- Lead
- 443
- Total
- 36,442
- vs nation
- D+0.3
- Turnout
- 67.2%
Blue Earth County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.2% of 54,544 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,599
- Total
- 36,051
- vs nation
- Even
- Turnout
- 69.6%
- Lead
- 1,239
- Total
- 33,593
- vs nation
- R+5.8
- Turnout
- 66.3%
- Lead
- 3,248
- Total
- 34,274
- vs nation
- D+5.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,543
- Total
- 35,070
- vs nation
- D+5.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,128
- Total
- 33,119
- vs nation
- D+5.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 613
- Total
- 27,402
- vs nation
- R+2.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,338
- Total
- 25,261
- vs nation
- D+4.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 69,8712024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,4772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.5 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Nicollet County, MN · twin score 94.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.2%36,628 participants ÷ 54,544 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.6%–51.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 33,885 | 51,118 | 66.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 28,291 | 51,406 | 55.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 36,185 | 51,993 | 69.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 26,636 | 53,269 | 50.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 36,628 | 54,544 | 67.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
109 precincts · 36,442 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MANKATO W-02 P-05MANKATO W-02 P-05 | 996 | 1,044 | 33 | 2,073 | 48.0% | 50.4% | R+2.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MANKATO W-01 P-01MANKATO W-01 P-01 | 1,081 | 770 | 34 | 1,885 | 57.3% | 40.8% | D+16.5 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-05 P-10MANKATO W-05 P-10 | 983 | 842 | 38 | 1,863 | 52.8% | 45.2% | D+7.6 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-02 P-06MANKATO W-02 P-06 | 1,093 | 673 | 32 | 1,798 | 60.8% | 37.4% | D+23.4 |
| Precinct -EAGLE LAKEEAGLE LAKE | 701 | 1,027 | 37 | 1,765 | 39.7% | 58.2% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-01 P-02MANKATO W-01 P-02 | 828 | 684 | 52 | 1,564 | 52.9% | 43.7% | D+9.2 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-01 P-03MANKATO W-01 P-03 | 801 | 668 | 40 | 1,509 | 53.1% | 44.3% | D+8.8 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-03 P-12MANKATO W-03 P-12 | 847 | 601 | 40 | 1,488 | 56.9% | 40.4% | D+16.5 |
| Precinct -LAKE CRYSTALLAKE CRYSTAL | 651 | 746 | 40 | 1,437 | 45.3% | 51.9% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-05 P-08MANKATO W-05 P-08 | 687 | 702 | 28 | 1,417 | 48.5% | 49.5% | R+1.1 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-04 P-14MANKATO W-04 P-14 | 812 | 450 | 44 | 1,306 | 62.2% | 34.5% | D+27.7 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-04 P-16MANKATO W-04 P-16 | 784 | 469 | 24 | 1,277 | 61.4% | 36.7% | D+24.7 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-03 P-13MANKATO W-03 P-13 | 700 | 442 | 42 | 1,184 | 59.1% | 37.3% | D+21.8 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-04 P-15MANKATO W-04 P-15 | 647 | 303 | 32 | 982 | 65.9% | 30.9% | D+35.0 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-04 P-17MANKATO W-04 P-17 | 523 | 386 | 34 | 943 | 55.5% | 40.9% | D+14.5 |
| Precinct -MAPLETONMAPLETON | 328 | 544 | 21 | 893 | 36.7% | 60.9% | R+24.2 |
| Precinct -SOUTH BEND TWPSOUTH BEND TWP | 321 | 461 | 24 | 806 | 39.8% | 57.2% | R+17.4 |
| Precinct -MADISON LAKEMADISON LAKE | 298 | 480 | 17 | 795 | 37.5% | 60.4% | R+22.9 |
| Precinct -DECORIA TWPDECORIA TWP | 259 | 482 | 18 | 759 | 34.1% | 63.5% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-03 P-11MANKATO W-03 P-11 | 369 | 364 | 17 | 750 | 49.2% | 48.5% | D+0.7 |
| Precinct -RAPIDAN TWPRAPIDAN TWP | 268 | 411 | 19 | 698 | 38.4% | 58.9% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-05 P-09MANKATO W-05 P-09 | 337 | 342 | 10 | 689 | 48.9% | 49.6% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -LIME TWPLIME TWP | 216 | 403 | 15 | 634 | 34.1% | 63.6% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-02 P-04MANKATO W-02 P-04 | 361 | 240 | 16 | 617 | 58.5% | 38.9% | D+19.6 |
| Precinct -MANKATO TWP P-4MANKATO TWP P-4 | 240 | 344 | 18 | 602 | 39.9% | 57.1% | R+17.3 |
| Precinct -JAMESTOWN TWPJAMESTOWN TWP | 189 | 297 | 5 | 491 | 38.5% | 60.5% | R+22.0 |
| Precinct -GARDEN CITY TWPGARDEN CITY TWP | 187 | 283 | 18 | 488 | 38.3% | 58.0% | R+19.7 |
| Precinct -LE RAY TWPLE RAY TWP | 173 | 299 | 10 | 482 | 35.9% | 62.0% | R+26.1 |
| Precinct -SAINT CLAIRSAINT CLAIR | 158 | 281 | 21 | 460 | 34.3% | 61.1% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct -MANKATO W-02 P-07MANKATO W-02 P-07 | 230 | 195 | 11 | 436 | 52.8% | 44.7% | D+8.0 |
| Precinct -MANKATO TWP P-3MANKATO TWP P-3 | 175 | 185 | 9 | 369 | 47.4% | 50.1% | R+2.7 |
| Precinct -JUDSON TWP P-1JUDSON TWP P-1 | 131 | 184 | 6 | 321 | 40.8% | 57.3% | R+16.5 |
| Precinct -GOOD THUNDERGOOD THUNDER | 101 | 158 | 7 | 266 | 38.0% | 59.4% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct -MCPHERSON TWPMCPHERSON TWP | 78 | 184 | 4 | 266 | 29.3% | 69.2% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -AMBOYAMBOY | 95 | 156 | 5 | 256 | 37.1% | 60.9% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -BEAUFORD TWPBEAUFORD TWP | 58 | 187 | 8 | 253 | 22.9% | 73.9% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct -SKYLINESKYLINE | 114 | 81 | 6 | 201 | 56.7% | 40.3% | D+16.4 |
| Precinct -MEDO TWPMEDO TWP | 40 | 154 | 2 | 196 | 20.4% | 78.6% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -LYRA TWPLYRA TWP | 60 | 131 | 1 | 192 | 31.3% | 68.2% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -BUTTERNUT VALLEY TWPBUTTERNUT VALLEY TWP | 58 | 122 | 5 | 185 | 31.4% | 65.9% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -MAPLETON TWPMAPLETON TWP | 58 | 120 | 5 | 183 | 31.7% | 65.6% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -CAMBRIA TWPCAMBRIA TWP | 77 | 92 | 3 | 172 | 44.8% | 53.5% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct -STERLING TWPSTERLING TWP | 51 | 99 | 5 | 155 | 32.9% | 63.9% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -MANKATO TWP P-1MANKATO TWP P-1 | 55 | 97 | 2 | 154 | 35.7% | 63.0% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct -DANVILLE TWPDANVILLE TWP | 48 | 100 | 5 | 153 | 31.4% | 65.4% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -SHELBY TWPSHELBY TWP | 51 | 101 | 1 | 153 | 33.3% | 66.0% | R+32.7 |
| Precinct -VERNON CENTERVERNON CENTER | 46 | 105 | 1 | 152 | 30.3% | 69.1% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -VERNON CENTER TWPVERNON CENTER TWP | 40 | 104 | 2 | 146 | 27.4% | 71.2% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -LINCOLN TWPLINCOLN TWP | 38 | 86 | 2 | 126 | 30.2% | 68.3% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT MOUND TWPPLEASANT MOUND TWP | 16 | 104 | 4 | 124 | 12.9% | 83.9% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -PEMBERTONPEMBERTON | 28 | 88 | 2 | 118 | 23.7% | 74.6% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -CERESCO TWPCERESCO TWP | 31 | 71 | 5 | 107 | 29.0% | 66.4% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -MANKATO TWP P-2MANKATO TWP P-2 | 20 | 38 | 3 | 61 | 32.8% | 62.3% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -JUDSON TWP P-2JUDSON TWP P-2 | 17 | 18 | 0 | 35 | 48.6% | 51.4% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -MINNESOTA LAKEMINNESOTA LAKE | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 57.1% | 42.9% | D+14.3 |
| Amboy Voting District27_270130005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beauford Twp. Voting District27_270130010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Butternut Valley Twp. Voting District27_270130015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cambria Twp. Voting District27_270130020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ceresco Twp. Voting District27_270130025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Danville Twp. Voting District27_270130030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Decoria Twp. Voting District27_270130035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle Lake Voting District27_270130040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Garden City Twp. Voting District27_270130045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Good Thunder Voting District27_270130050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jamestown Twp. Voting District27_270130055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Judson Twp. Voting District27_270130060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Crystal Voting District27_270130065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Le Ray Twp. Voting District27_270130070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lime Twp. Voting District27_270130075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Twp. Voting District27_270130080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lyra Twp. Voting District27_270130085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Madison Lake Voting District27_270130095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato Twp. Voting District27_270130195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-1 P-727_270130125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-1 P-827_270130130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-1 P-927_270130135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-2 P-127_270130100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-2 P-1927_270130185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-2 P-227_270130105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-2 P-327_270130106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-3 P-1427_270130160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-3 P-1527_270130165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-3 P-1627_270130170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-3 P-1727_270130175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-3 P-1827_270130180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-4 P-427_270130110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-4 P-527_270130115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-4 P-627_270130120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-5 P-1027_270130140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-5 P-1127_270130145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-5 P-1227_270130150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mankato W-5 P-1327_270130155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mapleton Twp. Voting District27_270130205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mapleton Voting District27_270130200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McPherson Twp. Voting District27_270130090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Medo Twp. Voting District27_270130210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Minnesota Lake Voting District27_270130212 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mankato Voting District27_270130213 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pemberton City Voting District27_270130215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Mound Twp. Voting District27_270130220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rapidan Twp. Voting District27_270130225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saint Clair Voting District27_270130230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shelby Twp. Voting District27_270130235 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Skyline Voting District27_270130240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Bend Twp. Voting District27_270130245 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sterling Twp. Voting District27_270130250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vernon Center Twp. Voting District27_270130260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vernon Center Voting District27_270130255 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −4.8% |
| 1896 | −18.6% |
| 1900 | −22.4% |
| 1904 | −40.6% |
| 1908 | −18.9% |
| 1912 | +12.9% |
| 1916 | −12.3% |
| 1920 | −61.5% |
| 1924 | −46.0% |
| 1928 | −22.0% |
| 1932 | +17.3% |
| 1936 | +18.3% |
| 1940 | −24.1% |
| 1944 | −29.7% |
| 1948 | −1.7% |
| 1952 | −41.0% |
| 1956 | −35.1% |
| 1960 | −16.9% |
| 1964 | +14.2% |
| 1968 | −1.6% |
| 1972 | −8.7% |
| 1976 | +3.6% |
| 1980 | −4.0% |
| 1984 | −9.2% |
| 1988 | +1.7% |
| 1992 | +9.8% |
| 1996 | +13.2% |
| 2000 | −2.2% |
| 2004 | +3.4% |
| 2008 | +13.0% |
| 2012 | +9.5% |
| 2016 | −3.7% |
| 2020 | +4.4% |
| 2024 | −1.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 40,329 |
| 2018 | 38,713 |
| 2020 | 42,066 |
| 2022 | 39,614 |
| 2024 | 43,472 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+175 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −44 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,996 in average income, against $82,225 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+6.1 on average — 4.8 points more Republican-leaning than Blue Earth County, MN itself (R+1.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Nicollet County, MN405R+0.5
- Hennepin County, MN118D+42.4
- Le Sueur County, MN110R+33.6
- Waseca County, MN88R+32.4
- Brown County, MN67R+35.0
- Dakota County, MN65D+12.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Nicollet County, MN473
- Hennepin County, MN307
- Dakota County, MN120
- Ramsey County, MN100
- Le Sueur County, MN83
- Waseca County, MN81
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −121 |
| 2012 | +246 |
| 2013 | −578 |
| 2014 | +104 |
| 2015 | −26 |
| 2016 | +234 |
| 2017 | +207 |
| 2018 | +160 |
| 2019 | −72 |
| 2021 | −108 |
| 2022 | +391 |
| 2023 | −215 |
| 2024 | −441 |
| 2025 | +175 |
Home to Mankato and Minnesota State University, Blue Earth County has trended sharply rightward over two decades, narrowing from a reliably Democratic county to a near-even split driven by shifting rural and small-city voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 61.5 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.2 points.
A population of 69,871, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,477 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Nicollet County and Eau Claire County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Blue Earth County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.