- Lead
- 190
- Total
- 2,183
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Turnout
- 60.0%
Mahnomen County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.0% of 3,678 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 30
- Total
- 2,304
- vs nation
- R+5.8
- Turnout
- 61.5%
- Lead
- 61
- Total
- 2,088
- vs nation
- R+5.0
- Turnout
- 56.2%
- Lead
- 405
- Total
- 2,182
- vs nation
- D+14.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 593
- Total
- 2,343
- vs nation
- D+18.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 207
- Total
- 2,508
- vs nation
- D+10.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 201
- Total
- 2,224
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 149
- Total
- 2,209
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+8.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,3582024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,4412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 44.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+71.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Benson County, ND · twin score 90.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.0%2,208 participants ÷ 3,678 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.1%–50.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,124 | 3,782 | 56.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,974 | 3,767 | 52.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,324 | 3,777 | 61.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,677 | 3,679 | 45.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,208 | 3,678 | 60.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
38 precincts · 2,183 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MAHNOMENMAHNOMEN | 237 | 200 | 16 | 453 | 52.3% | 44.2% | D+8.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TWIN LAKES TWPTWIN LAKES TWP | 156 | 63 | 1 | 220 | 70.9% | 28.6% | D+42.3 |
| Precinct -PEMBINA TWPPEMBINA TWP | 94 | 116 | 6 | 216 | 43.5% | 53.7% | R+10.2 |
| Precinct -WAUBUNWAUBUN | 78 | 71 | 2 | 151 | 51.7% | 47.0% | D+4.6 |
| Precinct -OAKLAND TWPOAKLAND TWP | 53 | 84 | 0 | 137 | 38.7% | 61.3% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -LITTLE ELBOW TWPLITTLE ELBOW TWP | 81 | 49 | 2 | 132 | 61.4% | 37.1% | D+24.2 |
| Precinct -ISLAND LAKE TWPISLAND LAKE TWP | 39 | 88 | 0 | 127 | 30.7% | 69.3% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -LAKE GROVE TWPLAKE GROVE TWP | 22 | 70 | 2 | 94 | 23.4% | 74.5% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -LA GARDE TWPLA GARDE TWP | 20 | 70 | 1 | 91 | 22.0% | 76.9% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct -ROSEDALE TWPROSEDALE TWP | 28 | 51 | 0 | 79 | 35.4% | 64.6% | R+29.1 |
| Precinct -MARSH CREEK TWPMARSH CREEK TWP | 22 | 53 | 0 | 75 | 29.3% | 70.7% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -HEIER TWPHEIER TWP | 25 | 42 | 2 | 69 | 36.2% | 60.9% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -POPPLE GROVE TWPPOPPLE GROVE TWP | 19 | 45 | 2 | 66 | 28.8% | 68.2% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct -CHIEF TWPCHIEF TWP | 26 | 32 | 1 | 59 | 44.1% | 54.2% | R+10.2 |
| Precinct -BEAULIEU TWPBEAULIEU TWP | 11 | 32 | 3 | 46 | 23.9% | 69.6% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -CLOVER TWPCLOVER TWP | 22 | 21 | 1 | 44 | 50.0% | 47.7% | D+2.3 |
| Precinct -GREGORY TWPGREGORY TWP | 12 | 31 | 1 | 44 | 27.3% | 70.5% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -BEJOUBEJOU | 14 | 26 | 2 | 42 | 33.3% | 61.9% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct -BEJOU TWPBEJOU TWP | 16 | 21 | 1 | 38 | 42.1% | 55.3% | R+13.2 |
| Beaulieu Twp. Voting District27_270870005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bejou Twp. Voting District27_270870015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bejou Voting District27_270870010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chief Twp. Voting District27_270870020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clover Twp. Voting District27_270870025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gregory Twp. Voting District27_270870030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Heier Twp. Voting District27_270870035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Island Lake Twp. Voting District27_270870040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| La Garde Twp. Voting District27_270870045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Grove Twp. Voting District27_270870050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Little Elbow Twp. Voting District27_270870090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mahnomen Voting District27_270870055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marsh Creek Twp. Voting District27_270870060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oakland Twp. Voting District27_270870065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pembina Twp. Voting District27_270870070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Popple Grove Twp. Voting District27_270870075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rosedale Twp. Voting District27_270870080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Twin Lakes Twp. Voting District27_270870085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waubun Voting District27_270870095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | −24.7% |
| 1912 | +36.0% |
| 1916 | +20.7% |
| 1920 | −57.6% |
| 1924 | −27.2% |
| 1928 | +38.1% |
| 1932 | +71.0% |
| 1936 | +58.9% |
| 1940 | +29.3% |
| 1944 | +33.0% |
| 1948 | +55.7% |
| 1952 | +8.1% |
| 1956 | +26.7% |
| 1960 | +35.8% |
| 1964 | +50.4% |
| 1968 | +23.6% |
| 1972 | +5.6% |
| 1976 | +26.2% |
| 1980 | −3.8% |
| 1984 | −3.4% |
| 1988 | +9.6% |
| 1992 | +7.6% |
| 1996 | +6.7% |
| 2000 | −9.0% |
| 2004 | +8.3% |
| 2008 | +25.3% |
| 2012 | +18.6% |
| 2016 | −2.9% |
| 2020 | −1.3% |
| 2024 | −8.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 2,693 |
| 2018 | 2,649 |
| 2020 | 3,028 |
| 2022 | 2,889 |
| 2024 | 2,984 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−87 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −448 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,174 in average income, against $59,979 for residents who stayed — 8% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.1 on average — 24 points more Republican-leaning than Mahnomen County, MN itself (R+8.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Becker County, MN22R+33.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Becker County, MN32
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −20 |
| 2012 | −14 |
| 2013 | −62 |
| 2014 | −1 |
| 2015 | −114 |
| 2016 | +12 |
| 2017 | +50 |
| 2018 | −96 |
| 2019 | +2 |
| 2021 | +22 |
| 2022 | −43 |
| 2023 | −32 |
| 2024 | −65 |
| 2025 | −87 |
Mahnomen County sits entirely within the White Earth Nation reservation, giving it a Native American majority and a political profile distinct from surrounding rural Minnesota — one that has shifted notably rightward over recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 57.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.7 points.
A population of 5,358, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,441 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Benson County and Roberts County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Mahnomen County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27087/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.