Akashic

county

Sibley County, MN

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German54.5%29.2%12.5%

Irish10.9%9.9%9.4%

Norwegian6.3%12.1%—

Swedish5.8%6.5%—

English3.8%6.6%9.5%

American2.7%2.3%5.3%

Polish2.4%3.7%2.2%

French1.1%1.8%1.6%

Mexican6.9%3.9%11.3%

Honduran1.0%—0.3%

Puerto Rican0.6%0.3%1.8%

Salvadoran0.3%0.2%0.7%

Spanish0.3%——

African American†1.1%3.8%9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Sibley County	Minnesota	United States
Median age	42.4	39	39.1
Age 18–24	6.9%	8.8%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	19.4%	17.2%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Sibley County	Minnesota	United States
Median household income	$77,634	$89,062	$84,427
Poverty rate	9.0%	9.3%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	19.4%	39.4%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Sibley County	Minnesota	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	8.2%	12.5%	22.3%
Spanish	6.7%	4.2%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Sibley County	Minnesota	United States
Catholic	17.4%	19.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	28.4%	11.8%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	33.7%	50.6%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	19.7%	13.5%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 76.5% of 11,225 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic27.5%2,351TrumpRepublican70.4%6,014KennedyIndependent0.9%78

R+42.9

Lead: 3,663
Total: 8,537
vs nation: R+41.4
Turnout: 76.5%

BidenDemocratic28.6%2,417TrumpRepublican69.4%5,864JorgensenLibertarian0.8%71

R+40.8

Lead: 3,447
Total: 8,452
vs nation: R+45.2
Turnout: 78.1%

ClintonDemocratic25.1%1,954TrumpRepublican66.8%5,193JohnsonLibertarian3.7%291

R+41.7

Lead: 3,239
Total: 7,774
vs nation: R+43.8
Turnout: 72.0%

ObamaDemocratic37.3%2,916RomneyRepublican60.1%4,693GRAYLibertarian1.4%113

R+22.7

Lead: 1,777
Total: 7,815
vs nation: R+26.6
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic38.8%2,998McCainRepublican58.1%4,492OtherAll other candidates3.1%239

R+19.3

Lead: 1,494
Total: 7,729
vs nation: R+26.6
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic39.1%3,109BushRepublican58.7%4,669OtherAll other candidates2.2%171

R+19.6

Lead: 1,560
Total: 7,949
vs nation: R+17.2
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic36.6%2,687BushRepublican55.7%4,087NaderGreen4.9%361

R+19.1

Lead: 1,400
Total: 7,335
vs nation: R+19.6
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic41.7%2,769DoleRepublican39.0%2,590PerotReform18.4%1,226

D+2.7

Lead: 179
Total: 6,647
vs nation: R+5.8
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+42.9MIT Election Lab
Population: 15,0052024 5-year
Median household income: $77,6342024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 87.0%2024 5-year
Black: 1.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 9.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+53.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+75.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: McLeod County, MN · twin score 86.6

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 76.5%8,591 participants ÷ 11,225 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +18.2 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 58.4%–62.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	7,849	10,901	72.0%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	6,640	10,810	61.4%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	8,498	10,877	78.1%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	6,666	11,115	60.0%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	8,591	11,225	76.5%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

49 precincts · 8,537 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Sibley County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -ARLINGTONARLINGTON	353	795	32	1,180	29.9%	67.4%	R+37.5
Precinct -GAYLORDGAYLORD	384	662	14	1,060	36.2%	62.5%	R+26.2
Precinct -WINTHROP CITYWINTHROP CITY	265	442	17	724	36.6%	61.0%	R+24.4
Precinct -HENDERSONHENDERSON	199	355	14	568	35.0%	62.5%	R+27.5
Precinct -FAXON TWPFAXON TWP	125	336	6	467	26.8%	71.9%	R+45.2
Precinct -HENDERSON TWPHENDERSON TWP	103	306	7	416	24.8%	73.6%	R+48.8
Precinct -GIBBONGIBBON	133	258	5	396	33.6%	65.2%	R+31.6
Precinct -GREEN ISLEGREEN ISLE	77	291	9	377	20.4%	77.2%	R+56.8
Precinct -GREEN ISLE TWPGREEN ISLE TWP	66	256	6	328	20.1%	78.0%	R+57.9
Precinct -WASHINGTON LAKE TWPWASHINGTON LAKE TWP	74	249	5	328	22.6%	75.9%	R+53.4
Precinct -ARLINGTON TWPARLINGTON TWP	86	221	6	313	27.5%	70.6%	R+43.1
Precinct -JESSENLAND TWPJESSENLAND TWP	78	213	5	296	26.4%	72.0%	R+45.6
Precinct -NEW AUBURN TWPNEW AUBURN TWP	42	201	7	250	16.8%	80.4%	R+63.6
Precinct -NEW AUBURN CITYNEW AUBURN CITY	47	154	2	203	23.2%	75.9%	R+52.7
Precinct -DRYDEN TWPDRYDEN TWP	30	157	3	190	15.8%	82.6%	R+66.8
Precinct -ALFSBORG TWPALFSBORG TWP	24	144	6	174	13.8%	82.8%	R+69.0
Precinct -KELSO TWPKELSO TWP	49	118	6	173	28.3%	68.2%	R+39.9
Precinct -MOLTKE TWPMOLTKE TWP	42	124	6	172	24.4%	72.1%	R+47.7
Precinct -SIBLEY TWPSIBLEY TWP	28	132	6	166	16.9%	79.5%	R+62.7
Precinct -TRANSIT TWPTRANSIT TWP	21	143	1	165	12.7%	86.7%	R+73.9
Precinct -BISMARCK TWPBISMARCK TWP	30	122	4	156	19.2%	78.2%	R+59.0
Precinct -CORNISH TWPCORNISH TWP	37	116	3	156	23.7%	74.4%	R+50.6
Precinct -SEVERANCE TWPSEVERANCE TWP	34	105	2	141	24.1%	74.5%	R+50.4
Precinct -GRAFTON TWPGRAFTON TWP	24	114	0	138	17.4%	82.6%	R+65.2
Alfsborg Twp. Voting District27_271430005	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Arlington Twp. Voting District27_271430015	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Arlington Voting District27_271430010	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bismarck Twp. Voting District27_271430020	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cornish Twp. Voting District27_271430025	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Dryden Twp. Voting District27_271430030	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Faxon Twp. Voting District27_271430035	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Gaylord Voting District27_271430040	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Gibbon Voting District27_271430045	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Grafton Twp. Voting District27_271430050	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Green Isle Twp. Voting District27_271430060	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Green Isle Voting District27_271430055	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Henderson Twp. Voting District27_271430070	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Henderson Voting District27_271430065	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Jessenland Twp. Voting District27_271430075	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Kelso Twp. Voting District27_271430080	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Le Sueur Voting District27_271430082	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Moltke Twp. Voting District27_271430085	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
New Auburn Twp. Voting District27_271430095	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
New Auburn Voting District27_271430090	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Severance Twp. Voting District27_271430100	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Sibley Twp. Voting District27_271430105	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Transit Twp. Voting District27_271430110	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Washington Lake Twp. Voting District27_271430115	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Winthrop Voting District27_271430120	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+9.2%
1896	−18.3%
1900	−15.0%
1904	−41.1%
1908	−18.3%
1912	+20.0%
1916	−27.4%
1920	−75.7%
1924	−27.8%
1928	−12.7%
1932	+53.8%
1936	+29.0%
1940	−47.1%
1944	−43.6%
1948	−7.2%
1952	−47.9%
1956	−38.6%
1960	−32.4%
1964	−3.7%
1968	−23.9%
1972	−29.8%
1976	−1.5%
1980	−25.4%
1984	−25.1%
1988	−7.2%
1992	+1.5%
1996	+2.7%
2000	−19.1%
2004	−19.6%
2008	−19.3%
2012	−22.7%
2016	−41.7%
2020	−40.8%
2024	−42.9%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	27.5%Harris2,351	70.4%Trump6,014	0.9%Kennedy78 +7	R+42.9	R+2.1	R+41.4	8,537
All 10 candidates in 2024 · 8 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican70.4%6,014 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic27.5%2,351 Robert F KennedyIndependent0.9%78 Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%33 OtherAll other candidates0.3%25 Jill SteinIndependent0.2%18 Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.1%8 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%4 Cornel WestIndependent0.0%3 Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%3
2020	R	28.6%Biden2,417	69.4%Trump5,864	0.8%Jorgensen71	R+40.8	D+0.9	R+45.2	8,452
2016	R	25.1%Clinton1,954	66.8%Trump5,193	3.7%Johnson291	R+41.7	R+18.9	R+43.8	7,774
2012	R	37.3%Obama2,916	60.1%Romney4,693	1.4%GRAY113	R+22.7	R+3.4	R+26.6	7,815
2008	R	38.8%Obama2,998	58.1%McCain4,492	3.1%	R+19.3	D+0.3	R+26.6	7,729
2004	R	39.1%Kerry3,109	58.7%Bush4,669	2.2%	R+19.6	R+0.5	R+17.2	7,949
2000	R	36.6%Gore2,687	55.7%Bush4,087	4.9%Nader361	R+19.1	R+21.8	R+19.6	7,335
1996	D	41.7%Clinton2,769	39.0%Dole2,590	18.4%Perot1,226	D+2.7	D+1.2	R+5.8	6,647
1992	D	33.7%Clinton2,421	32.2%Bush2,315	33.5%Perot2,407	D+1.5	D+8.7	R+4.1	7,185
1988	R	45.5%Dukakis3,154	52.7%Bush3,655	1.9%	R+7.2	D+17.9	D+0.5	6,939
1984	R	37.0%Mondale2,761	62.1%Reagan4,638	0.9%	R+25.1	D+0.2	R+6.9	7,468
1980	R	33.0%Carter2,521	58.4%Reagan4,460	8.6%	R+25.4	R+23.9	R+15.6	7,642
1976	R	47.7%Carter3,752	49.2%Ford3,871	3.0%	R+1.5	D+28.3	R+3.6	7,860
1972	R	34.4%McGovern2,433	64.2%Nixon4,543	1.5%	R+29.8	R+5.9	R+6.6	7,080
1968	R	35.5%Humphrey2,540	59.4%Nixon4,250	5.1%	R+23.9	R+20.2	R+23.2	7,154
1964	R	48.1%Johnson3,577	51.8%Goldwater3,854	0.1%	R+3.7	D+28.7	R+26.3	7,436
1960	R	33.7%Kennedy2,541	66.1%Nixon4,987	0.2%	R+32.4	D+6.1	R+32.6	7,542
1956	R	30.7%Stevenson2,099	69.2%Eisenhower4,737	0.1%	R+38.6	D+9.3	R+23.2	6,842
1952	R	25.9%Stevenson1,871	73.8%Eisenhower5,323	0.3%	R+47.9	R+40.7	R+37.1	7,214
1948	R	45.8%Truman2,818	52.9%Dewey3,260	1.3%	R+7.2	D+36.4	R+11.7	6,157
1944	R	27.9%Roosevelt1,683	71.6%Dewey4,311	0.5%	R+43.6	D+3.5	R+51.1	6,024
1940	R	26.2%Roosevelt1,986	73.3%Willkie5,564	0.5%	R+47.1	R+76.2	R+57.1	7,589
1936	D	61.5%Roosevelt4,140	32.4%Landon2,184	6.1%	D+29.0	R+24.8	D+4.8	6,735
1932	D	76.3%Roosevelt4,756	22.4%Hoover1,398	1.3%	D+53.8	D+66.5	D+36.1	6,236
1928	R	43.3%Smith2,553	55.9%Hoover3,301	0.8%	R+12.7	D+15.2	D+4.8	5,901
1924	O	6.7%Davis341	34.6%Coolidge1,749	58.0%La Follette2,935	La Follette +24.1	D+47.8	R+2.6	5,060
1920	R	10.3%Cox502	85.9%Harding4,198	3.8%	R+75.7	R+48.2	R+49.5	4,885
1916	R	34.9%Wilson973	62.4%Hughes1,737	2.7%	R+27.4	R+47.5	R+30.6	2,785
1912	O	35.2%Wilson890	15.1%Taft383	49.7%	Roosevelt +14.5	D+38.4	D+0.5	2,529
1908	R	39.6%Bryan1,110	57.9%Taft1,623	2.5%	R+18.3	D+22.8	R+8.8	2,802
1904	R	28.1%Parker662	69.2%Roosevelt1,628	2.6%	R+41.1	R+26.0	R+21.4	2,352
1900	R	41.2%Bryan1,272	56.2%McKinley1,736	2.6%	R+15.0	D+3.2	R+7.5	3,087
1896	R	39.7%Bryan1,251	58.0%McKinley1,826	2.3%	R+18.3	R+27.5	R+12.2	3,150
1892	D	47.2%Cleveland1,191	38.0%Harrison958	14.8%	D+9.2	—	D+7.6	2,522
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	25.9%2,139	74.1%6,129	8,268
2018	—	50.0%55	50.0%55	110

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	38.1%3,199	58.9%4,949	8,401
2020Class II	R	28.5%Tina Smith2,368	64.9%Jason Lewis5,391	8,302
2018Class I	R	46.3%Amy Klobuchar3,050	50.7%Jim Newberger3,337	6,587
2014Class II	R	43.8%Al Franken2,632	49.8%Mike McFadden2,995	6,013
2012Class I	D	60.2%Amy Klobuchar4,603	34.9%Kurt Bills2,667	7,642
2008Class II	R	28.0%Al Franken2,158	45.4%Norm Coleman3,499	7,710
2006Class I	D	50.4%Amy Klobuchar3,199	44.7%Mark Kennedy2,835	6,344
2002Class II	R	39.8%Walter Mondale2,819	55.1%Norm Coleman3,900	7,084
2000Class I	R	41.0%Mark Dayton3,004	51.5%Rod Grams3,773	7,322
1996Class II	R	41.7%Paul Wellstone2,763	49.2%Rudy Boschwitz3,263	6,630
1994Class I	R	30.6%Ann Wynia1,711	63.6%Rod Grams3,558	5,590
1990Class II	R	40.2%Paul Wellstone2,377	58.4%Rudy Boschwitz3,454	5,919
1988Class I	R	39.9%Hubert Humphrey III2,797	59.0%Dave Durenberger4,132	7,006
1984Class II	R	28.5%Joan A. Growe2,132	70.9%Rudy Boschwitz5,296	7,473
1982Class I	R	37.5%Mark Dayton2,521	62.5%Dave Durenberger4,196	6,717
1978Class II	R	33.8%Wendell Anderson2,300	63.5%Rudy Boschwitz4,323	6,803
1976Class I	D	62.4%Hubert Humphrey4,330	37.6%Gerald W. Brekke2,610	6,940
1972Class II	R	38.9%Walter Mondale2,776	60.8%Phil Hansen4,336	7,135
1970Class I	R	41.9%Hubert Humphrey2,714	57.6%Clark MacGregor3,728	6,474
1966Class II	R	39.4%Walter Mondale2,337	60.0%Robert A. Forsythe3,563	5,934
1964Class I	R	43.3%Eugene McCarthy3,233	56.5%Wheelock Whitney4,219	7,470
1960Class II	R	39.4%Hubert Humphrey3,011	60.3%P. Kenneth Peterson4,607	7,638
1958Class I	R	33.8%Eugene McCarthy1,730	65.8%Edward J. Thye3,370	5,119
1954Class II	R	42.6%Hubert Humphrey2,581	55.4%Val Bjornson3,352	6,056
1952Class I	R	24.9%Bill Carlson1,826	74.3%Edward J. Thye5,435	7,319
1948Class II	R	45.4%Hubert Humphrey2,921	54.3%Joseph H. Ball3,497	6,440
1946Class I	R	23.0%Theodore Jorgenson1,087	75.8%Edward J. Thye3,587	4,733
1942Class II	R	7.6%Ed Murphy295	38.6%Joseph H. Ball1,505	3,897
1940Class I	R	15.6%John E. Regan1,163	72.9%Henrik Shipstead5,451	7,478
1936Class II	R	0.0%None0	36.0%Theodore Chistianson2,236	6,204
1934Class I	D	28.2%Einar Hoidale1,921	22.2%N.J. Holmberg1,510	6,809
1930Class II	R	29.0%Einar Hoidale1,381	35.7%Thomas D. Schall1,696	4,756
1928Class I	R	0.0%None0	27.0%Arthur E. Nelson1,707	6,313
1924Class II	R	7.4%John J. Farrell385	33.2%Thomas D. Schall1,737	5,228
1922Class I	R	19.7%Anna D. Olesan889	24.2%Frank Kellogg1,092	4,505
1918Class II	R	0.0%None0	48.1%Knute Nelson1,424	2,960
1916Class I	R	26.3%Daniel W. Lawler759	55.3%Frank Kellogg1,597	2,890
1912Class II	R	35.8%Daniel W. Lawler759	64.2%Knute Nelson1,359	2,118

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2018Special · Class II	R	35.3%Tina Smith2,308	60.2%Karin Housley3,934	6,540
1978Special · Class I	R	34.3%Bob Short2,307	62.1%Dave Durenberger4,177	6,730

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	28.8%Tim Walz1,907	68.3%Scott Jensen4,519	6,618
2018	R	36.4%Tim Walz And Peggy Flanagan2,387	60.0%Jeff Johnson And Donna Bergstrom3,936	6,562
2014	R	37.5%Mark Dayton2,244	54.5%Jeff Johnson3,268	5,991
2010	R	29.7%Mark Dayton1,760	52.7%Tom Emmer3,128	5,935
2006	R	36.0%Mike Hatch2,290	55.9%Tim Pawlenty3,549	6,353
2002	R	23.8%Roger Moe1,684	50.8%Tim Pawlenty3,592	7,067
1998	—	0.0%Skip Humphrey0	32.1%Norm Coleman2,261	7,043
1994	R	29.0%John Marty1,614	65.6%Arne Carlson3,653	5,569
1990	R	39.4%Rudy Perpich2,288	56.8%Arne Carlson3,303	5,811
1986	R	43.1%Rudy Perpich2,695	55.2%Cal Ludeman3,453	6,259
1982	D	49.7%Rudy Perpich3,342	49.0%Wheelock Whitney, Jr.3,295	6,719
1978	R	38.2%Rudy Perpich2,586	59.2%Al Quie4,006	6,766

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Sibley County, MN
Year	Total registered
2016	9,164
2018	8,982
2020	9,566
2022	9,590
2024	10,017

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−8 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −496 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $56,082 in average income, against $82,379 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+7.1 on average — 36 points more Democratic-leaning than Sibley County, MN itself (R+42.9).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Carver County, MN60R+5.4
Scott County, MN48R+8.5
McLeod County, MN41R+37.8
Hennepin County, MN29D+42.4
Le Sueur County, MN26R+33.6
Dakota County, MN24D+12.8

Where departures went households, 2022–23

McLeod County, MN52
Scott County, MN38
Carver County, MN36
Hennepin County, MN30
Nicollet County, MN26
Le Sueur County, MN21

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Sibley County, MN in Sibley County, MN: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−121
2012	−137
2013	−76
2014	−197
2015	−63
2016	−70
2017	+52
2018	+74
2019	−174
2021	+105
2022	−15
2023	+120
2024	+14
2025	−8

Sibley County, anchored by small agricultural communities along the Minnesota River valley, has shifted steadily rightward over the past two decades, posting a 43-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 that outpaces most of its similarly rural neighbors.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 75.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.9 points.

A population of 15,005, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,634 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of McLeod County and Meeker County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

McLeod County

Minnesota

86.6twin score

Swedish ancestry% unaffiliatedGerman ancestry≠ Polish ancestry

Meeker County

Minnesota

82.0twin score

German ancestry% Black% White≠ % Evangelical

Martin County

Minnesota

82.0twin score

elasticitySwedish ancestry% White≠ median income

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Sibley County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27143/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Embed this page

A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →

<iframe src="https://akashic.app/embed/county/27143/stat-card/" width="100%" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:560px" title="Sibley County, MN — Akashic" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Cities & towns in Sibley County

Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Sibley County, Minnesota vote in 2024?

In 2024, Sibley County, Minnesota voted Republican by 42.9 points (R+42.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,537 votes cast, 2,351 went Democratic and 6,014 went Republican.

When did Sibley County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Sibley County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Sibley County, Minnesota?

Sibley County, Minnesota has a population of 15,005 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Sibley County, Minnesota?

Median household income in Sibley County, Minnesota is $77,634 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.

What is the political history of Sibley County, Minnesota?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Sibley County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.

Measure

Sibley County

Minnesota

United States

Median age

42.4

39.1

Age 18–24

6.9%

8.8%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

19.4%

17.2%

Measure

Sibley County

Minnesota

United States

Median household income

$77,634

$89,062

$84,427

Poverty rate

9.0%

9.3%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

19.4%

39.4%

35.6%

Measure

Sibley County

Minnesota

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

8.2%

12.5%

22.3%

Spanish

6.7%

4.2%

13.6%

Measure

Sibley County

Minnesota

United States

Catholic

17.4%

19.5%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

28.4%

11.8%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

33.7%

50.6%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

19.7%

13.5%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+42.9MIT Election Lab

Population

15,0052024 5-year

Median household income

$77,6342024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

87.0%2024 5-year

Black

1.2%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

9.3%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+53.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+75.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab

Most similar

McLeod County, MN · twin score 86.6

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

7,849

10,901

72.0%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

6,640

10,810

61.4%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

8,498

10,877

78.1%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

6,666

11,115

60.0%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

8,591

11,225

76.5%

A/A

Sibley County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -ARLINGTONARLINGTON

353

795

1,180

29.9%

67.4%

R+37.5

Precinct -GAYLORDGAYLORD

384

662

1,060

36.2%

62.5%

R+26.2

Precinct -WINTHROP CITYWINTHROP CITY

265

442

724

36.6%

61.0%

R+24.4

Precinct -HENDERSONHENDERSON

199

355

568

35.0%

62.5%

R+27.5

Precinct -FAXON TWPFAXON TWP

125

336

467

26.8%

71.9%

R+45.2

Precinct -HENDERSON TWPHENDERSON TWP

103

306

416

24.8%

73.6%

R+48.8

Precinct -GIBBONGIBBON

133

258

396

33.6%

65.2%

R+31.6

Precinct -GREEN ISLEGREEN ISLE

291

377

20.4%

77.2%

R+56.8

Precinct -GREEN ISLE TWPGREEN ISLE TWP

256

328

20.1%

78.0%

R+57.9

Precinct -WASHINGTON LAKE TWPWASHINGTON LAKE TWP

249

328

22.6%

75.9%

R+53.4

Precinct -ARLINGTON TWPARLINGTON TWP

221

313

27.5%

70.6%

R+43.1

Precinct -JESSENLAND TWPJESSENLAND TWP

213

296

26.4%

72.0%

R+45.6

Precinct -NEW AUBURN TWPNEW AUBURN TWP

201

250

16.8%

80.4%

R+63.6

Precinct -NEW AUBURN CITYNEW AUBURN CITY

154

203

23.2%

75.9%

R+52.7

Precinct -DRYDEN TWPDRYDEN TWP

157

190

15.8%

82.6%

R+66.8

Precinct -ALFSBORG TWPALFSBORG TWP

144

174

13.8%

82.8%

R+69.0

Precinct -KELSO TWPKELSO TWP

118

173

28.3%

68.2%

R+39.9

Precinct -MOLTKE TWPMOLTKE TWP

124

172

24.4%

72.1%

R+47.7

Precinct -SIBLEY TWPSIBLEY TWP

132

166

16.9%

79.5%

R+62.7

Precinct -TRANSIT TWPTRANSIT TWP

143

165

12.7%

86.7%

R+73.9

Precinct -BISMARCK TWPBISMARCK TWP

122

156

19.2%

78.2%

R+59.0

Precinct -CORNISH TWPCORNISH TWP

116

156

23.7%

74.4%

R+50.6

Precinct -SEVERANCE TWPSEVERANCE TWP

105

141

24.1%

74.5%

R+50.4

Precinct -GRAFTON TWPGRAFTON TWP

114

138

17.4%

82.6%

R+65.2

Alfsborg Twp. Voting District27_271430005

—

No votes

Arlington Twp. Voting District27_271430015

—

No votes

Arlington Voting District27_271430010

—

No votes

Bismarck Twp. Voting District27_271430020

—

No votes

Cornish Twp. Voting District27_271430025

—

No votes

Dryden Twp. Voting District27_271430030

—

No votes

Faxon Twp. Voting District27_271430035

—

No votes

Gaylord Voting District27_271430040

—

No votes

Gibbon Voting District27_271430045

—

No votes

Grafton Twp. Voting District27_271430050

—

No votes

Green Isle Twp. Voting District27_271430060

—

No votes

Green Isle Voting District27_271430055

—

No votes

Henderson Twp. Voting District27_271430070

—

No votes

Henderson Voting District27_271430065

—

No votes

Jessenland Twp. Voting District27_271430075

—

No votes

Kelso Twp. Voting District27_271430080

—

No votes

Le Sueur Voting District27_271430082

—

No votes

Moltke Twp. Voting District27_271430085

—

No votes

New Auburn Twp. Voting District27_271430095

—

No votes

New Auburn Voting District27_271430090

—

No votes

Severance Twp. Voting District27_271430100

—

No votes

Sibley Twp. Voting District27_271430105

—

No votes

Transit Twp. Voting District27_271430110

—

No votes

Washington Lake Twp. Voting District27_271430115

—

No votes

Winthrop Voting District27_271430120

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+9.2%
1896	−18.3%
1900	−15.0%
1904	−41.1%
1908	−18.3%
1912	+20.0%
1916	−27.4%
1920	−75.7%
1924	−27.8%
1928	−12.7%
1932	+53.8%
1936	+29.0%
1940	−47.1%
1944	−43.6%
1948	−7.2%
1952	−47.9%
1956	−38.6%
1960	−32.4%
1964	−3.7%
1968	−23.9%
1972	−29.8%
1976	−1.5%
1980	−25.4%
1984	−25.1%
1988	−7.2%
1992	+1.5%
1996	+2.7%
2000	−19.1%
2004	−19.6%
2008	−19.3%
2012	−22.7%
2016	−41.7%
2020	−40.8%
2024	−42.9%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

27.5%Harris2,351

70.4%Trump6,014

0.9%Kennedy78 +7

R+42.9

R+2.1

R+41.4

8,537

All 10 candidates in 2024 · 8 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican70.4%6,014
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic27.5%2,351
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.9%78
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%33
OtherAll other candidates0.3%25
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%18
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.1%8
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%4
Cornel WestIndependent0.0%3
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%3

2020

28.6%Biden2,417

69.4%Trump5,864

0.8%Jorgensen71

R+40.8

D+0.9

R+45.2

8,452

2016

25.1%Clinton1,954

66.8%Trump5,193

3.7%Johnson291

R+41.7

R+18.9

R+43.8

7,774

2012

37.3%Obama2,916

60.1%Romney4,693

1.4%GRAY113

R+22.7

R+3.4

R+26.6

7,815

2008

38.8%Obama2,998

58.1%McCain4,492

3.1%

R+19.3

D+0.3

R+26.6

7,729

2004

39.1%Kerry3,109

58.7%Bush4,669

2.2%

R+19.6

R+0.5

R+17.2

7,949

2000

36.6%Gore2,687

55.7%Bush4,087

4.9%Nader361

R+19.1

R+21.8

R+19.6

7,335

1996

41.7%Clinton2,769

39.0%Dole2,590

18.4%Perot1,226

D+2.7

D+1.2

R+5.8

6,647

1992

33.7%Clinton2,421

32.2%Bush2,315

33.5%Perot2,407

D+1.5

D+8.7

R+4.1

7,185

1988

45.5%Dukakis3,154

52.7%Bush3,655

1.9%

R+7.2

D+17.9

D+0.5

6,939

1984

37.0%Mondale2,761

62.1%Reagan4,638

0.9%

R+25.1

D+0.2

R+6.9

7,468

1980

33.0%Carter2,521

58.4%Reagan4,460

8.6%

R+25.4

R+23.9

R+15.6

7,642

1976

47.7%Carter3,752

49.2%Ford3,871

3.0%

R+1.5

D+28.3

R+3.6

7,860

1972

34.4%McGovern2,433

64.2%Nixon4,543

1.5%

R+29.8

R+5.9

R+6.6

7,080

1968

35.5%Humphrey2,540

59.4%Nixon4,250

5.1%

R+23.9

R+20.2

R+23.2

7,154

1964

48.1%Johnson3,577

51.8%Goldwater3,854

0.1%

R+3.7

D+28.7

R+26.3

7,436

1960

33.7%Kennedy2,541

66.1%Nixon4,987

0.2%

R+32.4

D+6.1

R+32.6

7,542

1956

30.7%Stevenson2,099

69.2%Eisenhower4,737

0.1%

R+38.6

D+9.3

R+23.2

6,842

1952

25.9%Stevenson1,871

73.8%Eisenhower5,323

0.3%

R+47.9

R+40.7

R+37.1

7,214

1948

45.8%Truman2,818

52.9%Dewey3,260

1.3%

R+7.2

D+36.4

R+11.7

6,157

1944

27.9%Roosevelt1,683

71.6%Dewey4,311

0.5%

R+43.6

D+3.5

R+51.1

6,024

1940

26.2%Roosevelt1,986

73.3%Willkie5,564

0.5%

R+47.1

R+76.2

R+57.1

7,589

1936

61.5%Roosevelt4,140

32.4%Landon2,184

6.1%

D+29.0

R+24.8

D+4.8

6,735

1932

76.3%Roosevelt4,756

22.4%Hoover1,398

1.3%

D+53.8

D+66.5

D+36.1

6,236

1928

43.3%Smith2,553

55.9%Hoover3,301

0.8%

R+12.7

D+15.2

D+4.8

5,901

1924

6.7%Davis341

34.6%Coolidge1,749

58.0%La Follette2,935

La Follette +24.1

D+47.8

R+2.6

5,060

1920

10.3%Cox502

85.9%Harding4,198

3.8%

R+75.7

R+48.2

R+49.5

4,885

1916

34.9%Wilson973

62.4%Hughes1,737

2.7%

R+27.4

R+47.5

R+30.6

2,785

1912

35.2%Wilson890

15.1%Taft383

49.7%

Roosevelt +14.5

D+38.4

D+0.5

2,529

1908

39.6%Bryan1,110

57.9%Taft1,623

2.5%

R+18.3

D+22.8

R+8.8

2,802

1904

28.1%Parker662

69.2%Roosevelt1,628

2.6%

R+41.1

R+26.0

R+21.4

2,352

1900

41.2%Bryan1,272

56.2%McKinley1,736

2.6%

R+15.0

D+3.2

R+7.5

3,087

1896

39.7%Bryan1,251

58.0%McKinley1,826

2.3%

R+18.3

R+27.5

R+12.2

3,150

1892

47.2%Cleveland1,191

38.0%Harrison958

14.8%

D+9.2

—

D+7.6

2,522

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

25.9%2,139

74.1%6,129

8,268

2018

—

50.0%55

110

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

38.1%3,199

58.9%4,949

8,401

2020Class II

28.5%Tina Smith2,368

64.9%Jason Lewis5,391

8,302

2018Class I

46.3%Amy Klobuchar3,050

50.7%Jim Newberger3,337

6,587

2014Class II

43.8%Al Franken2,632

49.8%Mike McFadden2,995

6,013

2012Class I

60.2%Amy Klobuchar4,603

34.9%Kurt Bills2,667

7,642

2008Class II

28.0%Al Franken2,158

45.4%Norm Coleman3,499

7,710

2006Class I

50.4%Amy Klobuchar3,199

44.7%Mark Kennedy2,835

6,344

2002Class II

39.8%Walter Mondale2,819

55.1%Norm Coleman3,900

7,084

2000Class I

41.0%Mark Dayton3,004

51.5%Rod Grams3,773

7,322

1996Class II

41.7%Paul Wellstone2,763

49.2%Rudy Boschwitz3,263

6,630

1994Class I

30.6%Ann Wynia1,711

63.6%Rod Grams3,558

5,590

1990Class II

40.2%Paul Wellstone2,377

58.4%Rudy Boschwitz3,454

5,919

1988Class I

39.9%Hubert Humphrey III2,797

59.0%Dave Durenberger4,132

7,006

1984Class II

28.5%Joan A. Growe2,132

70.9%Rudy Boschwitz5,296

7,473

1982Class I

37.5%Mark Dayton2,521

62.5%Dave Durenberger4,196

6,717

1978Class II

33.8%Wendell Anderson2,300

63.5%Rudy Boschwitz4,323

6,803

1976Class I

62.4%Hubert Humphrey4,330

37.6%Gerald W. Brekke2,610

6,940

1972Class II

38.9%Walter Mondale2,776

60.8%Phil Hansen4,336

7,135

1970Class I

41.9%Hubert Humphrey2,714

57.6%Clark MacGregor3,728

6,474

1966Class II

39.4%Walter Mondale2,337

60.0%Robert A. Forsythe3,563

5,934

1964Class I

43.3%Eugene McCarthy3,233

56.5%Wheelock Whitney4,219

7,470

1960Class II

39.4%Hubert Humphrey3,011

60.3%P. Kenneth Peterson4,607

7,638

1958Class I

33.8%Eugene McCarthy1,730

65.8%Edward J. Thye3,370

5,119

1954Class II

42.6%Hubert Humphrey2,581

55.4%Val Bjornson3,352

6,056

1952Class I

24.9%Bill Carlson1,826

74.3%Edward J. Thye5,435

7,319

1948Class II

45.4%Hubert Humphrey2,921

54.3%Joseph H. Ball3,497

6,440

1946Class I

23.0%Theodore Jorgenson1,087

75.8%Edward J. Thye3,587

4,733

1942Class II

7.6%Ed Murphy295

38.6%Joseph H. Ball1,505

3,897

1940Class I

15.6%John E. Regan1,163

72.9%Henrik Shipstead5,451

7,478

1936Class II

0.0%None0

36.0%Theodore Chistianson2,236

6,204

1934Class I

28.2%Einar Hoidale1,921

22.2%N.J. Holmberg1,510

6,809

1930Class II

29.0%Einar Hoidale1,381

35.7%Thomas D. Schall1,696

4,756

1928Class I

0.0%None0

27.0%Arthur E. Nelson1,707

6,313

1924Class II

7.4%John J. Farrell385

33.2%Thomas D. Schall1,737

5,228

1922Class I

19.7%Anna D. Olesan889

24.2%Frank Kellogg1,092

4,505

1918Class II

0.0%None0

48.1%Knute Nelson1,424

2,960

1916Class I

26.3%Daniel W. Lawler759

55.3%Frank Kellogg1,597

2,890

1912Class II

35.8%Daniel W. Lawler759

64.2%Knute Nelson1,359

2,118

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2018Special · Class II

35.3%Tina Smith2,308

60.2%Karin Housley3,934

6,540

1978Special · Class I

34.3%Bob Short2,307

62.1%Dave Durenberger4,177

6,730

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

28.8%Tim Walz1,907

68.3%Scott Jensen4,519

6,618

2018

36.4%Tim Walz And Peggy Flanagan2,387

60.0%Jeff Johnson And Donna Bergstrom3,936

6,562

2014

37.5%Mark Dayton2,244

54.5%Jeff Johnson3,268

5,991

2010

29.7%Mark Dayton1,760

52.7%Tom Emmer3,128

5,935

2006

36.0%Mike Hatch2,290

55.9%Tim Pawlenty3,549

6,353

2002

23.8%Roger Moe1,684

50.8%Tim Pawlenty3,592

7,067

1998

—

0.0%Skip Humphrey0

32.1%Norm Coleman2,261

7,043

1994

29.0%John Marty1,614

65.6%Arne Carlson3,653

5,569

1990

39.4%Rudy Perpich2,288

56.8%Arne Carlson3,303

5,811

1986

43.1%Rudy Perpich2,695

55.2%Cal Ludeman3,453

6,259

1982

49.7%Rudy Perpich3,342

49.0%Wheelock Whitney, Jr.3,295

6,719

1978

38.2%Rudy Perpich2,586

59.2%Al Quie4,006

6,766

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Sibley County, MN
Year	Total registered
2016	9,164
2018	8,982
2020	9,566
2022	9,590
2024	10,017

How did Sibley County, Minnesota vote in 2024?

In 2024, Sibley County, Minnesota voted Republican by 42.9 points (R+42.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,537 votes cast, 2,351 went Democratic and 6,014 went Republican.

When did Sibley County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Sibley County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Sibley County, Minnesota?

Sibley County, Minnesota has a population of 15,005 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Sibley County, Minnesota?

Median household income in Sibley County, Minnesota is $77,634 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.

What is the political history of Sibley County, Minnesota?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Sibley County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.