- Lead
- 14,196
- Total
- 55,929
- vs nation
- R+23.9
Minnesota 30th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 13,166
- Total
- 50,656
- vs nation
- R+30.4
- Lead
- 13,734
- Total
- 42,531
- vs nation
- R+34.4
- Lead
- 8,506
- Total
- 41,623
- vs nation
- R+24.3
- Lead
- 6,788
- Total
- 40,325
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Lead
- 8,047
- Total
- 37,044
- vs nation
- R+19.3
- Lead
- 4,347
- Total
- 27,550
- vs nation
- R+16.3
- Lead
- 1,381
- Total
- 21,909
- vs nation
- R+2.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,7672024 5-year
- Population density
- 452 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 190 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $125,1642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 31, MN · twin score 95.8
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 30th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
62.8%
3,307 votes · D+28.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 60.6%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
78.6%
3,428 votes · R+64.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 74.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
20,299votes
36.3% of the vote · R+25.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 18,165 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
34,495votes
61.7% of the vote · R+25.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 31,331 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+14.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+9.1 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · +13.0 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+40.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.5 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +37.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.3%16,357 | 66.7%32,737 | 49,094 |
| 2020 | R | 30.7%14,003 | 69.3%31,608 | 45,611 |
Anchored in rural south-central Minnesota, this district has delivered presidential margins above R+20 in recent cycles, reflecting a farming and small-town electorate that has shifted steadily away from its historically competitive roots.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 64.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.4 points.
A population of 85,767, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $125,164 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 31 and State Senate District 29.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota 30th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27030/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.