HarrisDemocratic36.3%2,978TrumpRepublican61.4%5,035OtherAll other candidates2.4%193
R+25.1- Lead
- 2,057
- Total
- 8,206
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Monticello, MN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic38.9%2,753TrumpRepublican57.9%4,097OtherAll other candidates3.3%231
R+19.0- Lead
- 1,344
- Total
- 7,081
- vs nation
- R+23.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic32.8%2,007TrumpRepublican57.8%3,534OtherAll other candidates9.4%573
R+25.0- Lead
- 1,527
- Total
- 6,114
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic45.0%2,708RomneyRepublican52.7%3,172OtherAll other candidates2.4%143
R+7.7- Lead
- 464
- Total
- 6,023
- vs nation
- R+11.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic46.8%2,707McCainRepublican50.8%2,937OtherAll other candidates2.4%136
R+4.0- Lead
- 230
- Total
- 5,780
- vs nation
- R+11.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic44.4%2,327BushRepublican53.7%2,812OtherAll other candidates1.9%100
R+9.3- Lead
- 485
- Total
- 5,239
- vs nation
- R+6.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,8582024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,5342024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+25.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wahpeton, ND · twin score 93.0
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −9.3% |
| 2008 | −4.0% |
| 2012 | −7.7% |
| 2016 | −25.0% |
| 2020 | −19.0% |
| 2024 | −25.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 36.3%Harris2,978 | 61.4%Trump5,035 | 2.4% | R+25.1 | R+6.1 | R+23.6 | 8,206 | |
| R | 38.9%Biden2,753 | 57.9%Trump4,097 | 3.3% | R+19.0 | D+6.0 | R+23.4 | 7,081 | |
| R | 32.8%Clinton2,007 | 57.8%Trump3,534 | 9.4% | R+25.0 | R+17.3 | R+27.1 | 6,114 | |
| R | 45.0%Obama2,708 | 52.7%Romney3,172 | 2.4% | R+7.7 | R+3.7 | R+11.6 | 6,023 | |
| R | 46.8%Obama2,707 | 50.8%McCain2,937 | 2.4% | R+4.0 | — | R+11.3 | 5,780 | |
| R | 44.4%Kerry2,327 | 53.7%Bush2,812 | 1.9% | R+9.3 | — | R+6.8 | 5,239 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 35.1%2,741 | 64.9%5,065 | 7,806 |
| 2020 | R | 34.9%2,370 | 65.1%4,412 | 6,782 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 40.1%2,463 | 59.9%3,677 | 6,140 |
Monticello sits on the Mississippi northwest of the Twin Cities metro, and its rapid population growth over the past two decades has made it a bellwether for how expanding exurban communities shift voting patterns in traditionally rural Wright County.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 25.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.1 points.
A population of 14,858, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,534 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wahpeton and Aberdeen.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wahpeton
North Dakota
93.0twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Aberdeen
South Dakota
91.8twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Big Lake
Minnesota
90.8twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Monticello, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/2743774/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Monticello, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Monticello, Minnesota voted Republican by 25.1 points (R+25.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,206 votes cast, 2,978 went Democratic and 5,035 went Republican.
How many people live in Monticello, Minnesota?
Monticello, Minnesota has a population of 14,858 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Monticello, Minnesota?
Median household income in Monticello, Minnesota is $79,534 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Monticello, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Monticello, Minnesota from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.