HarrisDemocratic33.6%7,814TrumpRepublican64.5%15,013KennedyIndependent0.7%174
R+30.9- Lead
- 7,199
- Total
- 23,282
- vs nation
- R+29.4
Akashicmetro area
Willmar, MN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic36.1%8,440TrumpRepublican61.8%14,437OtherAll other candidates2.1%490
R+25.7- Lead
- 5,997
- Total
- 23,367
- vs nation
- R+30.1
ClintonDemocratic33.4%7,266TrumpRepublican58.7%12,785OtherAll other candidates7.9%1,721
R+25.3- Lead
- 5,519
- Total
- 21,772
- vs nation
- R+27.4
ObamaDemocratic45.7%9,805RomneyRepublican52.4%11,240OtherAll other candidates2.0%420
R+6.7- Lead
- 1,435
- Total
- 21,465
- vs nation
- R+10.5
ObamaDemocratic46.2%10,125McCainRepublican51.7%11,319OtherAll other candidates2.1%451
R+5.5- Lead
- 1,194
- Total
- 21,895
- vs nation
- R+12.7
KerryDemocratic43.7%9,337BushRepublican54.8%11,704OtherAll other candidates1.4%308
R+11.1- Lead
- 2,367
- Total
- 21,349
- vs nation
- R+8.6
GoreDemocratic42.6%8,220BushRepublican52.0%10,026OtherAll other candidates5.4%1,039
R+9.4- Lead
- 1,806
- Total
- 19,285
- vs nation
- R+9.9
ClintonDemocratic48.6%9,009DoleRepublican38.4%7,119OtherAll other candidates13.0%2,404
D+10.2- Lead
- 1,890
- Total
- 18,532
- vs nation
- D+1.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 44,0792024 5-year
- Population density
- 55 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 797 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,5922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.3 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Owatonna, MN · twin score 92.0
presidential history
Party record book
Willmar, MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
69.2%
6,595 votes · D+43.0
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 69.2%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
81.3%
2,576 votes · R+73.3
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 67.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
10,125votes
46.2% of the vote · R+5.5
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 9,992 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
15,013votes
64.5% of the vote · R+30.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,437 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+27.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+4.3 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1956 · +26.7 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+53.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+73.3 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +37.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.4%7,089 | 68.6%15,519 | 22,608 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 25,223 |
| 2018 | 24,798 |
| 2020 | 26,818 |
| 2022 | 26,391 |
| 2024 | 27,688 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−446 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,916 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −313 |
| 2012 | −92 |
| 2013 | −251 |
| 2014 | −415 |
| 2015 | −295 |
| 2016 | −414 |
| 2017 | −344 |
| 2018 | −268 |
| 2019 | −100 |
| 2021 | −70 |
| 2022 | −321 |
| 2023 | −266 |
| 2024 | −321 |
| 2025 | −446 |
Willmar's rapid Latino population growth—driven by food-processing jobs—has made this west-central Minnesota hub a closely watched bellwether for how demographic shifts translate into changing margins in historically Scandinavian-rooted farm country.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 73.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.9 points.
A population of 44,079, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,592 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Owatonna, MN and Alexandria, MN.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Owatonna, MN
92.0twin score
Norwegian ancestry% unaffiliatedpopulation scale
Alexandria, MN
84.3twin score
Norwegian ancestry12-yr trendpopulation scale≠ German ancestry
Red Wing, MN
82.6twin score
Norwegian ancestry% unaffiliatedpopulation scale≠ Irish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Willmar, MN, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/48820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Willmar, MN, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Willmar, MN, Minnesota voted Republican by 30.9 points (R+30.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,282 votes cast, 7,814 went Democratic and 15,013 went Republican.
When did Willmar, MN, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Willmar, MN, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Willmar, MN, Minnesota?
Willmar, MN, Minnesota has a population of 44,079 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Willmar, MN, Minnesota?
Median household income in Willmar, MN, Minnesota is $76,592 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Willmar, MN, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Willmar, MN, Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.