Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Willmar, MN
presidential margin
2008R+5.52012R+6.72016R+25.32020R+25.72024R+30.9
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+30.9
2024
median income$76,592U.S. $80,734 · MN $89,062
median age40.0U.S. 39.1 · MN 39
poverty rate9.1%U.S. 12.5% · MN 9.3%
bachelor’s+ (25+)27.9%U.S. 35.6% · MN 39.4%
non-english14.3%U.S. 22.3% · MN 12.5%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German31.6%
Norwegian17.6%
Swedish8.8%
Mexican8.3%
Honduran2.1%
Guatemalan1.5%
African American†2.0%
Somali1.5%
African0.9%
Burmese0.7%
Korean0.2%
Thai0.2%
religion
other traditions
Other Christian0.8%
Latter-day Saints0.7%
Muslim0.4%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Willmar, MN, Minnesota

Akashic
Willmar, MNTrumpR+30.9
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Willmar, MN, MNA map of the single county of Willmar, MN, MN, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Kandiyohi County, MN · R+30.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican64.5%15,013
Kamala HarrisDemocratic33.6%7,814
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People2.0%455
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Willmar, MN, MN — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Kandiyohi County, MNRepublicanR+30.9
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
33.6%Harris7,814
64.5%Trump15,013
2.0%Kennedy455
−30.9%
23,282
R
36.1%Biden8,440
61.8%Trump14,437
2.1%Jorgensen490
−25.7%
23,367
R
33.4%Clinton7,266
58.7%Trump12,785
7.9%Johnson1,721
−25.3%
21,772
R
45.7%Obama9,805
52.4%Romney11,240
2.0%Johnson420
−6.7%
21,465
R
46.2%Obama10,125
51.7%McCain11,319
2.1%Nader451
−5.5%
21,895
R
43.7%Kerry9,337
54.8%Bush11,704
1.4%Nader308
−11.1%
21,349
R
42.6%Gore8,220
52.0%Bush10,026
5.4%Nader1,039
−9.4%
19,285
D
48.6%Clinton9,009
38.4%Dole7,119
13.0%Perot2,404
+10.2%
18,532
D
40.3%Clinton7,914
34.5%Bush6,784
25.2%Perot4,958
+5.7%
19,656
D
50.2%Dukakis8,962
48.3%Bush8,634
1.5%McCarthy266
+1.8%
17,862
R
46.4%Mondale8,402
52.7%Reagan9,539
0.9%Larouche163
−6.3%
18,104
R
44.4%Carter8,038
46.9%Reagan8,480
8.7%Anderson1,577
−2.4%
18,095
D
58.3%Carter9,992
38.9%Ford6,664
2.8%McCarthy474
+19.4%
17,130
D
50.0%McGovern7,241
45.7%Nixon6,624
4.3%Schmitz616
+4.3%
14,481
D
57.0%Humphrey7,639
38.0%Nixon5,086
5.0%Wallace675
+19.1%
13,400
D
69.2%Johnson9,108
30.5%Goldwater4,011
0.3%Hass37
+38.7%
13,156
R
49.7%Kennedy6,738
50.0%Nixon6,786
0.3%Byrd43
−0.4%
13,567
D
55.5%Stevenson6,834
44.3%Eisenhower5,445
0.2%Andrews26
+11.3%
12,305
R
49.1%Stevenson6,264
50.0%Eisenhower6,370
0.9%Hallinan113
−0.8%
12,747
D
62.1%Truman7,204
31.6%Dewey3,666
6.2%Thurmond723
+30.5%
11,593
D
62.6%Roosevelt6,482
36.5%Dewey3,784
0.8%Thomas87
+26.1%
10,353
D
62.3%Roosevelt7,187
36.9%Willkie4,263
0.8%Thomas90
+25.3%
11,540
D
69.2%Roosevelt6,595
26.2%Landon2,500
4.5%Lemke429
+43.0%
9,524
D
65.3%Roosevelt5,813
30.0%Hoover2,674
4.7%Thomas414
+35.3%
8,901
R
29.1%Smith2,481
67.8%Hoover5,780
3.1%Thomas261
−38.7%
8,522
O
2.8%Davis222
40.2%Coolidge3,222
57.1%La Follette4,578
La Follette +16.9
8,022
R
17.2%Cox1,282
63.7%Harding4,759
19.2%Debs1,433
−46.5%
7,474
D
51.1%Wilson1,968
41.8%Hughes1,612
7.1%Benson275
+9.2%
3,855
O
25.8%Wilson855
14.6%Taft484
59.6%Roosevelt1,979
Roosevelt +33.9
3,318
R
26.1%Bryan947
63.6%Taft2,312
10.3%Debs375
−37.6%
3,634
R
7.9%Parker252
81.3%Roosevelt2,576
10.8%Debs342
−73.3%
3,170
R
33.0%Bryan1,204
64.3%McKinley2,343
2.6%Woolley96
−31.3%
3,643
R
42.2%Bryan1,638
56.3%McKinley2,181
1.5%Palmer58
−14.0%
3,877
R
14.8%Cleveland391
50.9%Harrison1,341
34.2%Weaver901
−36.1%
2,633
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −30.9% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−30.9%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−36.1%
1896−14.0%
1900−31.3%
1904−73.3%
1908−37.6%
1912+11.2%
1916+9.2%
1920−46.5%
1924−37.4%
1928−38.7%
1932+35.3%
1936+43.0%
1940+25.3%
1944+26.1%
1948+30.5%
1952−0.8%
1956+11.3%
1960−0.4%
1964+38.7%
1968+19.1%
1972+4.3%
1976+19.4%
1980−2.4%
1984−6.3%
1988+1.8%
1992+5.7%
1996+10.2%
2000−9.4%
2004−11.1%
2008−5.5%
2012−6.7%
2016−25.3%
2020−25.7%
2024−30.9%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Willmar, MNTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 27,688 in 2024.6.9K13.8K20.8K27.7K27.7K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Willmar, MN
YearTotal registered
201625,223
201824,798
202026,818
202226,391
202427,688
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Willmar's rapid Latino population growth—driven by food-processing jobs—has made this west-central Minnesota hub a closely watched bellwether for how demographic shifts translate into changing margins in historically Scandinavian-rooted farm country.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 73.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.9 points.

A population of 44,079, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,592 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Owatonna, MN and Alexandria, MN.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Owatonna, MN
92.0twin score
Norwegian ancestry% unaffiliatedpopulation scale
Alexandria, MN
84.3twin score
Norwegian ancestry12-yr trendpopulation scale≠ German ancestry
Red Wing, MN
82.6twin score
Norwegian ancestry% unaffiliatedpopulation scale≠ Irish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Willmar, MN, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/48820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Embed & data: CC BY 4.0 · Akashic Intelligence
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Presidentevery cycleUS Senateevery cycleUS Houseevery cycleGovernorevery cycle

Places within Willmar, MN

counties1
Kandiyohi County

Frequently asked questions

How did Willmar, MN, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Willmar, MN, Minnesota voted Republican by 30.9 points (R+30.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,282 votes cast, 7,814 went Democratic and 15,013 went Republican.
When did Willmar, MN, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Willmar, MN, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Willmar, MN, Minnesota?
Willmar, MN, Minnesota has a population of 44,079 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Willmar, MN, Minnesota?
Median household income in Willmar, MN, Minnesota is $76,592 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Willmar, MN, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Willmar, MN, Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.