akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 31·Minnesota

Minnesota 31st State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

One of Minnesota's most Democratic-leaning legislative districts

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MN
Latest
R+5
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
158,154
2024 ACS

Minnesota 31st State Senate District, Minnesota: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+5%. Republican peak: R+69 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+5MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
158,1542024 5-year
Median household income
$101,5992024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
75.7%2024 5-year
Black
8.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+41 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+69 in 1904MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−5.2%
41,44046,08090,003
R
−2.6%
42,77545,10590,159
R
−10.1%
32,03140,06179,302
R
−2.9%
37,69139,96379,543
R
−2.6%
37,02039,07077,754
R
−6.9%
34,16639,26874,284
R
−1.0%
28,93329,55462,059
D
+17.7%
27,13717,80252,871
D
+11.6%
23,26316,81255,413
D
+10.4%
24,70719,99845,135
D
+3.7%
21,45419,91241,605
D
+14.0%
19,45914,18237,562
D
+26.0%
20,60511,89533,472
R
−2.5%
12,00112,63925,405
D
+28.3%
13,0857,02421,449
D
+41.0%
13,5695,67019,277
D
+17.3%
8,6976,12814,857
D
+10.9%
5,0834,0859,183
D
+10.6%
4,0823,2987,414
D
+31.5%
3,4311,7485,346
D
+14.4%
2,4301,8124,279
D
+11.2%
2,4901,9854,514
D
+25.7%
2,1251,1833,670
D
+22.8%
2,0011,2423,336
R
−21.8%
1,1601,8173,014
R
−47.6%
1971,4292,586
R
−54.9%
3911,6782,345
R
−4.1%
5566071,242
O
+1.4%
2712571,021
R
−41.5%
2887441,100
R
−68.7%
128764926
R
−45.3%
2687391,039
R
−32.0%
3847541,158
D
+18.0%
470309893
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
26.1%
Irish
10.1%
English
6.0%
American
5.8%
Polish
4.8%
French
2.7%
Italian
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.5%
85+
0.8%
2.1%
75–84
2.6%
4.6%
65–74
4.9%
6.9%
55–64
6.7%
6.4%
45–54
6.2%
7.3%
35–44
6.9%
6.6%
25–34
6.3%
4.0%
18–24
3.7%
9.0%
5–17
8.7%
3.0%
<5
2.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$101,599
State Senate District 31 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 31$101,599
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
7.0%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 189.3%
Working age (18–64)6.2%
Seniors (65+)8.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
85.9%
speak English only
Other languages4.7%
Spanish4.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.5%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.0%
Mainline Protestant
9.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.5%
Other Christian
3.4%
Non-Christian
3.3%
Methodist
0.7%
Baptist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of D+34.8, this district ranks among the most reliably Democratic in the state, suggesting dense urban geography and a voter base that consistently breaks heavily toward one party.

The Democratic margin in Minnesota 31st State Senate District has rarely exceeded forty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-nine points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by five points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 76% non-Hispanic-white share, a 7% poverty rate, and a median household income of $101,599 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 31, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 31, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 31, Minnesota voted Republican by 5.2 points (R+5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 90,003 votes cast, 41,440 went Democratic and 46,080 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 31, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 31, Minnesota as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 16 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 31, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 31, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in State Senate District 31, Minnesota?
State Senate District 31, Minnesota has a population of 158,154 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 31, Minnesota?
Median household income in State Senate District 31, Minnesota is $101,599 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of State Senate District 31, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 31, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.