- Lead
- 322
- Total
- 24,373
- vs nation
- D+0.2
Minnesota State House District 18A
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 661
- Total
- 23,640
- vs nation
- R+1.7
- Lead
- 894
- Total
- 22,023
- vs nation
- R+6.1
- Lead
- 1,682
- Total
- 22,373
- vs nation
- D+3.7
- Lead
- 2,319
- Total
- 22,354
- vs nation
- D+3.1
- Lead
- 133
- Total
- 21,637
- vs nation
- D+3.1
- Lead
- 299
- Total
- 18,549
- vs nation
- R+2.1
- Lead
- 2,102
- Total
- 16,803
- vs nation
- D+4.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,8152024 5-year
- Population density
- 88 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 486 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,1962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.5 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 92, WI · twin score 88.4
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 18A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
62.2%
5,013 votes · D+26.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 58.4%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
81.8%
5,178 votes · R+68.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 72.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
12,088votes
54.1% of the vote · D+10.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 11,846 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
12,072votes
49.5% of the vote · R+1.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 11,185 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+10.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+13.0 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +8.7 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+42.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+68.5 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +36.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 46.6%10,747 | 53.4%12,334 | 23,081 |
District 18A sits in Minnesota's suburban tier, where a 1.1-point Republican lean in the 2024 presidential race marks a continued shift from a swing zone that was reliably Democratic a cycle ago.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 68.5 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.3 points.
A population of 42,815, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,196 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 92 and State House District 26A.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 18A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2718A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.