Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Wilmington, NC
presidential margin
2008R+8.22012R+12.12016R+15.42020R+11.72024R+13.9
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+13.9
2024
median income$76,547U.S. $80,734 · NC $72,388
median age45.7U.S. 39.1 · NC 39.5
poverty rate10.9%U.S. 12.5% · NC 13.1%
bachelor’s+ (25+)39.7%U.S. 35.6% · NC 35.8%
non-english7.0%U.S. 22.3% · NC 13.5%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English15.7%
Irish13.4%
German12.3%
African American†9.3%
African0.5%
Mexican3.5%
Puerto Rican1.0%
Honduran0.6%
Korean0.2%
Chinese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline8.5%
Black Protestant4.0%
Other Christian1.2%
Latter-day Saints1.1%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Wilmington, NC, North Carolina

Akashic
Wilmington, NCTrumpR+13.9
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Wilmington, NC, NCA map of the constituent counties of Wilmington, NC, NC, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Brunswick County, NC · R+24.8New Hanover County, NC · D+0.6Pender County, NC · R+34.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican56.3%161,649
Kamala HarrisDemocratic42.4%121,831
Jill SteinGreen1.2%3,541
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Wilmington, NC, NC — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Brunswick County, NCRepublicanR+24.8
New Hanover County, NCDemocraticD+0.6
Pender County, NCRepublicanR+34.9
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
42.4%Harris121,831
56.3%Trump161,649
1.2%Stein3,541
−13.9%
287,021
R
43.4%Biden111,171
55.1%Trump141,137
1.5%Jorgensen3,866
−11.7%
256,174
R
40.2%Clinton83,615
55.6%Trump115,703
4.2%Johnson8,823
−15.4%
208,141
R
43.3%Obama80,338
55.4%Romney102,745
1.3%Johnson2,434
−12.1%
185,517
R
45.4%Obama80,383
53.6%McCain94,915
1.0%Barr1,724
−8.2%
177,022
R
42.2%Kerry57,474
57.5%Bush78,313
0.4%Badnarik522
−15.3%
136,309
R
44.7%Gore48,825
54.5%Bush59,591
0.8%Browne896
−9.8%
109,312
R
43.2%Clinton38,289
49.0%Dole43,492
7.8%Perot6,951
−5.9%
88,732
R
41.7%Clinton36,293
43.7%Bush38,028
14.6%Perot12,663
−2.0%
86,984
R
41.5%Dukakis27,659
58.2%Bush38,740
0.3%Fulani176
−16.6%
66,575
R
38.0%Mondale23,719
61.7%Reagan38,523
0.2%Bergland151
−23.7%
62,393
R
47.0%Carter24,813
49.6%Reagan26,158
3.4%Anderson1,812
−2.5%
52,783
D
57.1%Carter26,303
42.1%Ford19,386
0.8%Anderson391
+15.0%
46,080
R
24.9%McGovern9,809
72.5%Nixon28,540
2.6%Schmitz1,004
−47.6%
39,353
O
30.5%Humphrey12,664
32.4%Nixon13,431
37.1%Wallace15,369
Wallace +4.7
41,464
D
52.9%Johnson20,029
47.1%Goldwater17,822
0.0%
+5.8%
37,851
D
59.2%Kennedy20,231
40.8%Nixon13,964
0.0%
+18.3%
34,195
D
53.3%Stevenson15,740
46.7%Eisenhower13,778
0.0%
+6.6%
29,518
D
53.3%Stevenson15,310
46.7%Eisenhower13,440
0.0%
+6.5%
28,750
D
48.6%Truman8,750
29.8%Dewey5,362
21.7%Thurmond3,902
+18.8%
18,014
D
72.0%Roosevelt13,545
28.0%Dewey5,267
0.0%
+44.0%
18,812
D
79.7%Roosevelt13,566
20.3%Willkie3,462
0.0%
+59.3%
17,028
D
79.3%Roosevelt12,468
20.7%Landon3,264
0.0%
+58.5%
15,732
D
73.7%Roosevelt10,268
25.1%Hoover3,498
1.2%Thomas169
+48.6%
13,935
R
39.0%Smith4,776
61.0%Hoover7,479
0.0%
−22.1%
12,255
D
68.7%Davis7,028
26.8%Coolidge2,739
4.5%La Follette463
+41.9%
10,230
D
71.4%Cox6,935
28.6%Harding2,773
0.0%
+42.9%
9,708
D
68.7%Wilson4,135
31.3%Hughes1,881
0.0%Benson1
+37.5%
6,017
D
74.8%Wilson3,765
8.7%Taft439
16.5%Roosevelt831
+66.1%
5,035
D
66.3%Bryan3,394
33.7%Taft1,725
0.0%
+32.6%
5,119
D
78.5%Parker2,721
21.5%Roosevelt746
0.0%
+57.0%
3,467
D
75.3%Bryan3,909
24.0%McKinley1,246
0.6%Woolley33
+51.3%
5,188
R
46.2%Bryan4,655
51.9%McKinley5,225
1.9%Palmer190
−5.7%
10,070
D
51.7%Cleveland4,035
37.3%Harrison2,906
11.0%Weaver860
+14.5%
7,801
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −13.9% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−13.9%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+14.5%
1896−5.7%
1900+51.3%
1904+57.0%
1908+32.6%
1912+66.1%
1916+37.5%
1920+42.9%
1924+41.9%
1928−22.1%
1932+48.6%
1936+58.5%
1940+59.3%
1944+44.0%
1948+18.8%
1952+6.5%
1956+6.6%
1960+18.3%
1964+5.8%
1968−1.8%
1972−47.6%
1976+15.0%
1980−2.5%
1984−23.7%
1988−16.6%
1992−2.0%
1996−5.9%
2000−9.8%
2004−15.3%
2008−8.2%
2012−12.1%
2016−15.4%
2020−11.7%
2024−13.9%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in Wilmington, NCRegistered voters by party of registration, 2008–2024. Latest total 384,043 in 2024.96K192K288K384K384K20082024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Wilmington, NC
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
2008253,37699,36789,49864,242269
2012278,86598,48696,08983,1181,172
2016305,71395,299104,343104,3691,702
2020337,67592,264118,598124,0702,743
2022354,60091,161123,926136,8492,664
2024384,04390,785135,122154,3243,812
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections

The Wilmington metro anchors southeastern North Carolina's fastest-growing corridor, where an influx of retirees and proximity to Camp Lejeune produce an electorate that swings notably on veterans' issues and coastal-economy concerns.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 47.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.9 points.

A population of 453,347, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,547 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hilton Head Island-Bluffton-Port Royal, SC and Barnstable Town, MA.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Hilton Head Island-Bluffton-Port Royal, SC
83.5twin score
12-yr trendcollege sharemedian age
Barnstable Town, MA
82.3twin score
college shareScottish ancestrypopulation scale≠ 2020 margin
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
78.1twin score
median agepopulation scalecollege share≠ Puerto Rican ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wilmington, NC, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/48900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Embed & data: CC BY 4.0 · Akashic Intelligence
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Presidentevery cycleUS Senateevery cycleUS Houseevery cycleGovernorevery cycle

Places within Wilmington, NC

counties3
Brunswick CountyNew Hanover CountyPender County

Frequently asked questions

How did Wilmington, NC, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wilmington, NC, North Carolina voted Republican by 13.9 points (R+13.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 287,021 votes cast, 121,831 went Democratic and 161,649 went Republican.
When did Wilmington, NC, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wilmington, NC, North Carolina voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Wilmington, NC, North Carolina?
Wilmington, NC, North Carolina has a population of 453,347 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wilmington, NC, North Carolina?
Median household income in Wilmington, NC, North Carolina is $76,547 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Wilmington, NC, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Wilmington, NC, North Carolina from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.