Minnesota 8th Congressional District, Minnesota: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+12%. Republican peak: R+67 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 800,0042024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,8242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: NOLAN, Richard Michael (2017–2019), NOLAN, Richard Michael (2015–2017), NOLAN, Richard Michael (2013–2015), CRAVAACK, Chip (2011–2013)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 206,316 | 261,373 | 477,291 | ||
| R | 207,866 | 248,834 | 467,090 | ||
| R | 169,251 | 215,543 | 419,400 | ||
| D | 219,030 | 191,169 | 420,305 | ||
| D | 228,047 | 187,026 | 424,884 | ||
| D | 218,996 | 192,805 | 417,264 | ||
| D | 175,473 | 156,641 | 357,052 | ||
| D | 169,346 | 102,130 | 319,235 | ||
| D | 156,704 | 93,394 | 330,789 | ||
| D | 173,500 | 120,173 | 296,759 | ||
| D | 176,161 | 129,403 | 308,020 | ||
| D | 166,166 | 118,604 | 313,346 | ||
| D | 181,582 | 103,284 | 294,907 | ||
| D | 133,359 | 119,488 | 258,412 | ||
| D | 151,370 | 78,461 | 241,102 | ||
| D | 173,906 | 68,404 | 243,015 | ||
| D | 142,572 | 104,848 | 248,505 | ||
| D | 123,514 | 98,122 | 222,503 | ||
| D | 124,569 | 103,325 | 230,171 | ||
| D | 136,808 | 71,284 | 219,254 | ||
| D | 126,275 | 71,369 | 199,493 | ||
| D | 145,793 | 86,618 | 235,612 | ||
| D | 147,542 | 56,451 | 210,280 | ||
| D | 98,059 | 70,430 | 184,163 | ||
| R | 56,788 | 104,224 | 166,504 | ||
| R | 6,743 | 78,420 | 149,482 | ||
| R | 27,895 | 79,572 | 125,740 | ||
| D | 29,795 | 28,243 | 67,100 | ||
| O | 13,579 | 9,660 | 56,817 | ||
| R | 12,048 | 33,374 | 51,901 | ||
| R | 5,207 | 32,803 | 41,260 | ||
| R | 11,539 | 25,884 | 38,550 | ||
| R | 14,970 | 24,605 | 40,174 | ||
| D | 13,277 | 7,832 | 25,209 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 56.2% | 40.5% | 3,189,323 |
| 2020 | D | 48.7% | 43.5% | 3,214,256 |
| 2018 | D | 60.3% | 36.2% | 2,596,879 |
| 2014 | D | 53.2% | 42.9% | 1,981,528 |
| 2012 | D | 65.2% | 30.5% | 2,843,207 |
| 2008 | D | 42.0% | 42.0% | 2,887,646 |
| 2006 | D | 58.1% | 37.9% | 2,202,772 |
| 2002 | R | 47.8% | 49.5% | 2,254,636 |
| 2000 | D | 48.8% | 43.3% | 2,419,520 |
| 1996 | D | 50.3% | 41.3% | 2,182,905 |
| 1994 | R | 44.1% | 49.1% | 1,772,929 |
| 1990 | D | 50.4% | 47.8% | 1,808,045 |
| 1988 | R | 40.9% | 56.2% | 2,093,953 |
| 1984 | R | 41.3% | 58.1% | 2,066,143 |
| 1982 | R | 46.6% | 52.6% | 1,804,675 |
| 1978 | R | 40.4% | 56.6% | 1,580,622 |
| 1976 | D | 67.5% | 25.0% | 1,912,020 |
Demographics
Minnesota's 8th spans the Iron Range and the vast north woods, a historically union-Democratic region where the presidential margin has moved more than 30 points toward Republicans over the past decade, reshaping competitive assumptions for down-ballot races.
The Democratic margin in Minnesota 8th Congressional District has rarely exceeded forty-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by twelve points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 87% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $79,824 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 8, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2708/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.