State House District 15B, Minnesota: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+32%. Republican peak: R+69 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 49,2282024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,7442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State House District 15B, MNOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 8,907 | 17,667 | 27,137 | ||
| R | 9,228 | 17,256 | 27,086 | ||
| R | 7,319 | 15,655 | 25,273 | ||
| R | 10,738 | 14,231 | 25,681 | ||
| R | 11,294 | 13,472 | 25,480 | ||
| R | 10,212 | 15,111 | 25,745 | ||
| R | 8,756 | 13,454 | 23,749 | ||
| R | 9,297 | 10,329 | 23,129 | ||
| R | 8,351 | 9,816 | 25,752 | ||
| R | 9,717 | 13,355 | 23,368 | ||
| R | 8,799 | 16,070 | 25,080 | ||
| R | 9,130 | 15,426 | 26,841 | ||
| R | 11,811 | 13,791 | 26,828 | ||
| R | 8,754 | 15,034 | 24,714 | ||
| R | 9,334 | 13,278 | 23,891 | ||
| D | 12,025 | 11,321 | 23,384 | ||
| R | 10,122 | 14,285 | 24,441 | ||
| R | 6,737 | 15,237 | 22,015 | ||
| R | 6,396 | 16,615 | 23,065 | ||
| R | 9,826 | 10,096 | 20,187 | ||
| R | 6,317 | 13,534 | 19,975 | ||
| R | 7,994 | 14,751 | 22,882 | ||
| D | 12,555 | 6,606 | 20,944 | ||
| D | 12,357 | 5,302 | 18,016 | ||
| R | 8,837 | 9,660 | 18,649 | ||
| O | 843 | 6,380 | 15,093 | ||
| R | 1,904 | 12,457 | 15,267 | ||
| R | 2,717 | 4,437 | 7,656 | ||
| O | 2,719 | 1,169 | 6,946 | ||
| R | 2,865 | 3,720 | 7,077 | ||
| R | 1,495 | 4,680 | 6,398 | ||
| R | 2,649 | 4,243 | 7,175 | ||
| R | 2,909 | 4,093 | 7,198 | ||
| D | 2,545 | 2,096 | 6,133 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
50.4%
Irish
6.3%
English
4.3%
American
3.5%
Polish
2.1%
French
1.8%
Scottish
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$69,744
State House District 15B ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 15B$69,744
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 189.5%
Working age (18–64)10.9%
Seniors (65+)16.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.5%
speak English only
Spanish2.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 20.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+37.5, District 15B ranks among the most heavily one-sided legislative districts in Minnesota, reflecting the deep-red character of its rural Greater Minnesota constituency.
The Democratic margin in State House District 15B peaked at thirty-nine points in 1932. By 1968 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $69,744 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 15B, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2715B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State House District 15B, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 15B, Minnesota voted Republican by 32.3 points (R+32), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 27,137 votes cast, 8,907 went Democratic and 17,667 went Republican.
What is State House District 15B, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 15B, Minnesota as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 28 times, and other 2 times.
When did State House District 15B, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 15B, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in State House District 15B, Minnesota?
State House District 15B, Minnesota has a population of 49,228 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 15B, Minnesota?
Median household income in State House District 15B, Minnesota is $69,744 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of State House District 15B, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 15B, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 28 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.