akashic
1876–2024
State House District 2A·Minnesota

State House District 2A delivered R+13 in 2024.

A rural northern district that has drifted toward Republicans by single digits

18762024·38 elections
MN
Latest
R+13
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
43,231
2024 ACS

State House District 2A, Minnesota: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+13%. Republican peak: R+73 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+13MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
43,2312024 5-year
Median household income
$69,3852024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
73.1%2024 5-year
Black
0.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+51 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+73 in 1904MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 0 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−13.3%
9,97013,09823,503
R
−10.6%
10,02012,46322,992
R
−16.1%
7,71711,03620,610
D
+4.8%
10,7039,69420,961
D
+6.0%
11,0199,73621,209
R
−2.2%
9,86010,31220,477
R
−8.5%
7,0788,51717,021
D
+11.7%
7,7085,86815,663
D
+10.5%
7,0005,30716,052
D
+3.7%
7,3516,82614,348
R
−1.8%
7,3697,64415,131
D
+3.0%
7,2846,82215,652
D
+18.5%
7,8975,33313,824
R
−6.9%
5,3796,19411,845
D
+13.8%
5,5724,13810,356
D
+33.9%
6,8993,39910,322
D
+6.3%
5,6174,95110,608
D
+5.1%
4,8424,3729,238
R
−2.8%
5,1005,39710,572
D
+32.5%
7,0533,46111,067
D
+33.8%
6,4563,1769,693
D
+33.8%
8,3694,09712,649
D
+50.8%
7,8552,44110,648
D
+34.0%
5,4152,4948,599
R
−23.3%
2,8544,6677,792
O
−39.4%
3763,3947,665
R
−44.2%
1,2384,1976,699
D
+13.1%
1,6941,2233,603
O
+8.4%
6604282,770
R
−43.3%
5661,7612,760
R
−73.5%
2121,8652,249
R
−26.5%
5951,0381,674
D
+2.5%
165157326
D
+10.2%
443498
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
24.1%
Irish
6.6%
English
5.8%
American
5.0%
French
3.2%
Polish
1.8%
Italian
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.4%
speak English only
Other languages2.6%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Spanish0.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
18.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.2%
Other Christian
8.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Methodist
0.6%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Baptist
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

District 2A stretches across sparsely populated timber and lake country in far northern Minnesota, where a modest Republican lean in recent presidential voting reflects broader rural realignment patterns seen across the Iron Range periphery.

The Democratic margin in State House District 2A has rarely exceeded fifty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded seventy-three points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by thirteen points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 73% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $69,385 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 2A, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2702A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 2A, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 2A, Minnesota voted Republican by 13.3 points (R+13), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,503 votes cast, 9,970 went Democratic and 13,098 went Republican.
What is State House District 2A, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 2A, Minnesota as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 13 times, and other 2 times.
When did State House District 2A, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 2A, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in State House District 2A, Minnesota?
State House District 2A, Minnesota has a population of 43,231 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 2A, Minnesota?
Median household income in State House District 2A, Minnesota is $69,385 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of State House District 2A, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 2A, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.