- Lead
- 5,891
- Total
- 23,239
- vs nation
- R+23.9
Minnesota State House District 2B
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,621
- Total
- 22,994
- vs nation
- R+24.6
- Lead
- 4,664
- Total
- 20,168
- vs nation
- R+25.2
- Lead
- 363
- Total
- 20,637
- vs nation
- R+5.6
- Lead
- 391
- Total
- 21,059
- vs nation
- R+5.4
- Lead
- 878
- Total
- 20,778
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Lead
- 1,617
- Total
- 17,817
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Lead
- 1,612
- Total
- 16,420
- vs nation
- D+1.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,5902024 5-year
- Population density
- 11 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,747 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,4832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 70, WI · twin score 91.2
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 2B · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
71.2%
9,017 votes · D+46.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 69.2%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
80.0%
2,001 votes · R+69.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 67.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
10,449votes
49.6% of the vote · D+1.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 9,874 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,375votes
61.9% of the vote · R+25.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 13,587 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Harry S. Truman1948
+29.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+34.4 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +25.3 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+49.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+69.0 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +29.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 36.1%8,381 | 63.9%14,816 | 23,197 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+25.4 across a sparsely populated corner of Minnesota, District 2B ranks among the state's most reliably Republican legislative seats, driven largely by small-town and rural working-class demographics.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 69.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.3 points.
A population of 42,590, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,483 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 70 and Assembly District 67.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 2B. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2702B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.