- Lead
- 33,273
- Total
- 259,803
- vs nation
- D+14.3
- Turnout
- 81.0%
Dakota County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 81.0% of 322,181 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 36,517
- Total
- 262,259
- vs nation
- D+9.5
- Turnout
- 86.2%
- Lead
- 10,728
- Total
- 231,860
- vs nation
- D+2.5
- Turnout
- 79.8%
- Lead
- 6,739
- Total
- 230,821
- vs nation
- R+0.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 12,414
- Total
- 225,472
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,324
- Total
- 215,846
- vs nation
- D+0.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,804
- Total
- 182,249
- vs nation
- R+1.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 20,053
- Total
- 154,266
- vs nation
- D+4.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+12.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 445,7712024 5-year
- Median household income
- $106,3182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Olmsted County, MN · twin score 96.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 81.0%261,089 participants ÷ 322,181 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 58.3%–64.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 234,318 | 293,485 | 79.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 208,724 | 299,173 | 69.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 263,216 | 305,278 | 86.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 201,579 | 317,507 | 63.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 261,089 | 322,181 | 81.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
283 precincts · 259,805 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-17LAKEVILLE P-17 | 1,599 | 1,679 | 111 | 3,389 | 47.2% | 49.5% | R+2.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -SOUTH ST PAUL P-5SOUTH ST PAUL P-5 | 1,926 | 1,322 | 92 | 3,340 | 57.7% | 39.6% | D+18.1 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-13LAKEVILLE P-13 | 1,726 | 1,443 | 72 | 3,241 | 53.3% | 44.5% | D+8.7 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-07LAKEVILLE P-07 | 1,502 | 1,523 | 75 | 3,100 | 48.5% | 49.1% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -SOUTH ST PAUL P-3SOUTH ST PAUL P-3 | 1,770 | 1,124 | 73 | 2,967 | 59.7% | 37.9% | D+21.8 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-18EAGAN P-18 | 1,819 | 1,034 | 105 | 2,958 | 61.5% | 35.0% | D+26.5 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-01LAKEVILLE P-01 | 1,347 | 1,498 | 87 | 2,932 | 45.9% | 51.1% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-01EAGAN P-01 | 1,721 | 1,116 | 75 | 2,912 | 59.1% | 38.3% | D+20.8 |
| Precinct -FARMINGTON P-4FARMINGTON P-4 | 1,194 | 1,549 | 62 | 2,805 | 42.6% | 55.2% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-02LAKEVILLE P-02 | 1,286 | 1,445 | 53 | 2,784 | 46.2% | 51.9% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct -FARMINGTON P-2FARMINGTON P-2 | 1,211 | 1,496 | 71 | 2,778 | 43.6% | 53.9% | R+10.3 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-08LAKEVILLE P-08 | 1,271 | 1,340 | 78 | 2,689 | 47.3% | 49.8% | R+2.6 |
| Precinct -ROSEMOUNT P-8ROSEMOUNT P-8 | 1,426 | 1,179 | 84 | 2,689 | 53.0% | 43.8% | D+9.2 |
| Precinct -FARMINGTON P-5FARMINGTON P-5 | 1,170 | 1,461 | 57 | 2,688 | 43.5% | 54.4% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-09APPLE VALLEY P-09 | 1,560 | 1,038 | 65 | 2,663 | 58.6% | 39.0% | D+19.6 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-07EAGAN P-07 | 1,697 | 814 | 72 | 2,583 | 65.7% | 31.5% | D+34.2 |
| Precinct -INVER GROVE HTS P-04INVER GROVE HTS P-04 | 1,397 | 1,082 | 46 | 2,525 | 55.3% | 42.9% | D+12.5 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-10LAKEVILLE P-10 | 1,174 | 1,269 | 63 | 2,506 | 46.8% | 50.6% | R+3.8 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-02EAGAN P-02 | 1,618 | 811 | 70 | 2,499 | 64.7% | 32.5% | D+32.3 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-10APPLE VALLEY P-10 | 1,519 | 895 | 68 | 2,482 | 61.2% | 36.1% | D+25.1 |
| Precinct -INVER GROVE HTS P-06INVER GROVE HTS P-06 | 1,364 | 1,020 | 69 | 2,453 | 55.6% | 41.6% | D+14.0 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-03EAGAN P-03 | 1,530 | 857 | 64 | 2,451 | 62.4% | 35.0% | D+27.5 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-13EAGAN P-13 | 1,546 | 854 | 49 | 2,449 | 63.1% | 34.9% | D+28.3 |
| Precinct -ROSEMOUNT P-2ROSEMOUNT P-2 | 1,254 | 1,119 | 66 | 2,439 | 51.4% | 45.9% | D+5.5 |
| Precinct -SOUTH ST PAUL P-1SOUTH ST PAUL P-1 | 1,384 | 991 | 61 | 2,436 | 56.8% | 40.7% | D+16.1 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-05APPLE VALLEY P-05 | 1,478 | 890 | 59 | 2,427 | 60.9% | 36.7% | D+24.2 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-04EAGAN P-04 | 1,516 | 809 | 78 | 2,403 | 63.1% | 33.7% | D+29.4 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-16LAKEVILLE P-16 | 1,195 | 1,150 | 56 | 2,401 | 49.8% | 47.9% | D+1.9 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-14APPLE VALLEY P-14 | 1,457 | 838 | 75 | 2,370 | 61.5% | 35.4% | D+26.1 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-08BURNSVILLE P-08 | 1,394 | 915 | 60 | 2,369 | 58.8% | 38.6% | D+20.2 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-15EAGAN P-15 | 1,460 | 803 | 66 | 2,329 | 62.7% | 34.5% | D+28.2 |
| Precinct -WEST ST PAUL W-3 P-2WEST ST PAUL W-3 P-2 | 1,495 | 772 | 49 | 2,316 | 64.6% | 33.3% | D+31.2 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-14LAKEVILLE P-14 | 1,151 | 1,093 | 52 | 2,296 | 50.1% | 47.6% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-11LAKEVILLE P-11 | 1,171 | 1,059 | 64 | 2,294 | 51.0% | 46.2% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-12EAGAN P-12 | 1,342 | 897 | 51 | 2,290 | 58.6% | 39.2% | D+19.4 |
| Precinct -WEST ST PAUL W-2 P-1WEST ST PAUL W-2 P-1 | 1,585 | 628 | 77 | 2,290 | 69.2% | 27.4% | D+41.8 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-04LAKEVILLE P-04 | 1,055 | 1,162 | 49 | 2,266 | 46.6% | 51.3% | R+4.7 |
| Precinct -ROSEMOUNT P-3ROSEMOUNT P-3 | 1,157 | 1,045 | 55 | 2,257 | 51.3% | 46.3% | D+5.0 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-18LAKEVILLE P-18 | 1,206 | 1,014 | 35 | 2,255 | 53.5% | 45.0% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct -FARMINGTON P-6FARMINGTON P-6 | 1,019 | 1,183 | 46 | 2,248 | 45.3% | 52.6% | R+7.3 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-10EAGAN P-10 | 1,443 | 737 | 49 | 2,229 | 64.7% | 33.1% | D+31.7 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-15LAKEVILLE P-15 | 1,126 | 1,049 | 49 | 2,224 | 50.6% | 47.2% | D+3.5 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-12LAKEVILLE P-12 | 1,085 | 1,078 | 55 | 2,218 | 48.9% | 48.6% | D+0.3 |
| Precinct -ROSEMOUNT P-4ROSEMOUNT P-4 | 1,152 | 1,017 | 42 | 2,211 | 52.1% | 46.0% | D+6.1 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-15BURNSVILLE P-15 | 1,353 | 790 | 58 | 2,201 | 61.5% | 35.9% | D+25.6 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-07APPLE VALLEY P-07 | 1,392 | 733 | 66 | 2,191 | 63.5% | 33.5% | D+30.1 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-12APPLE VALLEY P-12 | 1,284 | 844 | 63 | 2,191 | 58.6% | 38.5% | D+20.1 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-17EAGAN P-17 | 1,422 | 702 | 54 | 2,178 | 65.3% | 32.2% | D+33.1 |
| Precinct -INVER GROVE HTS P-08INVER GROVE HTS P-08 | 1,358 | 780 | 40 | 2,178 | 62.4% | 35.8% | D+26.5 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-11BURNSVILLE P-11 | 1,242 | 873 | 57 | 2,172 | 57.2% | 40.2% | D+17.0 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-05EAGAN P-05 | 1,451 | 662 | 52 | 2,165 | 67.0% | 30.6% | D+36.4 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-01BURNSVILLE P-01 | 1,230 | 865 | 63 | 2,158 | 57.0% | 40.1% | D+16.9 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-08APPLE VALLEY P-08 | 1,300 | 802 | 54 | 2,156 | 60.3% | 37.2% | D+23.1 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-10BURNSVILLE P-10 | 1,325 | 759 | 52 | 2,136 | 62.0% | 35.5% | D+26.5 |
| Precinct -INVER GROVE HTS P-05INVER GROVE HTS P-05 | 1,246 | 861 | 28 | 2,135 | 58.4% | 40.3% | D+18.0 |
| Precinct -WEST ST PAUL W-3 P-1WEST ST PAUL W-3 P-1 | 1,392 | 686 | 56 | 2,134 | 65.2% | 32.1% | D+33.1 |
| Precinct -ROSEMOUNT P-5ROSEMOUNT P-5 | 1,111 | 969 | 44 | 2,124 | 52.3% | 45.6% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-05LAKEVILLE P-05 | 1,034 | 1,044 | 41 | 2,119 | 48.8% | 49.3% | R+0.5 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-06BURNSVILLE P-06 | 1,297 | 759 | 45 | 2,101 | 61.7% | 36.1% | D+25.6 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-16BURNSVILLE P-16 | 1,130 | 898 | 66 | 2,094 | 54.0% | 42.9% | D+11.1 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-14EAGAN P-14 | 1,380 | 667 | 43 | 2,090 | 66.0% | 31.9% | D+34.1 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-03LAKEVILLE P-03 | 926 | 1,108 | 55 | 2,089 | 44.3% | 53.0% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct -INVER GROVE HTS P-07INVER GROVE HTS P-07 | 1,064 | 981 | 42 | 2,087 | 51.0% | 47.0% | D+4.0 |
| Precinct -ROSEMOUNT P-1ROSEMOUNT P-1 | 1,152 | 886 | 48 | 2,086 | 55.2% | 42.5% | D+12.8 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-06APPLE VALLEY P-06 | 1,226 | 750 | 58 | 2,034 | 60.3% | 36.9% | D+23.4 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-09BURNSVILLE P-09 | 1,208 | 768 | 52 | 2,028 | 59.6% | 37.9% | D+21.7 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-16APPLE VALLEY P-16 | 1,174 | 780 | 59 | 2,013 | 58.3% | 38.7% | D+19.6 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-08EAGAN P-08 | 1,331 | 617 | 59 | 2,007 | 66.3% | 30.7% | D+35.6 |
| Precinct -HASTINGS W-4 P-1HASTINGS W-4 P-1 | 902 | 1,065 | 38 | 2,005 | 45.0% | 53.1% | R+8.1 |
| Precinct -ROSEMOUNT P-7ROSEMOUNT P-7 | 1,081 | 856 | 64 | 2,001 | 54.0% | 42.8% | D+11.2 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-12BURNSVILLE P-12 | 1,072 | 845 | 44 | 1,961 | 54.7% | 43.1% | D+11.6 |
| Precinct -FARMINGTON P-3FARMINGTON P-3 | 825 | 1,040 | 43 | 1,908 | 43.2% | 54.5% | R+11.3 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-11EAGAN P-11 | 1,188 | 645 | 72 | 1,905 | 62.4% | 33.9% | D+28.5 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-06EAGAN P-06 | 1,203 | 643 | 53 | 1,899 | 63.3% | 33.9% | D+29.5 |
| Precinct -MENDOTA HTS P-1MENDOTA HTS P-1 | 1,187 | 646 | 48 | 1,881 | 63.1% | 34.3% | D+28.8 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-09LAKEVILLE P-09 | 927 | 899 | 52 | 1,878 | 49.4% | 47.9% | D+1.5 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-13APPLE VALLEY P-13 | 1,119 | 714 | 42 | 1,875 | 59.7% | 38.1% | D+21.6 |
| Precinct -HASTINGS W-4 P-2HASTINGS W-4 P-2 | 866 | 960 | 38 | 1,864 | 46.5% | 51.5% | R+5.0 |
| Precinct -EMPIREEMPIRE | 677 | 1,134 | 38 | 1,849 | 36.6% | 61.3% | R+24.7 |
| Precinct -MENDOTA HTS P-4MENDOTA HTS P-4 | 1,187 | 603 | 53 | 1,843 | 64.4% | 32.7% | D+31.7 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-16EAGAN P-16 | 1,175 | 615 | 47 | 1,837 | 64.0% | 33.5% | D+30.5 |
| Precinct -EAGAN P-09EAGAN P-09 | 1,109 | 687 | 33 | 1,829 | 60.6% | 37.6% | D+23.1 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-14BURNSVILLE P-14 | 1,157 | 602 | 59 | 1,818 | 63.6% | 33.1% | D+30.5 |
| Precinct -WEST ST PAUL W-1 P-1WEST ST PAUL W-1 P-1 | 1,161 | 573 | 55 | 1,789 | 64.9% | 32.0% | D+32.9 |
| Precinct -LAKEVILLE P-06LAKEVILLE P-06 | 837 | 910 | 29 | 1,776 | 47.1% | 51.2% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-13BURNSVILLE P-13 | 1,053 | 644 | 49 | 1,746 | 60.3% | 36.9% | D+23.4 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-02APPLE VALLEY P-02 | 1,002 | 674 | 56 | 1,732 | 57.9% | 38.9% | D+18.9 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-04APPLE VALLEY P-04 | 1,028 | 655 | 43 | 1,726 | 59.6% | 37.9% | D+21.6 |
| Precinct -INVER GROVE HTS P-02INVER GROVE HTS P-02 | 822 | 853 | 47 | 1,722 | 47.7% | 49.5% | R+1.8 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-11APPLE VALLEY P-11 | 1,006 | 664 | 50 | 1,720 | 58.5% | 38.6% | D+19.9 |
| Precinct -HASTINGS W-3 P-1HASTINGS W-3 P-1 | 797 | 878 | 33 | 1,708 | 46.7% | 51.4% | R+4.7 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-04BURNSVILLE P-04 | 989 | 665 | 44 | 1,698 | 58.2% | 39.2% | D+19.1 |
| Precinct -MENDOTA HTS P-2MENDOTA HTS P-2 | 998 | 634 | 39 | 1,671 | 59.7% | 37.9% | D+21.8 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-15APPLE VALLEY P-15 | 1,002 | 609 | 53 | 1,664 | 60.2% | 36.6% | D+23.6 |
| Precinct -HASTINGS W-2 P-3HASTINGS W-2 P-3 | 783 | 826 | 52 | 1,661 | 47.1% | 49.7% | R+2.6 |
| Precinct -WEST ST PAUL W-1 P-2WEST ST PAUL W-1 P-2 | 1,140 | 472 | 46 | 1,658 | 68.8% | 28.5% | D+40.3 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-02BURNSVILLE P-02 | 975 | 610 | 58 | 1,643 | 59.3% | 37.1% | D+22.2 |
| Precinct -HASTINGS W-1 P-2HASTINGS W-1 P-2 | 659 | 949 | 34 | 1,642 | 40.1% | 57.8% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-03BURNSVILLE P-03 | 909 | 654 | 60 | 1,623 | 56.0% | 40.3% | D+15.7 |
| Precinct -HASTINGS W-3 P-2HASTINGS W-3 P-2 | 733 | 849 | 41 | 1,623 | 45.2% | 52.3% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-07BURNSVILLE P-07 | 906 | 641 | 56 | 1,603 | 56.5% | 40.0% | D+16.5 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-17BURNSVILLE P-17 | 919 | 629 | 51 | 1,599 | 57.5% | 39.3% | D+18.1 |
| Precinct -RAVENNA TWPRAVENNA TWP | 557 | 1,018 | 24 | 1,599 | 34.8% | 63.7% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-01APPLE VALLEY P-01 | 890 | 640 | 51 | 1,581 | 56.3% | 40.5% | D+15.8 |
| Precinct -HASTINGS W-1 P-1HASTINGS W-1 P-1 | 795 | 761 | 22 | 1,578 | 50.4% | 48.2% | D+2.2 |
| Precinct -MENDOTA HTS P-3MENDOTA HTS P-3 | 1,035 | 482 | 47 | 1,564 | 66.2% | 30.8% | D+35.4 |
| Precinct -SOUTH ST PAUL P-2SOUTH ST PAUL P-2 | 918 | 594 | 35 | 1,547 | 59.3% | 38.4% | D+20.9 |
| Precinct -MENDOTA HTS P-5MENDOTA HTS P-5 | 912 | 555 | 35 | 1,502 | 60.7% | 37.0% | D+23.8 |
| Precinct -APPLE VALLEY P-03APPLE VALLEY P-03 | 896 | 566 | 33 | 1,495 | 59.9% | 37.9% | D+22.1 |
| Precinct -INVER GROVE HTS P-10INVER GROVE HTS P-10 | 893 | 553 | 28 | 1,474 | 60.6% | 37.5% | D+23.1 |
| Precinct -HASTINGS W-2 P-2HASTINGS W-2 P-2 | 714 | 708 | 35 | 1,457 | 49.0% | 48.6% | D+0.4 |
| Precinct -INVER GROVE HTS P-03INVER GROVE HTS P-03 | 723 | 639 | 30 | 1,392 | 51.9% | 45.9% | D+6.0 |
| Precinct -BURNSVILLE P-05BURNSVILLE P-05 | 916 | 420 | 32 | 1,368 | 67.0% | 30.7% | D+36.3 |
| Precinct -INVER GROVE HTS P-01INVER GROVE HTS P-01 | 690 | 622 | 37 | 1,349 | 51.1% | 46.1% | D+5.0 |
| Precinct -INVER GROVE HTS P-09INVER GROVE HTS P-09 | 867 | 429 | 39 | 1,335 | 64.9% | 32.1% | D+32.8 |
| Precinct -INVER GROVE HTS P-12INVER GROVE HTS P-12 | 671 | 568 | 26 | 1,265 | 53.0% | 44.9% | D+8.1 |
| Precinct -WEST ST PAUL W-2 P-2WEST ST PAUL W-2 P-2 | 882 | 340 | 28 | 1,250 | 70.6% | 27.2% | D+43.4 |
| Precinct -ROSEMOUNT P-6ROSEMOUNT P-6 | 556 | 526 | 24 | 1,106 | 50.3% | 47.6% | D+2.7 |
| Precinct -FARMINGTON P-1FARMINGTON P-1 | 442 | 588 | 20 | 1,050 | 42.1% | 56.0% | R+13.9 |
| Precinct -INVER GROVE HTS P-11INVER GROVE HTS P-11 | 620 | 398 | 27 | 1,045 | 59.3% | 38.1% | D+21.2 |
| Precinct -EUREKA TWPEUREKA TWP | 316 | 688 | 20 | 1,024 | 30.9% | 67.2% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -CASTLE ROCK TWPCASTLE ROCK TWP | 266 | 647 | 20 | 933 | 28.5% | 69.3% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -NORTHFIELD W-3 P-2NORTHFIELD W-3 P-2 | 647 | 262 | 16 | 925 | 69.9% | 28.3% | D+41.6 |
| Precinct -VERMILLION TWPVERMILLION TWP | 231 | 577 | 24 | 832 | 27.8% | 69.4% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -MARSHAN TWPMARSHAN TWP | 252 | 555 | 16 | 823 | 30.6% | 67.4% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -LILYDALELILYDALE | 515 | 223 | 5 | 743 | 69.3% | 30.0% | D+39.3 |
| Precinct -SOUTH ST PAUL P-4SOUTH ST PAUL P-4 | 435 | 261 | 24 | 720 | 60.4% | 36.3% | D+24.2 |
| Precinct -HAMPTON TWPHAMPTON TWP | 162 | 427 | 10 | 599 | 27.0% | 71.3% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -NININGER TWPNININGER TWP | 192 | 377 | 11 | 580 | 33.1% | 65.0% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -GREENVALE TWPGREENVALE TWP | 206 | 338 | 22 | 566 | 36.4% | 59.7% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -RANDOLPH TWPRANDOLPH TWP | 170 | 362 | 7 | 539 | 31.5% | 67.2% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS TWPDOUGLAS TWP | 122 | 373 | 6 | 501 | 24.4% | 74.5% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -SUNFISH LAKESUNFISH LAKE | 196 | 202 | 11 | 409 | 47.9% | 49.4% | R+1.5 |
| Precinct -HAMPTON CITYHAMPTON CITY | 92 | 286 | 13 | 391 | 23.5% | 73.1% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -WATERFORD TWPWATERFORD TWP | 168 | 184 | 5 | 357 | 47.1% | 51.5% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -SCIOTA TWPSCIOTA TWP | 100 | 208 | 5 | 313 | 31.9% | 66.5% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -VERMILLION CITYVERMILLION CITY | 89 | 193 | 4 | 286 | 31.1% | 67.5% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct -RANDOLPH CITYRANDOLPH CITY | 74 | 195 | 10 | 279 | 26.5% | 69.9% | R+43.4 |
| Precinct -MENDOTA CITYMENDOTA CITY | 78 | 44 | 5 | 127 | 61.4% | 34.6% | D+26.8 |
| Precinct -COATESCOATES | 26 | 55 | 4 | 85 | 30.6% | 64.7% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -MIESVILLEMIESVILLE | 22 | 58 | 2 | 82 | 26.8% | 70.7% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -NEW TRIERNEW TRIER | 11 | 48 | 0 | 59 | 18.6% | 81.4% | R+62.7 |
| Apple Valley P-127_270371010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-1027_270371100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-1127_270371110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-1227_270371120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-1327_270371130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-1427_270371140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-1527_270371150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-1627_270371160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-227_270371020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-327_270371030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-427_270371040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-527_270371050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-627_270371060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-727_270371070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-827_270371080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Apple Valley P-927_270371090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-127_270371210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-1027_270371300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-1127_270371310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-1227_270371320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-1327_270371330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-1427_270371340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-1527_270371350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-1627_270371360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-1727_270371370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-227_270371220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-327_270371230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-427_270371240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-527_270371250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-627_270371260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-727_270371270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-827_270371280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville P-927_270371290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Castle Rock Twp. Voting District27_270371410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coates Voting District27_270371510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Douglas Twp. Voting District27_270371610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-127_270371710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-1027_270371800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-1127_270371810 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-1227_270371820 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-1327_270371830 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-1427_270371840 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-1527_270371850 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-1627_270371860 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-1727_270371870 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-1827_270371880 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-1927_270371890 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-227_270371720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-2027_270371900 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-2127_270371910 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-327_270371730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-427_270371740 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-527_270371750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-627_270371760 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-727_270371770 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-827_270371780 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagan P-927_270371790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Empire Twp. Voting District27_270372010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eureka Twp. Voting District27_270372110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farmington P-127_270372210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farmington P-227_270372220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farmington P-327_270372230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farmington P-427_270372240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farmington P-527_270372250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farmington P-627_270372260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greenvale Twp. Voting District27_270372310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hampton Twp. Voting District27_270372510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hampton Voting District27_270372410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hastings W-1 P-227_270372610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hastings W-1 P-327_270372620 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hastings W-2 P-127_270372630 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hastings W-2 P-227_270372635 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hastings W-3 P-127_270372640 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hastings W-3 P-227_270372645 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hastings W-4 P-127_270372650 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hastings W-4 P-227_270372660 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Inver Grove Heights P-127_270372710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Inver Grove Heights P-1027_270372800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Inver Grove Heights P-227_270372720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Inver Grove Heights P-327_270372730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Inver Grove Heights P-427_270372740 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Inver Grove Heights P-527_270372750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Inver Grove Heights P-627_270372760 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Inver Grove Heights P-727_270372770 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Inver Grove Heights P-827_270372780 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Inver Grove Heights P-927_270372790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-127_270372910 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-1027_270373000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-1127_270373010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-1227_270373020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-1327_270373030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-1427_270373040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-227_270372920 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-327_270372930 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-427_270372940 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-527_270372950 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-627_270372960 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-727_270372970 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-827_270372980 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeville P-927_270372990 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lilydale Voting District27_270373110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marshan Twp. Voting District27_270373210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mendota Heights P-127_270373410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mendota Heights P-227_270373420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mendota Heights P-327_270373430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mendota Heights P-427_270373440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mendota Heights P-527_270373450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mendota Voting District27_270373310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Miesville Voting District27_270373510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Trier Voting District27_270373610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nininger Twp. Voting District27_270373710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northfield W-3 P-327_270373810 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Randolph Twp. Voting District27_270374010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Randolph Voting District27_270373910 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ravenna Twp. Voting District27_270374110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rosemount P-127_270374210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rosemount P-227_270374220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rosemount P-327_270374230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rosemount P-427_270374240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rosemount P-5A27_270374250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rosemount P-5B27_270374255 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rosemount P-627_270374260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sciota Twp. Voting District27_270374310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South St. Paul P-1 W-127_270374410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South St. Paul P-2 W-127_270374420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South St. Paul P-3 W-227_270374430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South St. Paul P-4 W-227_270374440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South St. Paul P-5 W-327_270374450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sunfish Lake Voting District27_270374510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vermillion Twp. Voting District27_270374710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vermillion Voting District27_270374610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waterford Twp. Voting District27_270374810 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West St. Paul W-1 P-127_270374910 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West St. Paul W-1 P-227_270374920 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West St. Paul W-1 P-327_270374930 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West St. Paul W-2 P-127_270374940 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West St. Paul W-2 P-227_270374950 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West St. Paul W-2 P-327_270374960 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West St. Paul W-3 P-127_270374970 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West St. Paul W-3 P-227_270374980 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West St. Paul W-3 P-327_270374990 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +13.0% |
| 1896 | +3.5% |
| 1900 | −0.7% |
| 1904 | −41.1% |
| 1908 | −15.6% |
| 1912 | +27.2% |
| 1916 | +10.9% |
| 1920 | −39.4% |
| 1924 | −32.3% |
| 1928 | +9.0% |
| 1932 | +33.1% |
| 1936 | +31.5% |
| 1940 | +5.6% |
| 1944 | +5.1% |
| 1948 | +28.9% |
| 1952 | +0.1% |
| 1956 | −1.7% |
| 1960 | +14.5% |
| 1964 | +34.3% |
| 1968 | +18.3% |
| 1972 | −10.0% |
| 1976 | +8.0% |
| 1980 | +2.9% |
| 1984 | −5.7% |
| 1988 | +0.3% |
| 1992 | +7.2% |
| 1996 | +13.0% |
| 2000 | −1.0% |
| 2004 | −2.0% |
| 2008 | +5.5% |
| 2012 | +2.9% |
| 2016 | +4.6% |
| 2020 | +13.9% |
| 2024 | +12.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 271,377 |
| 2018 | 269,353 |
| 2020 | 294,223 |
| 2022 | 285,726 |
| 2024 | 304,251 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,466 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +960 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $75,745 in average income, against $107,905 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+22.1 on average — 9.3 points more Democratic-leaning than Dakota County, MN itself (D+12.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hennepin County, MN3,836D+42.4
- Ramsey County, MN2,401D+43.1
- Scott County, MN964R+8.5
- Washington County, MN925D+8.9
- Anoka County, MN368R+4.4
- Rice County, MN325R+2.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hennepin County, MN3,217
- Ramsey County, MN1,782
- Scott County, MN1,022
- Washington County, MN996
- Anoka County, MN410
- Rice County, MN297
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −810 |
| 2012 | −770 |
| 2013 | +8 |
| 2014 | +124 |
| 2015 | −1,318 |
| 2016 | −246 |
| 2017 | +931 |
| 2018 | +487 |
| 2019 | +1,160 |
| 2021 | −5 |
| 2022 | −2,144 |
| 2023 | +1,137 |
| 2024 | +940 |
| 2025 | +1,466 |
Dakota County shifted from a reliable Republican stronghold into Democratic-leaning territory as its share of college-educated residents climbed alongside suburban expansion from the Minneapolis–Saint Paul metro edge.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 41.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.8 points.
A population of 445,771, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $106,318 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Olmsted County and Washington County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Dakota County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27037/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.