HarrisDemocratic28.0%2,718TrumpRepublican70.3%6,818KennedyIndependent0.7%68
R+42.3- Lead
- 4,100
- Total
- 9,703
- vs nation
- R+40.8
- Turnout
- 75.9%
Akashiccounty
Kanabec County, MN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 75.9% of 12,836 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic30.0%2,774TrumpRepublican67.9%6,278JorgensenLibertarian1.0%93
R+37.9- Lead
- 3,504
- Total
- 9,242
- vs nation
- R+42.4
- Turnout
- 72.9%
ClintonDemocratic28.5%2,327TrumpRepublican64.0%5,230JohnsonLibertarian3.6%298
R+35.5- Lead
- 2,903
- Total
- 8,177
- vs nation
- R+37.6
- Turnout
- 66.7%
ObamaDemocratic44.1%3,593RomneyRepublican53.1%4,328GRAYLibertarian1.3%103
R+9.0- Lead
- 735
- Total
- 8,150
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic44.0%3,743McCainRepublican52.7%4,479OtherAll other candidates3.3%277
R+8.7- Lead
- 736
- Total
- 8,499
- vs nation
- R+15.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic43.5%3,592BushRepublican54.9%4,527OtherAll other candidates1.6%129
R+11.3- Lead
- 935
- Total
- 8,248
- vs nation
- R+8.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic41.6%2,831BushRepublican51.1%3,480NaderGreen5.1%344
R+9.5- Lead
- 649
- Total
- 6,811
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic49.2%2,927DoleRepublican32.3%1,924PerotReform16.7%996
D+16.9- Lead
- 1,003
- Total
- 5,948
- vs nation
- D+8.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,3902024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,4602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Isanti County, MN · twin score 89.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 75.9%9,738 participants ÷ 12,836 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.9%–61.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,240 | 12,345 | 66.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,765 | 12,495 | 54.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,270 | 12,713 | 72.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 7,202 | 12,647 | 56.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,738 | 12,836 | 75.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
39 precincts · 9,703 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MORAMORA | 704 | 1,118 | 31 | 1,853 | 38.0% | 60.3% | R+22.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ARTHUR TWPARTHUR TWP | 357 | 743 | 13 | 1,113 | 32.1% | 66.8% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -BRUNSWICK TWPBRUNSWICK TWP | 213 | 612 | 16 | 841 | 25.3% | 72.8% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -KNIFE LAKE TWPKNIFE LAKE TWP | 233 | 571 | 10 | 814 | 28.6% | 70.1% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -COMFORT TWPCOMFORT TWP | 189 | 482 | 12 | 683 | 27.7% | 70.6% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -GRASS LAKE TWPGRASS LAKE TWP | 120 | 530 | 13 | 663 | 18.1% | 79.9% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -PEACE TWPPEACE TWP | 177 | 436 | 13 | 626 | 28.3% | 69.6% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -WHITED TWPWHITED TWP | 165 | 406 | 12 | 583 | 28.3% | 69.6% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -KANABEC TWPKANABEC TWP | 109 | 398 | 11 | 518 | 21.0% | 76.8% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -SOUTH FORK TWPSOUTH FORK TWP | 93 | 371 | 7 | 471 | 19.7% | 78.8% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -HILLMAN TWPHILLMAN TWP | 72 | 202 | 4 | 278 | 25.9% | 72.7% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -ANN LAKE TWPANN LAKE TWP | 61 | 206 | 5 | 272 | 22.4% | 75.7% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -POMROY TWPPOMROY TWP | 65 | 178 | 3 | 246 | 26.4% | 72.4% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -OGILVIEOGILVIE | 46 | 130 | 7 | 183 | 25.1% | 71.0% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -HAY BROOK TWPHAY BROOK TWP | 21 | 129 | 2 | 152 | 13.8% | 84.9% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -KROSCHEL TWPKROSCHEL TWP | 30 | 101 | 3 | 134 | 22.4% | 75.4% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -FORD TWPFORD TWP | 22 | 106 | 1 | 129 | 17.1% | 82.2% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -GRASSTONGRASSTON | 21 | 56 | 2 | 79 | 26.6% | 70.9% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -QUAMBAQUAMBA | 20 | 43 | 2 | 65 | 30.8% | 66.2% | R+35.4 |
| Ann Lake Twp. Voting District27_270650005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arthur Twp. Voting District27_270650010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Braham Voting District27_270650015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brunswick Twp. Voting District27_270650020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Comfort Twp. Voting District27_270650025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ford Twp. Voting District27_270650030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grass Lake Twp. Voting District27_270650035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grasston Voting District27_270650040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hay Brook Twp. Voting District27_270650045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hillman Twp. Voting District27_270650050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kanabec Twp. Voting District27_270650055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Knife Lake Twp. Voting District27_270650060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kroschel Twp. Voting District27_270650065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mora Voting District27_270650070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ogilvie Voting District27_270650080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Peace Twp. Voting District27_270650085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pomroy Twp. Voting District27_270650090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Quamba Voting District27_270650095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Fork Twp. Voting District27_270650100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Whited Twp. Voting District27_270650105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −42.4% |
| 1896 | −30.2% |
| 1900 | −50.0% |
| 1904 | −75.6% |
| 1908 | −48.6% |
| 1912 | +4.1% |
| 1916 | −10.6% |
| 1920 | −65.4% |
| 1924 | −43.5% |
| 1928 | −38.5% |
| 1932 | +23.2% |
| 1936 | +30.1% |
| 1940 | −2.8% |
| 1944 | −3.7% |
| 1948 | +19.5% |
| 1952 | −12.4% |
| 1956 | −5.8% |
| 1960 | −9.3% |
| 1964 | +32.8% |
| 1968 | +7.2% |
| 1972 | −9.2% |
| 1976 | +23.4% |
| 1980 | +2.8% |
| 1984 | −6.4% |
| 1988 | +7.1% |
| 1992 | +10.4% |
| 1996 | +16.9% |
| 2000 | −9.5% |
| 2004 | −11.3% |
| 2008 | −8.7% |
| 2012 | −9.0% |
| 2016 | −35.5% |
| 2020 | −37.9% |
| 2024 | −42.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 10,078 |
| 2018 | 9,699 |
| 2020 | 10,678 |
| 2022 | 10,560 |
| 2024 | 11,360 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+25 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +659 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,713 in average income, against $66,460 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+21.2 on average — 21 points more Democratic-leaning than Kanabec County, MN itself (R+42.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Isanti County, MN75R+41.1
- Pine County, MN50R+35.1
- Mille Lacs County, MN48R+40.8
- Anoka County, MN46R+4.4
- Hennepin County, MN37D+42.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pine County, MN61
- Mille Lacs County, MN55
- Isanti County, MN54
- Anoka County, MN39
- Hennepin County, MN27
- Ramsey County, MN21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −5 |
| 2012 | −239 |
| 2013 | +12 |
| 2014 | −56 |
| 2015 | −113 |
| 2016 | +16 |
| 2017 | +139 |
| 2018 | +131 |
| 2019 | +44 |
| 2021 | +195 |
| 2022 | +324 |
| 2023 | +194 |
| 2024 | −8 |
| 2025 | +25 |
Kanabec County, anchored by the small city of Mora, sits in Minnesota's cutover forest region and has shifted decisively rightward over the past three presidential cycles, posting an R+42 margin in 2024 — well above the statewide average for rural counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 75.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.3 points.
A population of 16,390, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,460 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Isanti County and Polk County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Isanti County
Minnesota
89.2twin score
Swedish ancestry% unaffiliated% Evangelical
Polk County
Wisconsin
87.8twin score
Swedish ancestry% White2012 margin
Meeker County
Minnesota
86.7twin score
Swedish ancestry12-yr trend% White≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kanabec County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27065/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Kanabec County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Kanabec County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kanabec County, Minnesota voted Republican by 42.3 points (R+42.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,703 votes cast, 2,718 went Democratic and 6,818 went Republican.
When did Kanabec County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kanabec County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Kanabec County, Minnesota?
Kanabec County, Minnesota has a population of 16,390 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kanabec County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Kanabec County, Minnesota is $71,460 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Kanabec County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kanabec County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.