrum Voting District27_271070070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Home Lake Twp. Voting District27_271070080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Ida Twp. Voting District27_271070085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lee Twp. Voting District27_271070090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lockhart Twp. Voting District27_271070095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mary Twp. Voting District27_271070105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McDonaldsville Twp. Voting District27_271070100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Perley Voting District27_271070110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant View Twp. Voting District27_271070115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rockwell Twp. Voting District27_271070120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shelly Twp. Voting District27_271070130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shelly Voting District27_271070125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spring Creek Twp. Voting District27_271070135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Strand Twp. Voting District27_271070140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sundal Twp. Voting District27_271070145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Twin Valley Voting District27_271070150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waukon Twp. Voting District27_271070155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wild Rice Twp. Voting District27_271070160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winchester Twp. Voting District27_271070165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −23.1% |
| 1896 | −2.8% |
| 1900 | −19.0% |
| 1904 | −71.0% |
| 1908 | −26.6% |
| 1912 | +8.1% |
| 1916 | +1.2% |
| 1920 | −63.8% |
| 1924 | −41.9% |
| 1928 | −38.8% |
| 1932 | +43.7% |
| 1936 | +40.1% |
| 1940 | +26.3% |
| 1944 | +20.2% |
| 1948 | +30.1% |
| 1952 | −10.8% |
| 1956 | +7.9% |
| 1960 | +5.2% |
| 1964 | +37.1% |
| 1968 | +16.9% |
| 1972 | −1.8% |
| 1976 | +19.2% |
| 1980 | +1.3% |
| 1984 | +1.1% |
| 1988 | +9.1% |
| 1992 | +5.9% |
| 1996 | +13.0% |
| 2000 | −6.4% |
| 2004 | +4.2% |
| 2008 | +26.9% |
| 2012 | +10.8% |
| 2016 | −13.3% |
| 2020 | −16.0% |
| 2024 | −22.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 3,902 |
| 2018 | 3,701 |
| 2020 | 3,976 |
| 2022 | 3,824 |
| 2024 | 4,059 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+48 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −366 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,146 in average income, against $76,549 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+3.5 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Norman County, MN itself (R+22.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Clay County, MN28D+0.5
- Cass County, ND23R+8.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Clay County, MN23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +8 |
| 2012 | −182 |
| 2013 | +12 |
| 2014 | −15 |
| 2015 | +42 |
| 2016 | −70 |
| 2017 | +72 |
| 2018 | −96 |
| 2019 | −103 |
| 2021 | +12 |
| 2022 | −65 |
| 2023 | −19 |
| 2024 | −10 |
| 2025 | +48 |
Norman County stretches across the flat eastern edge of the Red River Valley, where a dwindling, aging rural population and farm-dependent economy have tracked a steady rightward shift in presidential voting over the past decade and a half.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 71.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.2 points.
A population of 6,367, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,260 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ransom County and Sargent County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Norman County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27107/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.