- Lead
- 7,211
- Total
- 27,395
- vs nation
- R+24.9
Minnesota State House District 30B
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,919
- Total
- 25,435
- vs nation
- R+31.7
- Lead
- 6,905
- Total
- 21,627
- vs nation
- R+34.0
- Lead
- 4,057
- Total
- 21,211
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Lead
- 3,282
- Total
- 20,568
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Lead
- 3,925
- Total
- 19,057
- vs nation
- R+18.1
- Lead
- 2,103
- Total
- 14,424
- vs nation
- R+15.1
- Lead
- 822
- Total
- 11,284
- vs nation
- R+1.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+26.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,8012024 5-year
- Population density
- 448 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 95.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $116,0192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.4 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 31A, MN · twin score 97.3
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 30B · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
62.2%
2,186 votes · D+24.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 59.6%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
80.1%
1,247 votes · R+66.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 75.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
9,821votes
35.8% of the vote · R+26.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 8,967 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
17,032votes
62.2% of the vote · R+26.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 15,886 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+15.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+8.1 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · +14.8 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+40.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+66.4 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +36.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.5%8,042 | 66.5%15,960 | 24,002 |
| 2020 | R | 31.5%7,201 | 68.5%15,660 | 22,861 |
District 30B delivered a 26.3-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the rural, small-town character common to south-central Minnesota districts where agricultural communities have shifted strongly toward the GOP over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 66.4 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.3 points.
A population of 42,801, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $116,019 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 31A and State House District 31B.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 30B. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2730B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.