HarrisDemocratic30.3%7,149TrumpRepublican67.7%16,002OtherAll other candidates2.0%476
R+37.5- Lead
- 8,853
- Total
- 23,627
- vs nation
- R+36.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Minnesota State House District 15B
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic31.3%7,379TrumpRepublican66.6%15,713OtherAll other candidates2.1%506
R+35.3- Lead
- 8,334
- Total
- 23,598
- vs nation
- R+39.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic26.6%5,860TrumpRepublican64.5%14,201OtherAll other candidates8.9%1,951
R+37.9- Lead
- 8,341
- Total
- 22,012
- vs nation
- R+40.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic39.9%8,908RomneyRepublican57.5%12,854OtherAll other candidates2.6%578
R+17.7- Lead
- 3,946
- Total
- 22,340
- vs nation
- R+21.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic42.3%9,335McCainRepublican54.9%12,109OtherAll other candidates2.8%608
R+12.6- Lead
- 2,774
- Total
- 22,052
- vs nation
- R+19.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic37.8%8,499BushRepublican60.6%13,649OtherAll other candidates1.6%362
R+22.9- Lead
- 5,150
- Total
- 22,510
- vs nation
- R+20.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic35.6%7,515BushRepublican58.0%12,250OtherAll other candidates6.4%1,343
R+22.4- Lead
- 4,735
- Total
- 21,108
- vs nation
- R+23.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic38.9%8,045DoleRepublican45.9%9,494OtherAll other candidates15.1%3,125
R+7.0- Lead
- 1,449
- Total
- 20,664
- vs nation
- R+15.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,3912024 5-year
- Population density
- 27 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,577 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,3982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 22A, MN · twin score 93.4
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 15B · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
69.4%
11,580 votes · D+40.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 60.2%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
81.9%
11,640 votes · R+70.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 74.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
11,739votes
60.2% of the vote · D+29.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 11,580 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
16,002votes
67.7% of the vote · R+37.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 15,713 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+22.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+40.7 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +14.0 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+44.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+37.0 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +43.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RPaul TorkelsonState House · 15B
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.1%6,257 | 72.9%16,806 | 23,063 |
| 2020 | R | 37.4%8,199 | 62.6%13,711 | 21,910 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+37.5, District 15B ranks among the most heavily one-sided legislative districts in Minnesota, reflecting the heavily Republican character of its rural Greater Minnesota constituency.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 70.0 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.5 points.
A population of 42,391, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,398 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 22A and State House District 28.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 22A
Minnesota
93.4twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
State House District 28
North Dakota
92.3twin score
% unaffiliated2016–2020 trajectory12-yr trend≠ % Catholic
State House District 25
North Dakota
91.9twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota State House District 15B. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2715B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Minnesota State House District 15B
counties it covers3
Frequently asked questions
How did Minnesota State House District 15B vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota State House District 15B voted Republican by 37.5 points (R+37.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,627 votes cast, 7,149 went Democratic and 16,002 went Republican.
When did Minnesota State House District 15B last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota State House District 15B voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Minnesota State House District 15B?
Minnesota State House District 15B has a population of 42,391 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota State House District 15B?
Median household income in Minnesota State House District 15B is $69,398 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota State House District 15B?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minnesota State House District 15B from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.