HarrisDemocratic31.6%5,339TrumpRepublican66.7%11,274KennedyIndependent0.8%142
R+35.1- Lead
- 5,935
- Total
- 16,911
- vs nation
- R+33.6
- Turnout
- 71.6%
Akashiccounty
Pine County, MN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.6% of 23,750 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic33.9%5,419TrumpRepublican64.1%10,256JorgensenLibertarian1.0%168
R+30.2- Lead
- 4,837
- Total
- 16,001
- vs nation
- R+34.7
- Turnout
- 68.6%
ClintonDemocratic33.2%4,580TrumpRepublican59.3%8,191JohnsonLibertarian3.4%473
R+26.1- Lead
- 3,611
- Total
- 13,811
- vs nation
- R+28.2
- Turnout
- 61.2%
ObamaDemocratic48.3%6,750RomneyRepublican49.0%6,845GRAYLibertarian1.2%162
R+0.7- Lead
- 95
- Total
- 13,965
- vs nation
- R+4.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic49.3%7,084McCainRepublican47.7%6,862OtherAll other candidates3.0%437
D+1.5- Lead
- 222
- Total
- 14,383
- vs nation
- R+5.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic49.8%7,228BushRepublican48.4%7,033OtherAll other candidates1.8%257
D+1.3- Lead
- 195
- Total
- 14,518
- vs nation
- D+3.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic47.0%6,148BushRepublican44.8%5,854NaderGreen5.6%734
D+2.2- Lead
- 294
- Total
- 13,068
- vs nation
- D+1.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic52.7%5,432DoleRepublican29.9%3,080PerotReform15.5%1,597
D+22.8- Lead
- 2,352
- Total
- 10,308
- vs nation
- D+14.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,6402024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,1462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.5 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Mille Lacs County, MN · twin score 91.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.6%17,000 participants ÷ 23,750 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 56.4%–58.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,973 | 22,827 | 61.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,659 | 23,094 | 50.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 16,059 | 23,408 | 68.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,469 | 23,320 | 53.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 17,000 | 23,750 | 71.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
94 precincts · 16,911 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -POKEGAMA TWPPOKEGAMA TWP | 553 | 1,304 | 34 | 1,891 | 29.2% | 69.0% | R+39.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PINE CITYPINE CITY | 616 | 1,077 | 29 | 1,722 | 35.8% | 62.5% | R+26.8 |
| Precinct -WINDEMERE TWPWINDEMERE TWP | 553 | 594 | 19 | 1,166 | 47.4% | 50.9% | R+3.5 |
| Precinct -ROCK CREEKROCK CREEK | 255 | 773 | 15 | 1,043 | 24.4% | 74.1% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -PINE CITY TWPPINE CITY TWP | 284 | 635 | 23 | 942 | 30.1% | 67.4% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct -HINCKLEYHINCKLEY | 311 | 456 | 20 | 787 | 39.5% | 57.9% | R+18.4 |
| Precinct -ROYALTON TWPROYALTON TWP | 179 | 549 | 11 | 739 | 24.2% | 74.3% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -SANDSTONESANDSTONE | 279 | 393 | 13 | 685 | 40.7% | 57.4% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct -CHENGWATANA TWPCHENGWATANA TWP | 182 | 455 | 12 | 649 | 28.0% | 70.1% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -DELL GROVE TWPDELL GROVE TWP | 136 | 363 | 8 | 507 | 26.8% | 71.6% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -HINCKLEY TWPHINCKLEY TWP | 110 | 358 | 6 | 474 | 23.2% | 75.5% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -SANDSTONE TWPSANDSTONE TWP | 93 | 369 | 7 | 469 | 19.8% | 78.7% | R+58.8 |
| Precinct -PARTRIDGE TWPPARTRIDGE TWP | 130 | 273 | 7 | 410 | 31.7% | 66.6% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -PINE LAKE TWPPINE LAKE TWP | 91 | 298 | 9 | 398 | 22.9% | 74.9% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -KETTLE RIVER TWPKETTLE RIVER TWP | 106 | 226 | 3 | 335 | 31.6% | 67.5% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -MISSION CREEK TWPMISSION CREEK TWP | 83 | 232 | 1 | 316 | 26.3% | 73.4% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -BARRY TWPBARRY TWP | 104 | 193 | 4 | 301 | 34.6% | 64.1% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -BROOK PARK TWPBROOK PARK TWP | 80 | 207 | 10 | 297 | 26.9% | 69.7% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -FINLAYSON TWPFINLAYSON TWP | 68 | 213 | 4 | 285 | 23.9% | 74.7% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -CLOVER TWPCLOVER TWP | 55 | 208 | 5 | 268 | 20.5% | 77.6% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -STURGEON LAKESTURGEON LAKE | 99 | 161 | 6 | 266 | 37.2% | 60.5% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -ARLONE TWPARLONE TWP | 70 | 157 | 6 | 233 | 30.0% | 67.4% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct -WILLOW RIVERWILLOW RIVER | 71 | 149 | 1 | 221 | 32.1% | 67.4% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -STURGEON LAKE TWPSTURGEON LAKE TWP | 60 | 150 | 4 | 214 | 28.0% | 70.1% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -MUNCH TWPMUNCH TWP | 44 | 145 | 6 | 195 | 22.6% | 74.4% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -ASKOVASKOV | 76 | 114 | 3 | 193 | 39.4% | 59.1% | R+19.7 |
| Precinct -NORMAN TWPNORMAN TWP | 63 | 120 | 2 | 185 | 34.1% | 64.9% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -KERRICK TWPKERRICK TWP | 84 | 95 | 5 | 184 | 45.7% | 51.6% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -BREMEN TWPBREMEN TWP | 57 | 118 | 1 | 176 | 32.4% | 67.0% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -BIRCH CREEK TWPBIRCH CREEK TWP | 48 | 111 | 0 | 159 | 30.2% | 69.8% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -OGEMA TWPOGEMA TWP | 79 | 73 | 7 | 159 | 49.7% | 45.9% | D+3.8 |
| Precinct -FINLAYSONFINLAYSON | 35 | 117 | 2 | 154 | 22.7% | 76.0% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -BRUNO TWPBRUNO TWP | 45 | 63 | 2 | 110 | 40.9% | 57.3% | R+16.4 |
| Precinct -RUTLEDGERUTLEDGE | 41 | 60 | 4 | 105 | 39.0% | 57.1% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct -NICKERSON TWPNICKERSON TWP | 32 | 54 | 1 | 87 | 36.8% | 62.1% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct -ARNA TWPARNA TWP | 22 | 52 | 0 | 74 | 29.7% | 70.3% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct -FLEMING TWPFLEMING TWP | 18 | 50 | 0 | 68 | 26.5% | 73.5% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct -CROSBY TWPCROSBY TWP | 20 | 44 | 1 | 65 | 30.8% | 67.7% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -DANFORTH TWPDANFORTH TWP | 8 | 54 | 0 | 62 | 12.9% | 87.1% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct -WILMA TWPWILMA TWP | 20 | 40 | 2 | 62 | 32.3% | 64.5% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct -BROOK PARKBROOK PARK | 18 | 38 | 1 | 57 | 31.6% | 66.7% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -NEW DOSEY TWPNEW DOSEY TWP | 8 | 39 | 2 | 49 | 16.3% | 79.6% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct -BRUNOBRUNO | 17 | 30 | 1 | 48 | 35.4% | 62.5% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -DENHAMDENHAM | 11 | 18 | 0 | 29 | 37.9% | 62.1% | R+24.1 |
| Precinct -KERRICKKERRICK | 12 | 15 | 0 | 27 | 44.4% | 55.6% | R+11.1 |
| Precinct -HENRIETTEHENRIETTE | 8 | 17 | 1 | 26 | 30.8% | 65.4% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -PARK TWPPARK TWP | 5 | 14 | 0 | 19 | 26.3% | 73.7% | R+47.4 |
| Arlone Twp. Voting District27_271150005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arna Twp. Voting District27_271150010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Askov Voting District27_271150015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barry Twp. Voting District27_271150020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Birch Creek Twp. Voting District27_271150025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bremen Twp. Voting District27_271150030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brook Park Twp. Voting District27_271150040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brook Park Voting District27_271150035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bruno Twp. Voting District27_271150050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bruno Voting District27_271150045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chengwatana Twp. Voting District27_271150055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clover Twp. Voting District27_271150060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crosby Twp. Voting District27_271150065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Danforth Twp. Voting District27_271150070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dell Grove Twp. Voting District27_271150075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Denham Voting District27_271150080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Finlayson Twp. Voting District27_271150090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Finlayson Voting District27_271150085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fleming Twp. Voting District27_271150095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Henriette Voting District27_271150100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hinckley Twp. Voting District27_271150110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hinckley Voting District27_271150105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kerrick Twp. Voting District27_271150120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kerrick Voting District27_271150115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kettle River Twp. Voting District27_271150125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mission Creek Twp. Voting District27_271150135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Munch Twp. Voting District27_271150140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Dosey Twp. Voting District27_271150145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nickerson Twp. Voting District27_271150150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Norman Twp. Voting District27_271150155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ogema Twp. Voting District27_271150160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Park Twp. Voting District27_271150165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Partridge Twp. Voting District27_271150170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pine City Twp. Voting District27_271150185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pine City Voting District27_271150175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pine Lake Twp. Voting District27_271150190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pokegama Twp. Voting District27_271150195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rock Creek Voting District27_271150200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Royalton Twp. Voting District27_271150205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rutledge Voting District27_271150207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sandstone Twp. Voting District27_271150215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sandstone Voting District27_271150210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sturgeon Lake Twp. Voting District27_271150225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sturgeon Lake Voting District27_271150221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willow River Voting District27_271150230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wilma Twp. Voting District27_271150235 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Windemere Twp. Voting District27_271150240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −7.2% |
| 1896 | −13.3% |
| 1900 | −20.8% |
| 1904 | −54.5% |
| 1908 | −27.2% |
| 1912 | +8.8% |
| 1916 | −0.7% |
| 1920 | −47.4% |
| 1924 | −34.7% |
| 1928 | −14.4% |
| 1932 | +32.8% |
| 1936 | +38.7% |
| 1940 | +12.1% |
| 1944 | +11.5% |
| 1948 | +22.7% |
| 1952 | −7.0% |
| 1956 | +8.9% |
| 1960 | +9.9% |
| 1964 | +38.3% |
| 1968 | +20.4% |
| 1972 | −1.1% |
| 1976 | +26.8% |
| 1980 | +12.6% |
| 1984 | +7.5% |
| 1988 | +17.7% |
| 1992 | +19.3% |
| 1996 | +22.8% |
| 2000 | +2.2% |
| 2004 | +1.3% |
| 2008 | +1.5% |
| 2012 | −0.7% |
| 2016 | −26.1% |
| 2020 | −30.2% |
| 2024 | −35.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 16,284 |
| 2018 | 16,321 |
| 2020 | 18,116 |
| 2022 | 18,063 |
| 2024 | 19,814 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+157 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,745 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,590 in average income, against $66,519 for residents who stayed — 4% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+0.8 on average — 34 points more Democratic-leaning than Pine County, MN itself (R+35.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Anoka County, MN91R+4.4
- Chisago County, MN69R+31.3
- Ramsey County, MN67D+43.1
- Hennepin County, MN63D+42.4
- Kanabec County, MN61R+42.3
- Carlton County, MN55R+2.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Chisago County, MN69
- Kanabec County, MN50
- St. Louis County, MN47
- Hennepin County, MN46
- Carlton County, MN45
- Isanti County, MN43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −180 |
| 2012 | −491 |
| 2013 | −130 |
| 2014 | −25 |
| 2015 | −2 |
| 2016 | −133 |
| 2017 | +331 |
| 2018 | +312 |
| 2019 | +137 |
| 2021 | +248 |
| 2022 | +812 |
| 2023 | +431 |
| 2024 | +278 |
| 2025 | +157 |
Pine County's economy traces back to logging and small agriculture along the St. Croix watershed, and its largely white, working-class electorate has widened Republican presidential margins by roughly 25 points since 2000.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 54.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.1 points.
A population of 29,640, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,146 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mille Lacs County and Swift County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Mille Lacs County
Minnesota
91.5twin score
12-yr trendSwedish ancestry% White
Swift County
Minnesota
87.8twin score
12-yr trend2000–2004 trajectorySwedish ancestry≠ Norwegian ancestry
Meeker County
Minnesota
86.9twin score
Swedish ancestry12-yr trend% Evangelical≠ German ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pine County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Pine County
Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Pine County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pine County, Minnesota voted Republican by 35.1 points (R+35.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,911 votes cast, 5,339 went Democratic and 11,274 went Republican.
When did Pine County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Pine County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Pine County, Minnesota?
Pine County, Minnesota has a population of 29,640 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pine County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Pine County, Minnesota is $71,146 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Pine County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Pine County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.