HarrisDemocratic45.4%12,105TrumpRepublican52.5%13,986OtherAll other candidates2.1%561
R+7.1- Lead
- 1,881
- Total
- 26,652
- vs nation
- R+5.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Minnesota State House District 3A
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic46.1%12,476TrumpRepublican51.8%14,003OtherAll other candidates2.1%558
R+5.6- Lead
- 1,527
- Total
- 27,037
- vs nation
- R+10.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic41.9%10,364TrumpRepublican50.0%12,348OtherAll other candidates8.1%1,994
R+8.0- Lead
- 1,984
- Total
- 24,706
- vs nation
- R+10.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic54.2%13,475RomneyRepublican43.2%10,742OtherAll other candidates2.6%654
D+11.0- Lead
- 2,733
- Total
- 24,871
- vs nation
- D+7.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic54.8%14,017McCainRepublican42.5%10,854OtherAll other candidates2.7%687
D+12.4- Lead
- 3,163
- Total
- 25,558
- vs nation
- D+5.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic52.9%13,794BushRepublican45.8%11,931OtherAll other candidates1.3%339
D+7.1- Lead
- 1,863
- Total
- 26,064
- vs nation
- D+9.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic46.0%10,919BushRepublican46.2%10,970OtherAll other candidates7.7%1,831
R+0.2- Lead
- 51
- Total
- 23,720
- vs nation
- R+0.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic51.6%11,211DoleRepublican33.4%7,270OtherAll other candidates15.0%3,262
D+18.1- Lead
- 3,941
- Total
- 21,743
- vs nation
- D+9.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,3672024 5-year
- Population density
- 4.0 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 10,477 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,3202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.3 in 1884MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 74, WI · twin score 90.4
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 3A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
71.8%
12,566 votes · D+45.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 71.5%
Republican
James G. Blaine1884
88.6%
304 votes · R+77.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Rutherford B. Hayes, 1876 · 86.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
15,404votes
71.5% of the vote · D+43.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 14,017 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
14,003votes
51.8% of the vote · R+5.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 13,986 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+32.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.1 · U.S. R+18.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +30.0 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+53.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+73.2 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +41.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RRoger SkrabaState House · 3A
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 49.6%12,350 | 50.4%12,559 | 24,909 |
District 3A stretches across sparsely populated lake country in northern Minnesota, where a 7.1-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 reflects a broader rural realignment that has reshaped the region's competitive history over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 77.3 points in 1884. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.1 points.
A population of 42,367, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,320 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 74 and State House District 6A.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Assembly District 74
Wisconsin
90.4twin score
median age12-yr trend% White≠ Norwegian ancestry
State House District 6A
Minnesota
88.7twin score
12-yr trendmedian ageNorwegian ancestry≠ French ancestry
State House District 7A
Minnesota
87.5twin score
Norwegian ancestry% White% Latino≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota State House District 3A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2703A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Minnesota State House District 3A
counties it covers5
Frequently asked questions
How did Minnesota State House District 3A vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota State House District 3A voted Republican by 7.1 points (R+7.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 26,652 votes cast, 12,105 went Democratic and 13,986 went Republican.
When did Minnesota State House District 3A last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota State House District 3A voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Minnesota State House District 3A?
Minnesota State House District 3A has a population of 42,367 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota State House District 3A?
Median household income in Minnesota State House District 3A is $68,320 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota State House District 3A?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minnesota State House District 3A from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.