- Lead
- 8,328
- Total
- 49,264
- vs nation
- D+18.4
Minnesota 53rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 8,810
- Total
- 49,548
- vs nation
- D+13.3
- Lead
- 4,391
- Total
- 44,652
- vs nation
- D+7.7
- Lead
- 3,895
- Total
- 44,220
- vs nation
- D+5.0
- Lead
- 4,951
- Total
- 43,079
- vs nation
- D+4.2
- Lead
- 1,695
- Total
- 40,807
- vs nation
- D+6.6
- Lead
- 1,717
- Total
- 34,580
- vs nation
- D+4.4
- Lead
- 5,566
- Total
- 29,532
- vs nation
- D+10.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+16.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 84,9982024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,647 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 51.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $91,7422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.8 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 46, MN · twin score 84.8
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 53rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
69.7%
5,778 votes · D+39.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 67.3%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
70.6%
473 votes · R+44.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 68.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
28,528votes
57.6% of the vote · D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 28,219 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
19,891votes
40.4% of the vote · D+16.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 19,718 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Harry S. Truman1948
+25.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+30.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +25.6 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+25.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.8 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +17.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 59.1%28,303 | 40.9%19,587 | 47,890 |
| 2020 | D | 54.2%25,013 | 45.8%21,164 | 46,177 |
Minnesota 53rd State Senate District sits in the Upper Midwest. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 44.8 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.9 points.
A population of 84,998, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $91,742 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 46 and State Senate District 51.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota 53rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.