- Lead
- 6,064
- Total
- 18,491
- vs nation
- R+31.3
Minnesota State House District 21B
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,439
- Total
- 19,366
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Lead
- 5,154
- Total
- 18,849
- vs nation
- R+29.4
- Lead
- 956
- Total
- 19,181
- vs nation
- R+8.8
- Lead
- 382
- Total
- 19,764
- vs nation
- R+5.3
- Lead
- 1,083
- Total
- 20,558
- vs nation
- R+2.8
- Lead
- 862
- Total
- 19,469
- vs nation
- R+4.9
- Lead
- 2,210
- Total
- 20,334
- vs nation
- D+2.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,8492024 5-year
- Population density
- 26 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,623 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,2992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 16A, MN · twin score 92.0
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 21B · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
67.3%
14,530 votes · D+39.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 66.8%
Republican
Rutherford B. Hayes1876
81.2%
1,432 votes · R+62.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 80.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
15,160votes
63.3% of the vote · D+26.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 14,530 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
15,106votes
64.6% of the vote · R+29.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · 13,159 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Harry S. Truman1948
+20.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+24.6 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +19.7 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+37.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.7 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +32.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 29.0%5,513 | 71.0%13,505 | 19,018 |
| 2020 | R | 37.8%7,165 | 62.2%11,786 | 18,951 |
District 21B sits in south-central Minnesota's rural agricultural belt, where the 2024 presidential margin of R+32.8 places it among the state's most reliably one-sided legislative seats.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 63.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.8 points.
A population of 42,849, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,299 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 16A and State House District 16B.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 21B. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2721B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.