- Lead
- 4,130
- Total
- 8,047
- vs nation
- R+49.9
- Turnout
- 77.2%
Wadena County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.2% of 10,482 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,497
- Total
- 7,677
- vs nation
- R+50.0
- Turnout
- 77.1%
- Lead
- 3,153
- Total
- 6,934
- vs nation
- R+47.6
- Turnout
- 67.7%
- Lead
- 1,651
- Total
- 6,791
- vs nation
- R+28.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,246
- Total
- 7,169
- vs nation
- R+24.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,423
- Total
- 7,093
- vs nation
- R+17.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,482
- Total
- 6,382
- vs nation
- R+23.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 216
- Total
- 6,040
- vs nation
- R+12.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,2562024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,4672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clark County, SD · twin score 90.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.2%8,094 participants ÷ 10,482 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 58.9%–61.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,023 | 10,367 | 67.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,595 | 10,214 | 54.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 7,715 | 10,005 | 77.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,019 | 10,244 | 58.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,094 | 10,482 | 77.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
48 precincts · 8,047 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -WADENA P-3WADENA P-3 | 268 | 536 | 11 | 815 | 32.9% | 65.8% | R+32.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MENAHGAMENAHGA | 202 | 577 | 12 | 791 | 25.5% | 72.9% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -WADENA P-1WADENA P-1 | 177 | 447 | 9 | 633 | 28.0% | 70.6% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -WADENA P-2WADENA P-2 | 164 | 405 | 4 | 573 | 28.6% | 70.7% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -BLUEBERRY TWPBLUEBERRY TWP | 124 | 433 | 8 | 565 | 21.9% | 76.6% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -WADENA TWPWADENA TWP | 104 | 446 | 5 | 555 | 18.7% | 80.4% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -THOMASTOWN TWPTHOMASTOWN TWP | 147 | 400 | 5 | 552 | 26.6% | 72.5% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -STAPLESSTAPLES | 136 | 272 | 14 | 422 | 32.2% | 64.5% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -SEBEKASEBEKA | 97 | 281 | 7 | 385 | 25.2% | 73.0% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -ALDRICH TWPALDRICH TWP | 43 | 253 | 3 | 299 | 14.4% | 84.6% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -VERNDALEVERNDALE | 56 | 234 | 2 | 292 | 19.2% | 80.1% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -LEAF RIVER TWPLEAF RIVER TWP | 47 | 233 | 6 | 286 | 16.4% | 81.5% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -WING RIVER TWPWING RIVER TWP | 36 | 250 | 0 | 286 | 12.6% | 87.4% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -RED EYE TWPRED EYE TWP | 53 | 221 | 6 | 280 | 18.9% | 78.9% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -ROCKWOOD TWPROCKWOOD TWP | 53 | 194 | 3 | 250 | 21.2% | 77.6% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -NORTH GERMANY TWPNORTH GERMANY TWP | 21 | 166 | 4 | 191 | 11.0% | 86.9% | R+75.9 |
| Precinct -SHELL RIVER TWPSHELL RIVER TWP | 43 | 129 | 4 | 176 | 24.4% | 73.3% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -BULLARD TWPBULLARD TWP | 22 | 120 | 9 | 151 | 14.6% | 79.5% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -MEADOW TWPMEADOW TWP | 23 | 125 | 3 | 151 | 15.2% | 82.8% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -ORTON TWPORTON TWP | 30 | 99 | 3 | 132 | 22.7% | 75.0% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -LYONS TWPLYONS TWP | 13 | 103 | 0 | 116 | 11.2% | 88.8% | R+77.6 |
| Precinct -HUNTERSVILLE TWPHUNTERSVILLE TWP | 21 | 51 | 3 | 75 | 28.0% | 68.0% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -NIMRODNIMROD | 12 | 35 | 0 | 47 | 25.5% | 74.5% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -ALDRICH CITYALDRICH CITY | 6 | 18 | 0 | 24 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
| Aldrich Twp. Voting District27_271590010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Aldrich Voting District27_271590005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blueberry Twp. Voting District27_271590015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bullard Twp. Voting District27_271590020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Huntersville Twp. Voting District27_271590025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Leaf River Twp. Voting District27_271590030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lyons Twp. Voting District27_271590035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Meadow Twp. Voting District27_271590040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Menahga Voting District27_271590045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nimrod Voting District27_271590050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Germany Twp. Voting District27_271590055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Orton Twp. Voting District27_271590060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Red Eye Twp. Voting District27_271590065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rockwood Twp. Voting District27_271590070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sebeka Voting District27_271590075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shell River Twp. Voting District27_271590080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Staples Voting District27_271590085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thomastown Twp. Voting District27_271590090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Verndale Voting District27_271590095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wadena P-127_271590100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wadena P-227_271590105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wadena P-327_271590110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wadena Twp. Voting District27_271590120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wing River Twp. Voting District27_271590125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −12.2% |
| 1896 | −23.6% |
| 1900 | −34.7% |
| 1904 | −69.0% |
| 1908 | −33.6% |
| 1912 | +4.4% |
| 1916 | −16.6% |
| 1920 | −61.1% |
| 1924 | −49.6% |
| 1928 | −30.9% |
| 1932 | +17.7% |
| 1936 | +15.2% |
| 1940 | −9.2% |
| 1944 | −17.3% |
| 1948 | +5.8% |
| 1952 | −37.4% |
| 1956 | −27.2% |
| 1960 | −15.8% |
| 1964 | +9.2% |
| 1968 | −13.3% |
| 1972 | −16.4% |
| 1976 | +1.8% |
| 1980 | −20.5% |
| 1984 | −27.3% |
| 1988 | −19.8% |
| 1992 | −2.4% |
| 1996 | −3.6% |
| 2000 | −23.2% |
| 2004 | −20.1% |
| 2008 | −17.4% |
| 2012 | −24.3% |
| 2016 | −45.5% |
| 2020 | −45.6% |
| 2024 | −51.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 8,086 |
| 2018 | 7,951 |
| 2020 | 8,829 |
| 2022 | 8,564 |
| 2024 | 9,469 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+86 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +405 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,223 in average income, against $63,464 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+40.2 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Wadena County, MN itself (R+51.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Todd County, MN65R+53.4
- Otter Tail County, MN64R+34.1
- Hubbard County, MN35R+31.4
- Becker County, MN22R+33.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Otter Tail County, MN89
- Todd County, MN55
- Hubbard County, MN35
- Crow Wing County, MN31
- Becker County, MN28
- Cass County, ND20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −152 |
| 2012 | −46 |
| 2013 | +70 |
| 2014 | −44 |
| 2015 | +85 |
| 2016 | −76 |
| 2017 | +105 |
| 2018 | +110 |
| 2019 | −49 |
| 2021 | +40 |
| 2022 | +110 |
| 2023 | +10 |
| 2024 | +156 |
| 2025 | +86 |
Wadena County, a sparsely populated stretch of north-central Minnesota lakes and timber land, delivered a 51-point Republican margin in 2024—among the widest gaps in a state that has historically resisted landslide outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 69.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.3 points.
A population of 14,256, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,467 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clark County and Clearwater County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Wadena County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27159/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.