HarrisDemocratic41.0%18,856TrumpRepublican57.2%26,333OtherAll other candidates1.8%808
R+16.3- Lead
- 7,477
- Total
- 45,997
- vs nation
- R+14.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Minnesota 2nd State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic42.7%19,349TrumpRepublican55.1%24,983OtherAll other candidates2.2%975
R+12.4- Lead
- 5,634
- Total
- 45,307
- vs nation
- R+16.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic37.1%14,922TrumpRepublican54.5%21,927OtherAll other candidates8.4%3,387
R+17.4- Lead
- 7,005
- Total
- 40,236
- vs nation
- R+19.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic50.5%20,783RomneyRepublican46.8%19,237OtherAll other candidates2.7%1,109
D+3.8- Lead
- 1,546
- Total
- 41,129
- vs nation
- R+0.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic51.9%21,693McCainRepublican45.7%19,121OtherAll other candidates2.4%1,005
D+6.2- Lead
- 2,572
- Total
- 41,819
- vs nation
- R+1.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic48.7%19,832BushRepublican49.9%20,295OtherAll other candidates1.4%580
R+1.1- Lead
- 463
- Total
- 40,707
- vs nation
- D+1.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic42.5%14,566BushRepublican49.5%16,980OtherAll other candidates8.1%2,762
R+7.0- Lead
- 2,414
- Total
- 34,308
- vs nation
- R+7.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic49.2%15,589DoleRepublican36.9%11,691OtherAll other candidates13.9%4,421
D+12.3- Lead
- 3,898
- Total
- 31,701
- vs nation
- D+3.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,4222024 5-year
- Population density
- 12 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7,315 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,2752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+49.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.2 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 1, MN · twin score 84.7
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 2nd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
72.8%
16,619 votes · D+49.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 67.9%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
80.9%
3,681 votes · R+70.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James G. Blaine, 1884 · 64.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
21,693votes
51.9% of the vote · D+6.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 20,783 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,333votes
57.2% of the vote · R+16.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 24,983 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Harry S. Truman1948
+29.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+34.4 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +24.8 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+50.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+70.2 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +30.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RSteve GreenState Senate · 2
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 39.8%18,270 | 60.2%27,644 | 45,914 |
Anchored in Minnesota's Iron Range fringe and lake-country corridors, this district backed the Republican presidential candidate by 16 points in 2024, reflecting a broader rural realignment that has reshaped once-competitive northern Minnesota.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 49.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 70.2 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.3 points.
A population of 85,422, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,275 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 1 and State Senate District 4.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 1
Minnesota
84.7twin score
12-yr trendNorwegian ancestryelasticity≠ % unaffiliated
State Senate District 4
Minnesota
82.8twin score
elasticityNorwegian ancestry% Latino
State Senate District 11
Minnesota
82.0twin score
12-yr trendelasticity% Latino≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota 2nd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Minnesota 2nd State Senate District
Frequently asked questions
How did Minnesota 2nd State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota 2nd State Senate District voted Republican by 16.3 points (R+16.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 45,997 votes cast, 18,856 went Democratic and 26,333 went Republican.
When did Minnesota 2nd State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota 2nd State Senate District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Minnesota 2nd State Senate District?
Minnesota 2nd State Senate District has a population of 85,422 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota 2nd State Senate District?
Median household income in Minnesota 2nd State Senate District is $67,275 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota 2nd State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minnesota 2nd State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.