HarrisDemocratic33.6%7,814TrumpRepublican64.5%15,013KennedyIndependent0.7%174
R+30.9- Lead
- 7,199
- Total
- 23,282
- vs nation
- R+29.4
- Turnout
- 74.8%
Akashiccounty
Kandiyohi County, MN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.8% of 31,325 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic36.1%8,440TrumpRepublican61.8%14,437JorgensenLibertarian0.9%211
R+25.7- Lead
- 5,997
- Total
- 23,367
- vs nation
- R+30.1
- Turnout
- 76.5%
ClintonDemocratic33.4%7,266TrumpRepublican58.7%12,785JohnsonLibertarian4.3%927
R+25.3- Lead
- 5,519
- Total
- 21,772
- vs nation
- R+27.4
- Turnout
- 71.5%
ObamaDemocratic45.7%9,805RomneyRepublican52.4%11,240GRAYLibertarian1.0%214
R+6.7- Lead
- 1,435
- Total
- 21,465
- vs nation
- R+10.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic46.2%10,125McCainRepublican51.7%11,319OtherAll other candidates2.1%451
R+5.5- Lead
- 1,194
- Total
- 21,895
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic43.7%9,337BushRepublican54.8%11,704OtherAll other candidates1.4%308
R+11.1- Lead
- 2,367
- Total
- 21,349
- vs nation
- R+8.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic42.6%8,220BushRepublican52.0%10,026NaderGreen3.8%734
R+9.4- Lead
- 1,806
- Total
- 19,285
- vs nation
- R+9.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic48.6%9,009DoleRepublican38.4%7,119PerotReform12.0%2,229
D+10.2- Lead
- 1,890
- Total
- 18,532
- vs nation
- D+1.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 44,0792024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,5922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.3 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Grant County, MN · twin score 87.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.8%23,437 participants ÷ 31,325 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.4%–61.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 21,991 | 30,769 | 71.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,850 | 30,381 | 62.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 23,510 | 30,745 | 76.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,334 | 31,073 | 59.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 23,437 | 31,325 | 74.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
94 precincts · 23,283 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -NEW LONDON TWPNEW LONDON TWP | 650 | 1,369 | 27 | 2,046 | 31.8% | 66.9% | R+35.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -DOVRE TWPDOVRE TWP | 470 | 965 | 27 | 1,462 | 32.1% | 66.0% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -GREEN LAKE TWPGREEN LAKE TWP | 346 | 754 | 23 | 1,123 | 30.8% | 67.1% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-2 P-3WILLMAR W-2 P-3 | 362 | 579 | 14 | 955 | 37.9% | 60.6% | R+22.7 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-3 P-1WILLMAR W-3 P-1 | 445 | 484 | 25 | 954 | 46.6% | 50.7% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-2 P-2WILLMAR W-2 P-2 | 384 | 543 | 14 | 941 | 40.8% | 57.7% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-4 P-3WILLMAR W-4 P-3 | 354 | 443 | 20 | 817 | 43.3% | 54.2% | R+10.9 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-1 P-1WILLMAR W-1 P-1 | 314 | 467 | 14 | 795 | 39.5% | 58.7% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -LAKE ANDREW TWPLAKE ANDREW TWP | 293 | 490 | 11 | 794 | 36.9% | 61.7% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -NEW LONDONNEW LONDON | 337 | 445 | 10 | 792 | 42.6% | 56.2% | R+13.6 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-1 P-3WILLMAR W-1 P-3 | 321 | 422 | 19 | 762 | 42.1% | 55.4% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-2 P-1WILLMAR W-2 P-1 | 295 | 433 | 15 | 743 | 39.7% | 58.3% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-4 P-1WILLMAR W-4 P-1 | 318 | 355 | 26 | 699 | 45.5% | 50.8% | R+5.3 |
| Precinct -SPICERSPICER | 233 | 431 | 18 | 682 | 34.2% | 63.2% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -IRVING TWPIRVING TWP | 212 | 431 | 9 | 652 | 32.5% | 66.1% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-3 P-3WILLMAR W-3 P-3 | 263 | 297 | 17 | 577 | 45.6% | 51.5% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct -ATWATERATWATER | 171 | 385 | 15 | 571 | 29.9% | 67.4% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-1 P-2WILLMAR W-1 P-2 | 203 | 317 | 7 | 527 | 38.5% | 60.2% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-4 P-2WILLMAR W-4 P-2 | 210 | 275 | 15 | 500 | 42.0% | 55.0% | R+13.0 |
| Precinct -RAYMONDRAYMOND | 122 | 298 | 4 | 424 | 28.8% | 70.3% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-3 P-2WILLMAR W-3 P-2 | 169 | 240 | 12 | 421 | 40.1% | 57.0% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct -HARRISON TWPHARRISON TWP | 115 | 288 | 8 | 411 | 28.0% | 70.1% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -COLFAX TWPCOLFAX TWP | 127 | 262 | 4 | 393 | 32.3% | 66.7% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -KANDIYOHI TWPKANDIYOHI TWP | 104 | 276 | 4 | 384 | 27.1% | 71.9% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -ROSEVILLE TWPROSEVILLE TWP | 66 | 306 | 7 | 379 | 17.4% | 80.7% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct -BURBANK TWPBURBANK TWP | 66 | 279 | 4 | 349 | 18.9% | 79.9% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -PRINSBURGPRINSBURG | 10 | 332 | 3 | 345 | 2.9% | 96.2% | R+93.3 |
| Precinct -WHITEFIELD TWPWHITEFIELD TWP | 59 | 264 | 4 | 327 | 18.0% | 80.7% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -KANDIYOHIKANDIYOHI | 67 | 229 | 9 | 305 | 22.0% | 75.1% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR TWPWILLMAR TWP | 82 | 211 | 4 | 297 | 27.6% | 71.0% | R+43.4 |
| Precinct -GENNESSEE TWPGENNESSEE TWP | 67 | 203 | 10 | 280 | 23.9% | 72.5% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct -FAHLUN TWPFAHLUN TWP | 70 | 177 | 3 | 250 | 28.0% | 70.8% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -PENNOCKPENNOCK | 58 | 172 | 6 | 236 | 24.6% | 72.9% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -MAMRE TWPMAMRE TWP | 28 | 199 | 6 | 233 | 12.0% | 85.4% | R+73.4 |
| Precinct -ARCTANDER TWPARCTANDER TWP | 67 | 155 | 8 | 230 | 29.1% | 67.4% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -ST JOHNS TWPST JOHNS TWP | 40 | 179 | 2 | 221 | 18.1% | 81.0% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct -HOLLAND TWPHOLLAND TWP | 25 | 193 | 0 | 218 | 11.5% | 88.5% | R+77.1 |
| Precinct -ROSELAND TWPROSELAND TWP | 42 | 165 | 2 | 209 | 20.1% | 78.9% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -NORWAY LAKE TWPNORWAY LAKE TWP | 58 | 138 | 5 | 201 | 28.9% | 68.7% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -EDWARDS TWPEDWARDS TWP | 15 | 132 | 3 | 150 | 10.0% | 88.0% | R+78.0 |
| Precinct -LAKE ELIZABETH TWPLAKE ELIZABETH TWP | 32 | 88 | 5 | 125 | 25.6% | 70.4% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -LAKE LILLIANLAKE LILLIAN | 39 | 81 | 4 | 124 | 31.5% | 65.3% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -LAKE LILLIAN TWPLAKE LILLIAN TWP | 35 | 76 | 2 | 113 | 31.0% | 67.3% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -EAST LAKE LILLIAN TWPEAST LAKE LILLIAN TWP | 35 | 61 | 5 | 101 | 34.7% | 60.4% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct -BLOMKESTBLOMKEST | 20 | 62 | 2 | 84 | 23.8% | 73.8% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -SUNBURGSUNBURG | 10 | 41 | 2 | 53 | 18.9% | 77.4% | R+58.5 |
| Precinct -REGALREGAL | 5 | 22 | 1 | 28 | 17.9% | 78.6% | R+60.7 |
| Arctander Twp. Voting District27_270670005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atwater Voting District27_270670010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blomkest Voting District27_270670015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burbank Twp. Voting District27_270670020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax Twp. Voting District27_270670025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dovre Twp. Voting District27_270670030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Lake Lillian Twp. Voting District27_270670035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Edwards Twp. Voting District27_270670040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fahlun Twp. Voting District27_270670045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gennessee Twp. Voting District27_270670050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Green Lake Twp. Voting District27_270670055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Harrison Twp. Voting District27_270670060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Holland Twp. Voting District27_270670065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Irving Twp. Voting District27_270670070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kandiyohi Twp. Voting District27_270670080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kandiyohi Voting District27_270670075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Andrew Twp. Voting District27_270670085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Elizabeth Twp. Voting District27_270670090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Lillian Twp. Voting District27_270670100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Lillian Voting District27_270670095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mamre Twp. Voting District27_270670105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New London Twp. Voting District27_270670115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New London Voting District27_270670110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Norway Lake Twp. Voting District27_270670120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pennock Voting District27_270670125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prinsburg Voting District27_270670130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Raymond Voting District27_270670135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Regal Voting District27_270670140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roseland Twp. Voting District27_270670145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roseville Twp. Voting District27_270670150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spicer Voting District27_270670160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Johns Twp. Voting District27_270670155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sunburg Voting District27_270670165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Whitefield Twp. Voting District27_270670170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar Twp. Voting District27_270670235 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-1 P-127_270670175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-1 P-227_270670180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-1 P-327_270670185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-2 P-127_270670190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-2 P-227_270670195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-2 P-327_270670200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-3 P-127_270670205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-3 P-227_270670210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-3 P-327_270670215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-4 P-127_270670220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-4 P-227_270670225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-4 P-327_270670230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −36.1% |
| 1896 | −14.0% |
| 1900 | −31.3% |
| 1904 | −73.3% |
| 1908 | −37.6% |
| 1912 | +11.2% |
| 1916 | +9.2% |
| 1920 | −46.5% |
| 1924 | −37.4% |
| 1928 | −38.7% |
| 1932 | +35.3% |
| 1936 | +43.0% |
| 1940 | +25.3% |
| 1944 | +26.1% |
| 1948 | +30.5% |
| 1952 | −0.8% |
| 1956 | +11.3% |
| 1960 | −0.4% |
| 1964 | +38.7% |
| 1968 | +19.1% |
| 1972 | +4.3% |
| 1976 | +19.4% |
| 1980 | −2.4% |
| 1984 | −6.3% |
| 1988 | +1.8% |
| 1992 | +5.7% |
| 1996 | +10.2% |
| 2000 | −9.4% |
| 2004 | −11.1% |
| 2008 | −5.5% |
| 2012 | −6.7% |
| 2016 | −25.3% |
| 2020 | −25.7% |
| 2024 | −30.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 25,223 |
| 2018 | 24,798 |
| 2020 | 26,818 |
| 2022 | 26,391 |
| 2024 | 27,688 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−446 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,916 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,666 in average income, against $84,505 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+18.2 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Kandiyohi County, MN itself (R+30.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Stearns County, MN103R+26.7
- Hennepin County, MN49D+42.4
- Meeker County, MN47R+42.7
- Chippewa County, MN42R+34.0
- Renville County, MN42R+41.3
- Swift County, MN38R+34.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hennepin County, MN123
- Stearns County, MN107
- Chippewa County, MN40
- Meeker County, MN40
- Renville County, MN38
- Dakota County, MN34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −313 |
| 2012 | −92 |
| 2013 | −251 |
| 2014 | −415 |
| 2015 | −295 |
| 2016 | −414 |
| 2017 | −344 |
| 2018 | −268 |
| 2019 | −100 |
| 2021 | −70 |
| 2022 | −321 |
| 2023 | −266 |
| 2024 | −321 |
| 2025 | −446 |
Kandiyohi County, anchored by Willmar and its meatpacking industry, has shifted steadily rightward over the past two decades, posting a 30.9-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 despite a notably diverse immigrant workforce in its largest city.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 73.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.9 points.
A population of 44,079, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,592 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grant County and Douglas County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Grant County
Minnesota
87.7twin score
Swedish ancestry12-yr trendNorwegian ancestry≠ population scale
Douglas County
Minnesota
86.9twin score
Swedish ancestryNorwegian ancestryScottish ancestry
Steele County
Minnesota
86.4twin score
Norwegian ancestry2004–2012 trajectory≠ Swedish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kandiyohi County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27067/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Kandiyohi County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Kandiyohi County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kandiyohi County, Minnesota voted Republican by 30.9 points (R+30.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,282 votes cast, 7,814 went Democratic and 15,013 went Republican.
When did Kandiyohi County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kandiyohi County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Kandiyohi County, Minnesota?
Kandiyohi County, Minnesota has a population of 44,079 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kandiyohi County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Kandiyohi County, Minnesota is $76,592 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Kandiyohi County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kandiyohi County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.