HarrisDemocratic31.6%18,329TrumpRepublican66.4%38,491KennedyIndependent0.7%391
R+34.8- Lead
- 20,162
- Total
- 57,958
- vs nation
- R+33.3
- Turnout
- 79.5%
Akashiccounty
Sherburne County, MN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.5% of 73,177 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic32.5%18,065TrumpRepublican65.1%36,222JorgensenLibertarian1.3%734
R+32.6- Lead
- 18,157
- Total
- 55,612
- vs nation
- R+37.1
- Turnout
- 80.3%
ClintonDemocratic27.5%13,293TrumpRepublican64.3%31,053JohnsonLibertarian4.0%1,927
R+36.8- Lead
- 17,760
- Total
- 48,283
- vs nation
- R+38.9
- Turnout
- 74.7%
ObamaDemocratic37.8%17,597RomneyRepublican59.9%27,848GRAYLibertarian1.2%541
R+22.0- Lead
- 10,251
- Total
- 46,509
- vs nation
- R+25.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic39.9%17,957McCainRepublican58.1%26,140OtherAll other candidates2.0%893
R+18.2- Lead
- 8,183
- Total
- 44,990
- vs nation
- R+25.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic38.2%15,816BushRepublican60.7%25,182OtherAll other candidates1.1%456
R+22.6- Lead
- 9,366
- Total
- 41,454
- vs nation
- R+20.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic39.3%12,109BushRepublican54.5%16,813NaderGreen4.9%1,501
R+15.3- Lead
- 4,704
- Total
- 30,835
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic45.3%10,551DoleRepublican37.4%8,699PerotReform15.7%3,665
D+8.0- Lead
- 1,852
- Total
- 23,275
- vs nation
- R+0.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 100,5602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $105,4662024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wright County, MN · twin score 91.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 79.5%58,203 participants ÷ 73,177 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.8%–60.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 48,587 | 65,002 | 74.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 39,556 | 66,891 | 59.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 55,752 | 69,426 | 80.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 41,807 | 71,350 | 58.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 58,203 | 73,177 | 79.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
68 precincts · 57,960 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BECKER TWPBECKER TWP | 812 | 2,674 | 75 | 3,561 | 22.8% | 75.1% | R+52.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -BIG LAKE CITY P-03BIG LAKE CITY P-03 | 940 | 1,974 | 59 | 2,973 | 31.6% | 66.4% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W2 P2AELK RIVER W2 P2A | 893 | 1,832 | 45 | 2,770 | 32.2% | 66.1% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -BECKER CITYBECKER CITY | 768 | 1,933 | 54 | 2,755 | 27.9% | 70.2% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -BIG LAKE TWP P2BIG LAKE TWP P2 | 689 | 1,807 | 50 | 2,546 | 27.1% | 71.0% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -ORROCK TWPORROCK TWP | 659 | 1,729 | 51 | 2,439 | 27.0% | 70.9% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -LIVONIA TWP P2LIVONIA TWP P2 | 592 | 1,795 | 42 | 2,429 | 24.4% | 73.9% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -BALDWIN TWP P1BALDWIN TWP P1 | 571 | 1,661 | 57 | 2,289 | 24.9% | 72.6% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W4 P4BELK RIVER W4 P4B | 919 | 1,172 | 39 | 2,130 | 43.1% | 55.0% | R+11.9 |
| Precinct -BALDWIN TWP P2BALDWIN TWP P2 | 511 | 1,564 | 35 | 2,110 | 24.2% | 74.1% | R+49.9 |
| Precinct -ZIMMERMAN P-2ZIMMERMAN P-2 | 533 | 1,460 | 27 | 2,020 | 26.4% | 72.3% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W3 P3AELK RIVER W3 P3A | 803 | 1,133 | 45 | 1,981 | 40.5% | 57.2% | R+16.7 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W4 P4AELK RIVER W4 P4A | 756 | 1,052 | 29 | 1,837 | 41.2% | 57.3% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct -BIG LAKE CITY P-02BIG LAKE CITY P-02 | 639 | 1,108 | 25 | 1,772 | 36.1% | 62.5% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -BIG LAKE TWP P1BIG LAKE TWP P1 | 548 | 1,167 | 37 | 1,752 | 31.3% | 66.6% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W3 P3BELK RIVER W3 P3B | 735 | 973 | 39 | 1,747 | 42.1% | 55.7% | R+13.6 |
| Precinct -PALMER TWPPALMER TWP | 434 | 1,266 | 23 | 1,723 | 25.2% | 73.5% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W1 P1AELK RIVER W1 P1A | 666 | 950 | 24 | 1,640 | 40.6% | 57.9% | R+17.3 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W1 P1BELK RIVER W1 P1B | 581 | 1,011 | 28 | 1,620 | 35.9% | 62.4% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -ZIMMERMAN P-1ZIMMERMAN P-1 | 420 | 1,154 | 36 | 1,610 | 26.1% | 71.7% | R+45.6 |
| Precinct -BLUE HILL TWPBLUE HILL TWP | 341 | 1,244 | 22 | 1,607 | 21.2% | 77.4% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -BIG LAKE CITY P-01BIG LAKE CITY P-01 | 499 | 1,036 | 37 | 1,572 | 31.7% | 65.9% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W2 P2BELK RIVER W2 P2B | 516 | 974 | 36 | 1,526 | 33.8% | 63.8% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -LIVONIA TWP P1LIVONIA TWP P1 | 423 | 1,050 | 24 | 1,497 | 28.3% | 70.1% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -ST CLOUD W2 P7ST CLOUD W2 P7 | 771 | 570 | 55 | 1,396 | 55.2% | 40.8% | D+14.4 |
| Precinct -CLEAR LAKE TWPCLEAR LAKE TWP | 390 | 781 | 18 | 1,189 | 32.8% | 65.7% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -HAVEN TWP P-2HAVEN TWP P-2 | 390 | 773 | 26 | 1,189 | 32.8% | 65.0% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -SANTIAGO TWPSANTIAGO TWP | 221 | 924 | 17 | 1,162 | 19.0% | 79.5% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -BIG LAKE TWP P3BIG LAKE TWP P3 | 273 | 564 | 22 | 859 | 31.8% | 65.7% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -ST CLOUD W2 P6ST CLOUD W2 P6 | 394 | 353 | 26 | 773 | 51.0% | 45.7% | D+5.3 |
| Precinct -ST CLOUD W2 P5ST CLOUD W2 P5 | 410 | 274 | 22 | 706 | 58.1% | 38.8% | D+19.3 |
| Precinct -CLEAR LAKE CITYCLEAR LAKE CITY | 126 | 275 | 11 | 412 | 30.6% | 66.7% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -LIVONIA TWP P3LIVONIA TWP P3 | 30 | 114 | 2 | 146 | 20.5% | 78.1% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -PRINCETON CITY P2PRINCETON CITY P2 | 52 | 87 | 2 | 141 | 36.9% | 61.7% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -HAVEN TWP P-1HAVEN TWP P-1 | 24 | 57 | 0 | 81 | 29.6% | 70.4% | R+40.7 |
| Baldwin Twp. P-127_271410125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Baldwin Twp. P-227_271410005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Becker City Voting District27_271410010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Becker Twp. Voting District27_271410015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Lake City P-127_271410020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Lake City P-227_271410022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Lake City P-327_271410024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Lake Twp. P-127_271410025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Lake Twp. P-227_271410120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Lake Twp. P-327_271410121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blue Hill Twp. Voting District27_271410030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clear Lake Twp. Voting District27_271410040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clear Lake Voting District27_271410035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-1 P-1A27_271410045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-1 P-1B27_271410130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-2 P-2A27_271410050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-2 P-2B27_271410135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-3 P-3A27_271410055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-3 P-3B27_271410140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-4 P-4A27_271410060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-4 P-4B27_271410145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Haven Twp. Voting District27_271410065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Livonia Twp. P-127_271410070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Livonia Twp. P-227_271410150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Orrock Twp. Voting District27_271410075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palmer Twp. Voting District27_271410080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Princeton P-227_271410085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Santiago Twp. Voting District27_271410105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Cloud W-2 P-527_271410090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Cloud W-2 P-627_271410095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Cloud W-2 P-727_271410100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Zimmerman P-127_271410110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Zimmerman P-227_271410111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −29.2% |
| 1896 | −29.9% |
| 1900 | −41.0% |
| 1904 | −69.5% |
| 1908 | −43.1% |
| 1912 | +1.6% |
| 1916 | −13.1% |
| 1920 | −75.7% |
| 1924 | −57.8% |
| 1928 | −38.9% |
| 1932 | +9.3% |
| 1936 | +6.9% |
| 1940 | −21.8% |
| 1944 | −17.0% |
| 1948 | +3.3% |
| 1952 | −27.0% |
| 1956 | −19.7% |
| 1960 | −5.0% |
| 1964 | +27.9% |
| 1968 | +11.3% |
| 1972 | −3.0% |
| 1976 | +20.2% |
| 1980 | +1.4% |
| 1984 | −11.4% |
| 1988 | −2.4% |
| 1992 | +2.3% |
| 1996 | +8.0% |
| 2000 | −15.3% |
| 2004 | −22.6% |
| 2008 | −18.2% |
| 2012 | −22.0% |
| 2016 | −36.8% |
| 2020 | −32.6% |
| 2024 | −34.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 30.7%17,161 | 69.3%38,731 | 55,892 |
| 2020 | R | 29.1%15,546 | 70.9%37,894 | 53,440 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 56,994 |
| 2018 | 56,926 |
| 2020 | 63,322 |
| 2022 | 63,733 |
| 2024 | 68,237 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+404 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +5,487 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,477 in average income, against $93,961 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.5 on average — 29 points more Democratic-leaning than Sherburne County, MN itself (R+34.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hennepin County, MN565D+42.4
- Anoka County, MN479R+4.4
- Wright County, MN459R+29.2
- Stearns County, MN409R+26.7
- Mille Lacs County, MN146R+40.8
- Benton County, MN120R+35.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hennepin County, MN494
- Wright County, MN468
- Stearns County, MN445
- Anoka County, MN366
- Benton County, MN175
- Mille Lacs County, MN168
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −268 |
| 2012 | −580 |
| 2013 | −109 |
| 2014 | +80 |
| 2015 | −241 |
| 2016 | +1,102 |
| 2017 | +554 |
| 2018 | +791 |
| 2019 | +582 |
| 2021 | +1,186 |
| 2022 | +1,200 |
| 2023 | +769 |
| 2024 | +17 |
| 2025 | +404 |
Sherburne sits at the outer edge of the Minneapolis–St. Paul metro, and its fast-growing exurban population has shifted the county from competitive to reliably lopsided, posting an R+34.8 margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 75.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.8 points.
A population of 100,560, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $105,466 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wright County and Chisago County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wright County
Minnesota
91.5twin score
median incomeSwedish ancestrymedian age≠ % Catholic
Chisago County
Minnesota
87.6twin score
median incomeNorwegian ancestry% unaffiliated≠ French ancestry
Isanti County
Minnesota
83.0twin score
% unaffiliatedNorwegian ancestryPolish ancestry≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sherburne County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27141/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Sherburne County
Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Sherburne County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sherburne County, Minnesota voted Republican by 34.8 points (R+34.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 57,958 votes cast, 18,329 went Democratic and 38,491 went Republican.
When did Sherburne County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Sherburne County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Sherburne County, Minnesota?
Sherburne County, Minnesota has a population of 100,560 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sherburne County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Sherburne County, Minnesota is $105,466 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Sherburne County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Sherburne County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.