HarrisDemocratic24.3%1,169TrumpRepublican74.3%3,575KennedyIndependent0.6%29
R+50.0- Lead
- 2,406
- Total
- 4,814
- vs nation
- R+48.5
- Turnout
- 79.9%
Akashiccounty
Clearwater County, MN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.9% of 6,442 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.8%1,260TrumpRepublican71.6%3,372JorgensenLibertarian0.6%28
R+44.9- Lead
- 2,112
- Total
- 4,708
- vs nation
- R+49.3
- Turnout
- 70.8%
ClintonDemocratic25.9%1,100TrumpRepublican68.9%2,925JohnsonLibertarian2.2%94
R+43.0- Lead
- 1,825
- Total
- 4,245
- vs nation
- R+45.1
- Turnout
- 65.3%
ObamaDemocratic41.8%1,753RomneyRepublican56.2%2,359GRAYLibertarian0.9%36
R+14.4- Lead
- 606
- Total
- 4,197
- vs nation
- R+18.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic44.1%1,877McCainRepublican53.8%2,291OtherAll other candidates2.2%93
R+9.7- Lead
- 414
- Total
- 4,261
- vs nation
- R+17.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic42.9%1,871BushRepublican55.9%2,438OtherAll other candidates1.2%52
R+13.0- Lead
- 567
- Total
- 4,361
- vs nation
- R+10.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic38.3%1,466BushRepublican55.9%2,137NaderGreen3.5%134
R+17.5- Lead
- 671
- Total
- 3,824
- vs nation
- R+18.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.9%1,578DoleRepublican40.5%1,423PerotReform13.4%471
D+4.4- Lead
- 155
- Total
- 3,514
- vs nation
- R+4.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,6162024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,4752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+53.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.8 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wadena County, MN · twin score 88.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 79.9%5,147 participants ÷ 6,442 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 68.5%–69.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,278 | 6,555 | 65.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,487 | 6,577 | 53.0% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,708 | 6,646 | 70.8% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,849 | 6,378 | 60.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,147 | 6,442 | 79.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
57 precincts · 4,811 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BAGLEY CITYBAGLEY CITY | 193 | 406 | 11 | 610 | 31.6% | 66.6% | R+34.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -COPLEY TWPCOPLEY TWP | 115 | 405 | 10 | 530 | 21.7% | 76.4% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -POPPLE TWPPOPPLE TWP | 75 | 229 | 8 | 312 | 24.0% | 73.4% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -NORA TWPNORA TWP | 54 | 246 | 1 | 301 | 17.9% | 81.7% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -SHEVLIN TWPSHEVLIN TWP | 42 | 241 | 4 | 287 | 14.6% | 84.0% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -CLEARBROOK CITYCLEARBROOK CITY | 72 | 197 | 4 | 273 | 26.4% | 72.2% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -DUDLEY TWPDUDLEY TWP | 45 | 188 | 2 | 235 | 19.1% | 80.0% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -HOLST TWPHOLST TWP | 52 | 166 | 2 | 220 | 23.6% | 75.5% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -LEON TWPLEON TWP | 31 | 181 | 2 | 214 | 14.5% | 84.6% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct -PINE LAKE TWPPINE LAKE TWP | 49 | 152 | 1 | 202 | 24.3% | 75.2% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct -EDDY TWPEDDY TWP | 32 | 147 | 4 | 183 | 17.5% | 80.3% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -LA PRAIRIE TWPLA PRAIRIE TWP | 111 | 54 | 4 | 169 | 65.7% | 32.0% | D+33.7 |
| Precinct -MOOSE CREEK TWPMOOSE CREEK TWP | 43 | 116 | 2 | 161 | 26.7% | 72.0% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct -MINERVA TWPMINERVA TWP | 18 | 131 | 6 | 155 | 11.6% | 84.5% | R+72.9 |
| Precinct -GONVICK CITYGONVICK CITY | 27 | 110 | 3 | 140 | 19.3% | 78.6% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -FALK TWPFALK TWP | 29 | 99 | 2 | 130 | 22.3% | 76.2% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -ITASCA TWPITASCA TWP | 39 | 69 | 1 | 109 | 35.8% | 63.3% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct -SINCLAIR TWPSINCLAIR TWP | 16 | 85 | 0 | 101 | 15.8% | 84.2% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -RICE TWPRICE TWP | 34 | 59 | 0 | 93 | 36.6% | 63.4% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -BEAR CREEK TWPBEAR CREEK TWP | 20 | 68 | 1 | 89 | 22.5% | 76.4% | R+53.9 |
| Precinct -SHEVLIN CITYSHEVLIN CITY | 12 | 64 | 0 | 76 | 15.8% | 84.2% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -WINSOR TWPWINSOR TWP | 17 | 46 | 1 | 64 | 26.6% | 71.9% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct -CLOVER TWPCLOVER TWP | 9 | 49 | 0 | 58 | 15.5% | 84.5% | R+69.0 |
| Precinct -GREENWOOD TWPGREENWOOD TWP | 8 | 35 | 0 | 43 | 18.6% | 81.4% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -LONG LOST LAKE TWPLONG LOST LAKE TWP | 17 | 12 | 0 | 29 | 58.6% | 41.4% | D+17.2 |
| Precinct -LEONARD CITYLEONARD CITY | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | 35.3% | 58.8% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -S CLEARWATER 143-36S CLEARWATER 143-36 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -HANGAARD TWPHANGAARD TWP | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Bagley City Voting District27_270290005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bear Creek Twp. Voting District27_270290010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clearbrook City Voting District27_270290015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clover Twp. Voting District27_270290020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Copley Twp. Voting District27_270290025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dudley Twp. Voting District27_270290030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eddy Twp. Voting District27_270290035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Falk Twp. Voting District27_270290040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gonvick City Voting District27_270290045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greenwood Twp. Voting District27_270290050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hangaard Twp. Voting District27_270290055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Holst Twp. Voting District27_270290060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Itasca Twp. Voting District27_270290065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| La Prairie Twp. Voting District27_270290070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Leon Twp. Voting District27_270290075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Leonard City Voting District27_270290080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Long Lost Lake Twp. Voting District27_270290140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Minerva Twp. Voting District27_270290085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Moose Creek Twp. Voting District27_270290090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nora Twp. Voting District27_270290095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pine Lake Twp. Voting District27_270290100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Popple Twp. Voting District27_270290105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Red Lake Reservation Voting District27_270290056 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rice Twp. Voting District27_270290110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| S. Clearwater 143-36 Voting District27_270290135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shevlin City Voting District27_270290115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shevlin Twp. Voting District27_270290120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sinclair Twp. Voting District27_270290125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winsor Twp. Voting District27_270290130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | −77.8% |
| 1908 | −52.2% |
| 1912 | −0.2% |
| 1916 | +4.1% |
| 1920 | −57.3% |
| 1924 | −34.4% |
| 1928 | −22.4% |
| 1932 | +49.9% |
| 1936 | +53.3% |
| 1940 | +41.4% |
| 1944 | +40.2% |
| 1948 | +38.5% |
| 1952 | +2.9% |
| 1956 | +19.4% |
| 1960 | +19.7% |
| 1964 | +39.0% |
| 1968 | +21.4% |
| 1972 | −1.8% |
| 1976 | +26.5% |
| 1980 | +0.9% |
| 1984 | −3.7% |
| 1988 | +0.2% |
| 1992 | +7.2% |
| 1996 | +4.4% |
| 2000 | −17.5% |
| 2004 | −13.0% |
| 2008 | −9.7% |
| 2012 | −14.4% |
| 2016 | −43.0% |
| 2020 | −44.9% |
| 2024 | −50.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 4,930 |
| 2018 | 4,746 |
| 2020 | 5,311 |
| 2022 | 5,314 |
| 2024 | 5,550 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−31 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +21 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,861 in average income, against $66,310 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.6 on average — 44 points more Democratic-leaning than Clearwater County, MN itself (R+50.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Beltrami County, MN51R+5.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Beltrami County, MN69
- Polk County, MN22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −8 |
| 2012 | −43 |
| 2013 | +92 |
| 2014 | +7 |
| 2015 | +5 |
| 2016 | +20 |
| 2017 | −21 |
| 2018 | −54 |
| 2019 | −38 |
| 2021 | +19 |
| 2022 | +94 |
| 2023 | +43 |
| 2024 | −64 |
| 2025 | −31 |
Clearwater County in northwest Minnesota returned a 50-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a broader rural realignment that has made once-competitive small-farm counties among the most lopsided in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 77.8 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.0 points.
A population of 8,616, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,475 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wadena County and Clark County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wadena County
Minnesota
88.1twin score
Swedish ancestry12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory≠ Norwegian ancestry
Clark County
South Dakota
87.5twin score
12-yr trendNorwegian ancestrySwedish ancestry≠ German ancestry
Cottonwood County
Minnesota
83.9twin score
12-yr trend2004 marginIrish ancestry≠ German ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Clearwater County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Clearwater County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Clearwater County, Minnesota voted Republican by 50.0 points (R+50.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,814 votes cast, 1,169 went Democratic and 3,575 went Republican.
When did Clearwater County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Clearwater County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Clearwater County, Minnesota?
Clearwater County, Minnesota has a population of 8,616 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Clearwater County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Clearwater County, Minnesota is $64,475 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Clearwater County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clearwater County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.