HarrisDemocratic31.6%7,938TrumpRepublican66.6%16,726KennedyIndependent0.8%193
R+35.0- Lead
- 8,788
- Total
- 25,107
- vs nation
- R+33.5
- Turnout
- 81.4%
Akashiccounty
Douglas County, MN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 81.4% of 30,981 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic32.6%7,868TrumpRepublican65.4%15,799JorgensenLibertarian1.0%238
R+32.8- Lead
- 7,931
- Total
- 24,165
- vs nation
- R+37.3
- Turnout
- 81.6%
ClintonDemocratic28.6%6,227TrumpRepublican64.1%13,966JohnsonLibertarian3.6%781
R+35.5- Lead
- 7,739
- Total
- 21,785
- vs nation
- R+37.6
- Turnout
- 76.0%
ObamaDemocratic41.3%8,653RomneyRepublican56.7%11,884GRAYLibertarian0.9%184
R+15.4- Lead
- 3,231
- Total
- 20,953
- vs nation
- R+19.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic44.2%9,256McCainRepublican53.7%11,241OtherAll other candidates2.0%421
R+9.5- Lead
- 1,985
- Total
- 20,918
- vs nation
- R+16.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic40.5%8,219BushRepublican58.1%11,793OtherAll other candidates1.5%297
R+17.6- Lead
- 3,574
- Total
- 20,309
- vs nation
- R+15.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic36.9%6,352BushRepublican57.0%9,811NaderGreen4.3%746
R+20.1- Lead
- 3,459
- Total
- 17,205
- vs nation
- R+20.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.7%6,450DoleRepublican43.6%6,747PerotReform13.5%2,093
R+1.9- Lead
- 297
- Total
- 15,464
- vs nation
- R+10.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 39,5752024 5-year
- Population density
- 62 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 637 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $79,0432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Otter Tail County, MN · twin score 95.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 81.4%25,228 participants ÷ 30,981 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 64.7%–66.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 22,001 | 28,939 | 76.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,198 | 29,127 | 62.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,165 | 29,625 | 81.6% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 19,805 | 30,567 | 64.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 25,228 | 30,981 | 81.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Douglas County, MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
66.6%
5,101 votes · D+36.3
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 59.4%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
79.4%
2,171 votes · R+64.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 66.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
9,256votes
44.2% of the vote · R+9.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 8,653 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
16,726votes
66.6% of the vote · R+35.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 15,799 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+18.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+36.3 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +13.8 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+44.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+64.4 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +37.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 29.0%7,034 | 71.0%17,210 | 24,244 |
| 2020 | R | 38.1%8,565 | 61.9%13,939 | 22,504 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 25,705 |
| 2018 | 25,290 |
| 2020 | 27,358 |
| 2022 | 27,559 |
| 2024 | 29,095 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+231 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +3,380 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $69,492 in average income, against $92,623 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+20.1 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Douglas County, MN itself (R+35.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Stearns County, MN85R+26.7
- Pope County, MN81R+31.6
- Otter Tail County, MN71R+34.1
- Hennepin County, MN69D+42.4
- Todd County, MN61R+53.4
- Grant County, MN59R+30.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pope County, MN89
- Hennepin County, MN78
- Stearns County, MN70
- Cass County, ND67
- Otter Tail County, MN56
- Todd County, MN50
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +177 |
| 2012 | +83 |
| 2013 | +55 |
| 2014 | +185 |
| 2015 | +188 |
| 2016 | +381 |
| 2017 | +391 |
| 2018 | +401 |
| 2019 | +187 |
| 2021 | +295 |
| 2022 | +416 |
| 2023 | +272 |
| 2024 | +118 |
| 2025 | +231 |
Douglas County sits in Minnesota's lake-dense central corridor, where a tourism-driven economy and a predominantly white, rural electorate have produced some of the state's most consistent Republican margins over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 64.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.0 points.
A population of 39,575, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,043 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Otter Tail County and Becker County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Otter Tail County
Minnesota
95.4twin score
Norwegian ancestrySwedish ancestry% White
Becker County
Minnesota
91.8twin score
Norwegian ancestry% Latino% Black≠ French ancestry
Crow Wing County
Minnesota
87.0twin score
Swedish ancestry% White% Black≠ French ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Douglas County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Douglas County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Douglas County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Douglas County, Minnesota voted Republican by 35.0 points (R+35.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 25,107 votes cast, 7,938 went Democratic and 16,726 went Republican.
When did Douglas County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Douglas County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Douglas County, Minnesota?
Douglas County, Minnesota has a population of 39,575 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Douglas County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Douglas County, Minnesota is $79,043 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Douglas County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Douglas County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.