- Lead
- 15,203
- Total
- 26,140
- vs nation
- R+56.7
Minnesota State House District 10B
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 13,576
- Total
- 24,835
- vs nation
- R+59.1
- Lead
- 11,736
- Total
- 21,898
- vs nation
- R+55.7
- Lead
- 6,484
- Total
- 20,611
- vs nation
- R+35.3
- Lead
- 5,678
- Total
- 20,736
- vs nation
- R+34.7
- Lead
- 5,918
- Total
- 19,999
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Lead
- 4,793
- Total
- 16,336
- vs nation
- R+29.9
- Lead
- 740
- Total
- 13,936
- vs nation
- R+13.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,8692024 5-year
- Population density
- 38 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,142 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $86,1572024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 5B, MN · twin score 95.3
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 10B · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
61.4%
4,623 votes · D+26.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 56.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
81.4%
5,559 votes · R+71.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 80.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
7,221votes
34.8% of the vote · R+27.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 6,931 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
20,460votes
78.3% of the vote · R+58.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 18,949 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+8.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+26.6 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · +4.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+59.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.7 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +56.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.8%6,529 | 72.2%16,947 | 23,476 |
District 10B recorded a 58.2-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the heavily Republican rural character typical of Minnesota's northwestern lake-country counties, where agriculture and small-town demographics drive heavily consolidated voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 71.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.2 points.
A population of 42,869, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,157 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 5B and State House District 13A.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 10B. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2710B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.